Nefyn Bay (GB)
Nefyn Bay (GB) is 9 from 42. Hasn't won since Jul 2018. 3 of 4 starts at Musselburgh have ended in wins. 6 of 18 starts with soft in the ground have ended in wins — 3 from 23 on quicker.
- 9–42Wins / Runs
- 21.4%Strike rate
- 15 (35.7%)Placed
- −1.00£1 level staken=42 at SP
- 1.50Fair A/E n=42 · 1.33 incl. margin
- 125Highest OR
- 61dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 116
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 10 | 116B | 93 | — |
| Good to Soft | 7 | 102A | 79 | — |
| Soft | 3 | 94A | 88 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 13 | 101A | 87 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 116B | 92.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 24 runs looked at, 4 have no figure: no standard for this course, surface and code on the window (1) · did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 20 figures from 24 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since Jan 2008 (423 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | +1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Firm | 385 | 37 | 9.6% | −1.1 | 1 from 3 |
| Good | 1,458 | 150 | 10.3% | −0.4 | 2 from 19 |
| Good to Soft | 898 | 89 | 9.9% | −0.8 | 3 from 11 |
| Soft | 1,144 | 126 | 11% | +0.3 | 3 from 7 |
| Heavy | 690 | 87 | 12.6% | +1.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 65 | 6 | 9.2% | −1.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 20 | 2 | 10% | −0.7 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | −4.4 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | +6.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,321 | 135 | 10.2% | −0.5 | 3 from 17 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,647 | 176 | 10.7% | 0 | 5 from 21 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,258 | 136 | 10.8% | +0.1 | 1 from 4 |
| Over 3m | 356 | 42 | 11.8% | +1.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Nefyn Point (GB) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m1f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Nefyn Point (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nefyn Point (GB) | 29 | 2 | 2m1f | Class 5 |
| Lyme Park (GB) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 19 | 2 | 11% | −8.50 |
| Good to Soft | 11 | 3 | 27% | +6.25 |
| Soft | 7 | 3 | 43% | +1.75 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.50 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 34 | 6 | 18% | −9.25 |
| Class 5 | 5 | 3 | 60% | +11.25 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth | 6 | 2 | 33% | +2.75 |
| Musselburgh | 4 | 3 | 75% | +7.50 |
| Ludlow | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Catterick | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.75 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Sedgefield | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Worcester | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hexham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Carlisle | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 1 | 50% | +7.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kelso | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wincanton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.50 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 21 | 5 | 24% | −3.50 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 17 | 3 | 18% | +1.50 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kennedy | 11 | 1 | 9% | −7.75 |
| Brian Hughes | 8 | 3 | 38% | +4.00 |
| Lorcan Murtagh | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| James Cowley | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Adrian Lane | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Abbie McCain | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.00 |
| Wilson Renwick | 2 | 1 | 50% | +7.00 |
| Henry Brooke | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Theo Gillard | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aidan Coleman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daryl Jacob | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.50 |
| Brian Harding | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bridget Andrews | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.25 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 20 | 4 | 20% | −4.75 |
| Tongue tie | 18 | 5 | 28% | +7.75 |
| None | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2019 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2018 | 9 | 4 | 44% | +8.00 |
| 2017 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2016 | 10 | 2 | 20% | −2.25 |
| 2015 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +10.25 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2013 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 20 | 4 | 20% | +1.25 |
| Chase | 20 | 5 | 25% | −0.25 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Nefyn Bay won?
- Nefyn Bay (GB) won 9 of 42 archived starts between 2013 and 2020, a strike rate of 21.4%. Placed 15 times in total (35.7% of starts).
- Who trained Nefyn Bay?
- Nefyn Bay (GB) was trained by Donald McCain on the most recent run on record, at Wolverhampton (AW) on 23 February 2020.
- Who is Nefyn Bay's sire?
- Nefyn Bay (GB) is by Overbury (IRE) out of So Cloudy (GB), whose sire is Cloudings.
- What going does Nefyn Bay prefer?
- Nefyn Bay (GB) has the best record on soft going: 3 wins from 7 starts (42.9%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Nefyn Bay's official rating?
- Nefyn Bay (GB)'s highest official rating on record is 125.
- What is Nefyn Bay's sire's record?
- Overbury (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since Jan 2008 (423 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Nefyn Bay's siblings?
- Out of So Cloudy (GB), Nefyn Bay (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Nefyn Point (GB) (2). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Nefyn Point (GB)). The wins came over 2m1f. As at Oct 2026.