What is Liam Heard's strike rate?

Liam Heard has won 65 of 1,206 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Liam Heard do best at?

Ludlow by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 rides (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Liam Heard ride most for?

Bob Buckler, with 120 rides since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (9.2%).

What is Liam Heard's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 1,203 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Liam Heard

1,206 rides in the lifetime window · 529 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2020 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

65–1,206

Wins / Runs

5.4%

Strike rate

n=1,206

196 (16%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=1,203 · 0.73 incl. margin

−606.38

£1 level stake

n=1,206 at SP · −50.3%

£612k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (69 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,206 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Nov–Dec 27.8% when favourite Bob Buckler: 9.2% from 120 LTO winners: 13% Claiming: 7.4% Rode the favourite in 3% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13% (n=69, Fair A/E 0.89). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.62 and −301.50 to a £1 stake over 496 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Bob Buckler supplied 10% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.2% vs 5.4%, A/E 0.92). The rider also read well in Chase races (9.5%, n=347) and off a 15-30-day break (8.7%, n=402). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the totesport.com Becher Handicap Chase at Aintree (Nov 2006, £57,020). The standout partner of the record was The Hardy Boy (GB) — 5 wins from 15 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3%−2.4

n=496 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −301.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13%+7.6

n=69 · A/E 0.89 · £1 +15.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.1%−1.3

n=295 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −157.75

When favourite

27.8%

n=36 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −7.33

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.4%+2.0

n=122 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −39.38

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.9%−1.5

n=307 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −111.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.3%+0.9

n=16 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −13.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Anthony Honeyball 18.6% vs 5.4% · n=43

With Philip Hobbs 14.7% vs 5.4% · n=34

On last-time-out winners 13% vs 5.4% · n=69

In Chase races 9.5% vs 5.4% · n=347

Off a 15-30-day break 8.7% vs 5.4% · n=402

With John Groucott 0% vs 5.4% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 774 28 3.6% −465.83

Chase 347 33 9.5% −110.80

NH Flat 85 4 4.7% −29.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 410 20 4.9% −202.38

Good to Soft 290 17 5.9% −141.25

Soft 276 19 6.9% −131.75

Good to Firm 119 6 5% −60.00

Heavy 105 3 2.9% −65.00

Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 135 5 3.7% −92.17

Taunton 111 5 4.5% −71.00

Chepstow 101 6 5.9% −70.33

Wincanton 100 4 4% −45.25

Uttoxeter 99 6 6.1% −43.00

Newton Abbot 96 6 6.3% −29.75

Worcester 58 3 5.2% −33.50

Warwick 35 2 5.7% −13.00

Bangor-on-Dee 34 0 0% −34.00

Ludlow 32 3 9.4% −15.88

Hereford 32 2 6.3% −24.25

Newbury 32 3 9.4% +0.00

Market Rasen 29 1 3.4% −14.00

Fontwell 28 2 7.1% −14.50

Southwell 26 1 3.8% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 670 38 5.7% −349.25

Class 5 280 10 3.6% −183.25

Class 3 151 12 7.9% −4.38

Class 6 47 2 4.3% −30.75

Class 2 29 2 6.9% −12.00

Class 1 28 1 3.6% −25.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 43 12 27.9% 0.96 −5.33

2nd–3rd fav 149 22 14.8% 0.93 −13.55

4th–6th fav 354 18 5.1% 0.72 −188.50

7th+ in betting 660 13 2% 0.80 −399.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

74.8% completed · 1,121 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 347 65.4% 15 17 87 0 1

Hurdle 774 78.9% 14 12 137 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tinker Time (IRE) 28 4 7 28 Jun 17

Little Eaglet (IRE) 22 2 7 26 Mar 14

Somerset Lias (IRE) 20 1 9 21 Feb 17

Wolftrap (IRE) 17 2 4 7 May 19

Say My Name (IRE) 16 1 4 7 Mar 17

Ballyegan (IRE) 15 3 4 20 Jan 17

Waiheke (GB) 13 1 3 30 Jan 20

Flight To Nowhere (GB) 12 1 2 26 Apr 19

Cottage Acre (IRE) 11 0 0 10 Oct 13

Tail Of The Bank (IRE) 11 2 3 30 Apr 13

What's Up Rory (IRE) 10 1 2 21 Mar 18

St George's Oval (IRE) 8 0 1 3 Aug 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 529 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

25102551134287

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardBob Buckler

10% of all rides
9.2% SR · A/E 0.92

TrainerRWSR£1

Bob Buckler 120 11 9.2% −20.08

Laura Young 69 2 2.9% −49.00

Colin Heard 67 2 3% −55.00

Tom George 59 4 6.8% −29.00

Paul Nicholls 55 5 9.1% −34.17

Jeremy Scott 50 2 4% −18.00

Barry Leavy 49 2 4.1% −27.00

Richard Price 45 2 4.4% −29.75

Anthony Honeyball 43 8 18.6% +48.00

Chris Down 38 1 2.6% −32.00

Henry Oliver 38 1 2.6% −35.75

John Groucott 36 0 0% −36.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

130

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.35m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 29 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Eurotrek (IRE) — totesport.com Becher Handicap Chase () Aintree · Nov 2006 · Listed

£57,020

Hoo La Baloo (FR) — Carey Group Handicap Chase Ascot · Nov 2007 · Class 2

£43,379

Neptune Collonges (FR) — Country Gentlemen's Association Limited Handicap Chase (Lst) Wincanton · Feb 2008 · Listed

£34,815

Notable horses

The Hardy Boy (GB) Tinker Time (IRE) Gone To Lunch (IRE) Ballyegan (IRE) Lidjo De Rouge (FR) Elaala (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Alflora (IRE) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Turtle Island (IRE) 13.8% · 4–29

Progeny have won 7.5% of 3,325 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.7% from 215.

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,684 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Flemensfirth (USA) 8% · 2–25

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Midnight Legend (GB) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,310 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Golan (IRE) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,776 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,776 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 January 2005 to 3 September 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Sep 20 Southwell The Trendy Man (IRE)T: David O'Meara Southwell Racecourse Supports The Newark Advertiser Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran UR 66/1

14 Jul 20 Southwell Makety (GB)T: Oliver Sherwood signsolutions.org Office & Interior Branding Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 11/8F

05 Mar 20 Wincanton Sam Miguel (GB)T: Colin Heard Download The Star Sports App Now! Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 12 ran PU 100/1

07 Feb 20 Bangor-on-Dee Maisiebella (GB)T: John Groucott New tote British Stallion Studs EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 16/1

30 Jan 20 Ffos Las Waiheke (GB)T: Henry Oliver 'Happy Birthday Laura' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Heavy · 11 ran 4th 13/2

23 Jan 20 Fakenham Makety (GB)T: Oliver Sherwood Britbet Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 12/1

22 Jan 20 Warwick Detatched (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Jumping For Joy With Free RacingTV Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 16/1

18 Jan 20 Taunton Especially So (GB)T: Kayley Woollacott Free Racing Monday 9th March Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 33/1

18 Jan 20 Taunton Field Master (IRE)T: Richard Hawker British EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 150/1

17 Jan 20 Chepstow Thedancingman (GB)T: Laura Young Barton Hill Old Boys RFC Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 66/1

16 Jan 20 Market Rasen Maisiebella (GB)T: John Groucott Racing TV Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 33/1

07 Jan 20 Taunton Spice War (GB)T: Oliver Sherwood Hippychick Supports Love Musgrove Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 20/1

04 Jan 20 Wincanton Thedancingman (GB)T: Laura Young Download The Boylesports App Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Soft · 16 ran 7th 200/1

04 Jan 20 Wincanton Whatsmeanttobe (GB)T: Henry Oliver Download The Boylesports App Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 5/1

03 Jan 20 Hereford Waiheke (GB)T: Henry Oliver Best Odds Guaranteed At MansionBet Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 8/1

01 Jan 20 Exeter Field Master (IRE)T: Richard Hawker Happy New Year 'national Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 100/1

28 Dec 19 Leicester Kiteinahurricane (IRE)T: Sam Allwood Parsley Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 100/1

27 Dec 19 Wetherby Free Ski (IRE)T: Sam Allwood 888Sport Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 66/1

26 Dec 19 Wincanton Precious Eleanor (FR)T: Henry Daly Fry's Electrical Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

19 Dec 19 Hereford Maisiebella (GB)T: John Groucott Appliance Solutions Ledbury Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Liam Heard's strike rate?: Liam Heard has won 65 of 1,206 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Liam Heard do best at?: Ludlow by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 rides (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Liam Heard ride most for?: Bob Buckler, with 120 rides since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (9.2%).
What is Liam Heard's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 1,203 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.