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Jockey profile

Lorcan Murtagh

377 rides in the last 5 seasons · 171 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2022
24–377
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=377
74 (20%)
Placed
0.98
Fair A/E
n=375 · 0.83 incl. margin
−148.22
£1 level stake
n=377 at SP · −39.3%
£273k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 80 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98). When claiming the record reads 13% (64 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 377 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Nigel Hawke: 6.9% from 116 First rides: 9% Claiming: 12.5%
The read

The record is strongest at Exeter (16.7%, n=30), clear of the rider's 6.4% baseline. Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=64, Fair A/E 1.22), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.7% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.28). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.64 and +27.25 to a £1 stake over 144 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −25.00 to a £1 stake over 100 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Nigel Hawke supplies 31% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.9%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Soft going (12.2%, n=82) and on Heavy going (13.3%, n=30). The market has also underrated the rider over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 1.41 across 150 rides (10.7% strike, +0.78 to a £1 stake). The standout partner of the record: Prince Khurram (GB) — 5 wins from 13 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9%+2.6
n=144 · A/E 1.64 · £1 +27.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
14.3%+7.9
n=21 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −11.75
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5%−1.4
n=100 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −25.00
When favourite
43.8%
n=16 · A/E 1.77 · £1 +4.03
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
12.5%+6.1
n=64 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −27.22
Big fields · 14+ runners
1.7%−4.7
n=60 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −57.38
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Exeter 16.7% vs 6.4% · n=30
On Soft going 12.2% vs 6.4% · n=82
When claiming 12.5% vs 6.4% · n=64
On Heavy going 13.3% vs 6.4% · n=30
With Harry Fry 11.8% vs 6.4% · n=76
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 10.7% vs 6.4% · n=150
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 250 15 6% −99.72
Chase 98 8 8.2% −26.00
NH Flat 29 1 3.4% −22.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 138 7 5.1% −59.00
Good to Soft 124 3 2.4% −87.50
Soft 82 10 12.2% +11.25
Heavy 30 4 13.3% −9.97
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Exeter 30 5 16.7% +17.03
Fontwell 28 3 10.7% −7.50
Hexham 21 1 4.8% −13.50
Uttoxeter 20 0 0% −20.00
Plumpton 19 1 5.3% −15.25
Chepstow 18 1 5.6% −15.00
Sedgefield 18 2 11.1% +19.00
Taunton 18 1 5.6% −11.50
Carlisle 17 0 0% −17.00
Wincanton 16 0 0% −16.00
Newton Abbot 14 0 0% −14.00
Worcester 12 1 8.3% −1.00
Warwick 11 2 18.2% +4.00
Hereford 11 1 9.1% +0.00
Huntingdon 10 1 10% +13.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 187 11 5.9% −85.50
Class 4 145 10 6.9% −35.47
Class 3 27 3 11.1% −9.25
Class 2 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 8 47.1% 1.90 +6.53
2nd–3rd fav 50 5 10% 0.66 −20.25
4th–6th fav 122 8 6.6% 0.92 −27.50
7th+ in betting 188 3 1.6% 0.75 −107.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
71.8% completed · 348 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 98 56.1% 5 4 34 0 0
Hurdle 250 78% 3 3 49 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Iturgeon Du Breuil (FR) 17 0 1 25 Mar 26
Speiriuil (IRE) 11 1 6 21 Apr 25
Kentucky Bluegrass (GB) 10 0 1 24 Jun 25
Derracrin (GB) 8 1 1 27 Aug 25
Watchoutitscookie (IRE) 8 1 2 25 Jun 25
Edmond Dantes (IRE) 8 0 1 20 May 25
Parish Star (IRE) 8 0 0 20 Dec 24
Monjules (FR) 8 3 5 29 Jan 24
Fine Point (IRE) 7 1 1 25 Jul 25
Highbury Hill (GB) 5 0 1 16 Apr 25
Inferno Sacree (FR) 5 0 2 20 Mar 25
Donnacha (IRE) 5 3 3 9 Feb 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 171 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 6
Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
71036708005710
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardNigel Hawke
31% of all rides
6.9% SR · A/E 1.08
TrainerRWSR£1
Nigel Hawke 116 8 6.9% −42.00
Harry Fry 76 9 11.8% −32.72
Barry Murtagh 68 1 1.5% −60.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
90
Archived wins
£1.00m
Prize money
2017
Best season · 18 wins
Rocking Blues (FR) — Betfred Eider (Handicap Chase) Newcastle · Feb 2016 · Class 2
£53,176
William Of Orange (GB) — Smarkets Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle Haydock · Mar 2018 · Class 2
£30,950
Tawseef (IRE) — Coral Handicap Hurdle Cartmel · Aug 2017 · Class 2
£15,640
Notable horses
Prince Khurram (GB) Handy Hollow (IRE) Monjules (FR) Doktor Glaz (FR) Donnacha (IRE) Rocking Blues (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fracas (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 9.7% of 796 runs since 2012 (56 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13% from 100. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.3% from 119. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.7% from 106.
Turgeon (USA) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,189 runs since 2008 (341 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 268.
Yeats (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,844 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.
Doyen (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,381 runs since 2009 (606 horses).
Getaway (GER) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,994 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Jet Away (GB) 30% · 3–10
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,545 runs since 2018 (274 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,338 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,338 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 September 2014 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Chicago Storm (GB)T: Barry Murtagh Canine PREMIER FLEX Plus Joint Supplement Etc Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran PU 125/1
03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Al Qatem (GB)T: Barry Murtagh Green Howards Museum Richmond Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 100/1
02 Nov 26 Plumpton Bandjo (FR)T: Georgina Nicholls Southern Cranes Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 22/1
29 Oct 26 Stratford River Don (IRE)T: Harry Ryall EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 150/1
28 Oct 26 Huntingdon What's Your Game (IRE)T: Georgina Nicholls Peterborough Chase 6 December 2026 Book Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 22/1
24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Thank You Ma'am (GB)T: Georgina Nicholls Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 19 ran 4th 20/1
22 Oct 26 Carlisle Chicago Storm (GB)T: F P Murtagh Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 13th 150/1
21 Oct 26 Fontwell Ritaan (IRE)T: Georgina Nicholls tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 50/1
11 Oct 26 Chepstow Thank You Ma'am (GB)T: Georgina Nicholls Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 40/1
10 Oct 26 Chepstow Golden Maverick (FR)T: Tim Vaughan Dragonbet John Ayres Memorial Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 7th 33/1
24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Chicago Storm (GB)T: F P Murtagh Bridal Rooms Uttoxeter Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 11th 80/1
01 Jul 26 Worcester Scoresby (GB)T: Harry Ryall BRI Wealth Accumulation Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 1st 10/1
13 Jun 26 Hexham Chicago Storm (GB)T: Barry Murtagh Tileform Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 20/1
03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot River Don (IRE)T: Harry Ryall Sun Racing Free Tickets With Sun Club Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 25/1
27 May 26 Newton Abbot Scoresby (GB)T: Harry Ryall Chris Wills Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 10/3
27 May 26 Newton Abbot G Whizz (GB)T: Harry Ryall Stock Exe Building Supplies Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 5th 200/1
10 May 26 Ludlow Joker Jack (IRE)T: Claire Hitch Lion Leintwardine Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 8th 150/1
06 May 26 Fontwell Scoresby (GB)T: Harry Ryall Racey Stranger's Birthday Bash Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 7 ran 1st 10/1
04 May 26 Warwick Georges Street (IRE)T: Harry Ryall Hazelton Mountford Insurance Brokers Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good · 8 ran 6th 8/1
04 May 26 Warwick G Whizz (GB)T: Harry Ryall Moore & Tibbits Family Fun Day Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 11th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lorcan Murtagh's strike rate?
Lorcan Murtagh has won 24 of 377 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lorcan Murtagh do best at?
Exeter by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 rides (16.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Lorcan Murtagh ride most for?
Nigel Hawke, with 116 rides since 2022 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (6.9%).
Is Lorcan Murtagh in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lorcan Murtagh's Fair A/E?
0.98, from 375 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).