What is Leighton Aspell's strike rate?

Leighton Aspell has won 491 of 4,023 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Leighton Aspell do best at?

Fakenham by strike rate: 22 wins from 107 rides (20.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Leighton Aspell ride most for?

Oliver Sherwood, with 1,349 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 196 (14.5%).

What is Leighton Aspell's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 4,017 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Leighton Aspell

4,023 rides in the lifetime window · 1,385 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Feb 2020 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

491–4,023

Wins / Runs

12.2%

Strike rate

n=4,023

1,309 (33%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=4,017 · 0.85 incl. margin

−874.62

£1 level stake

n=4,023 at SP · −21.7%

£5.89m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 310 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (466 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,023 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 34% when favourite Oliver Sherwood: 14.5% from 1,349 LTO winners: 20.6% Rode the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fakenham (20.6%, n=107) and Lingfield (20%, n=115) — all clear of the rider's 12.2% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.6% (n=466, Fair A/E 1.11), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.9% (n=662, Fair A/E 1.01). Oliver Sherwood supplied 34% of the rides and edges the rider's average (14.5% vs 12.2%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. 25 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Crabbie's Grand National Chase at Aintree (Apr 2014, £561,300). The standout partner of the record was Many Clouds (IRE) — 12 wins from 27 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11%−1.2

n=1,360 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −146.51

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20.6%+8.4

n=466 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −32.05

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.5%−2.7

n=1,038 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −260.17

When favourite

34%

n=400 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −60.59

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.9%−5.3

n=662 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −87.48

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.2%−3.0

n=238 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −62.42

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Evan Williams 26.2% vs 12.2% · n=42

On last-time-out winners 20.6% vs 12.2% · n=466

With Linda Jewell 0% vs 12.2% · n=31

With Don Cantillon 22.2% vs 12.2% · n=63

At Fakenham 20.6% vs 12.2% · n=107

At Lingfield 20% vs 12.2% · n=115

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 2,245 254 11.3% −692.73

Chase 1,287 185 14.4% −168.69

NH Flat 478 50 10.5% −12.45

Flat 13 2 15.4% −0.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,332 169 12.7% −245.10

Soft 1,021 118 11.6% −273.17

Good to Soft 923 97 10.5% −216.11

Heavy 433 66 15.2% −100.61

Good to Firm 251 33 13.1% −51.46

Standard (AW) 56 6 10.7% +15.00

Firm 7 2 28.6% −3.17

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 461 63 13.7% −40.47

Plumpton 272 25 9.2% −162.77

Huntingdon 263 29 11% −114.38

Warwick 170 18 10.6% −73.66

Newbury 168 11 6.5% −56.44

Uttoxeter 154 16 10.4% −29.71

Kempton 151 15 9.9% −35.86

Sandown 147 15 10.2% −27.75

Towcester 136 17 12.5% −45.17

Southwell 131 23 17.6% −7.28

Market Rasen 126 19 15.1% −38.52

Worcester 119 16 13.4% +23.16

Lingfield 115 23 20% +13.05

Fakenham 107 22 20.6% +18.13

Doncaster 104 19 18.3% −17.43

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,872 245 13.1% −435.05

Class 3 754 104 13.8% −124.85

Class 5 642 72 11.2% −114.39

Class 1 275 23 8.4% −97.42

Class 6 260 27 10.4% −53.41

Class 2 220 20 9.1% −49.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 484 153 31.6% 0.97 −78.21

2nd–3rd fav 1,105 189 17.1% 0.96 −233.91

4th–6th fav 1,379 116 8.4% 1.03 −211.50

7th+ in betting 1,055 33 3.1% 0.89 −351.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.7% completed · 3,532 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,287 77.2% 69 41 179 3 2

Hurdle 2,245 89% 44 14 187 2 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Morestead (IRE) 32 4 13 9 Dec 14

Many Clouds (IRE) 27 12 17 28 Jan 17

Milgen Bay (GB) 27 5 13 2 Sep 15

Morning Reggie (GB) 24 3 7 23 Mar 18

Wiesentraum (GER) 24 5 8 9 May 17

Global Power (IRE) 22 5 10 1 Jan 17

Shanroe Santos (IRE) 21 3 7 4 Jan 20

Beforeall (IRE) 21 4 10 19 Feb 17

Baby Shine (IRE) 21 4 10 12 Dec 15

Furrows (GB) 21 2 6 2 Nov 15

Arkose (IRE) 21 3 9 23 Feb 14

Dragon's Den (IRE) 20 3 7 1 Jan 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,385 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

12111212131391212131313

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardOliver Sherwood

34% of all rides
14.5% SR · A/E 0.98

TrainerRWSR£1

Oliver Sherwood 1,349 196 14.5% −172.52

Lucy Wadham 587 83 14.1% −77.22

Richard Rowe 200 15 7.5% −98.97

Nick Gifford 164 15 9.1% −28.50

Emma Lavelle 133 23 17.3% −18.33

Brendan Powell 91 7 7.7% −20.00

Chris Gordon 78 11 14.1% −8.39

Alison Batchelor 75 4 5.3% −55.25

Don Cantillon 63 14 22.2% +0.49

Rebecca Curtis 62 11 17.7% +8.80

Martin Keighley 53 5 9.4% −22.50

Noel Williams 46 8 17.4% −3.29

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

619

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.32m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 64 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Pineau De Re (FR) — Crabbie's Grand National Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Aintree · Apr 2014 · Grade 3

£561,300

Many Clouds (IRE) — Crabbie's Grand National Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Aintree · Apr 2015 · Grade 3

£561,300

Many Clouds (IRE) — Hennessy Gold Cup Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Newbury · Nov 2014 · Grade 3

£99,663

Notable horses

Many Clouds (IRE) Camden (IRE) Puffin Billy (IRE) Milgen Bay (GB) Wiesentraum (GER) Global Power (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 13.8% · 20–145

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

King's Theatre (IRE) 21.8% · 24–110

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Kayf Tara (GB) 16.5% · 17–103

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,744 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Presenting (GB) 7.2% · 7–97

Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Midnight Legend (GB) 15.8% · 15–95

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,310 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 13% · 12–92

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,318 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,318 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 23 February 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Feb 20 Fontwell Itsnotwhatyouthink (IRE)T: Nick Gifford Watt Fences Ltd Maiden Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 17.5f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 15/8F

23 Feb 20 Fontwell Ventura Dragon (IRE)T: Oliver Sherwood Village House Hotel Findon Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Soft · 11 ran PU 13/2

22 Feb 20 Kempton Press Your Luck (IRE)T: Chris Gordon Betway Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 20/1

22 Feb 20 Kempton Commandant (IRE)T: Chris Gordon Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 16/1

22 Feb 20 Kempton Highway One O One (IRE)T: Chris Gordon Betway Handicap Chase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Soft · 14 ran PU 10/1

22 Feb 20 Kempton Fantastic Ms Fox (GB)T: Noel Williams Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 10/1

22 Feb 20 Kempton Top Man (IRE)T: Chris Gordon Betway Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 21f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 6th 12/1

21 Feb 20 Warwick Step To The Top (IRE)T: Noel Williams British Stallion Studs EBF Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 7 ran 2nd 5/1

21 Feb 20 Warwick Manucci (IRE)T: Amanda Perrett Racing Post Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 4/1

21 Feb 20 Warwick Brummie Boys (IRE)T: Oliver Sherwood British Stallion Studs EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 5/1

20 Feb 20 Huntingdon Little Light (FR)T: Lucy Wadham Betway Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Heavy · 4 ran 3rd 6/1

20 Feb 20 Huntingdon Northern Poet (IRE)T: Nick Gifford Betway Novices' Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 5/1

19 Feb 20 Doncaster Bayaanaat (GB)T: Oliver Sherwood Betsafe Cheltenham Championship Races NRNB Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 33/1

19 Feb 20 Doncaster Sevarano (IRE)T: Oliver Sherwood 1st Security Solutions EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 13/8

15 Feb 20 Haydock Vintage Clouds (IRE)T: Sue Smith Unibet Grand National Trial Handicap Chase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 28.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 15/2

14 Feb 20 Fakenham Flibinight (IRE)T: Nick Gifford Fakenham Maiden Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 14/1

13 Feb 20 Leicester Got Away (FR)T: Oliver Sherwood Wren Mares' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 20f · Heavy · 3 ran 3rd 3/1

08 Feb 20 Warwick Norley (IRE)T: Oliver Sherwood Watch Irish Racing On RacingTV Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 5th 16/1

08 Feb 20 Warwick Potters Hedger (GB)T: Lucy Wadham Larkshill Engineering Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 7/1

08 Feb 20 Warwick Legends Gold (IRE)T: Rebecca Curtis Paddy Power 31 Sleeps To Cheltenham Mares' Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 21f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 7/2C

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Leighton Aspell's strike rate?: Leighton Aspell has won 491 of 4,023 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Leighton Aspell do best at?: Fakenham by strike rate: 22 wins from 107 rides (20.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Leighton Aspell ride most for?: Oliver Sherwood, with 1,349 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 196 (14.5%).
What is Leighton Aspell's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 4,017 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.