A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating89↓ 27lb off peak
8989–116
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed76the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Stratford, 11 Jul 2021
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps 13 figures · best 92C · median 63
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 28 Oct 2025
Good to Soft
7
92C
82
—
Good
4
76B
66.5
—
Soft
2
53B
37.5
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 28 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f
8
92C
62.5
—
2m5f – 3m
3
91B
82
—
1m5f – 2m
2
62A
59.5
—
Of 19 runs looked at, 6 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (3) · did not complete (2) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 19 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating103Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Southwell, 21 Jun 2021Official rating 89at the last run, 11 Jul 2021
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Jumps 20 figures · best 126C · median 103.5
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 28 Oct 2025
Good to Soft
10
126C
107.5
—
Good
5
126A
103
—
Soft
5
117B
88
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 28 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f
9
126C
104
—
1m5f – 2m
7
126A
103
—
2m5f – 3m
4
117B
102.5
—
Of 24 runs looked at, 4 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (4).
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 20 figures from 24 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Alflora (IRE)
Progeny in our archive have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since Jan 2008 (535 horses).
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Firm
10
1
10%
+0.2
—
Good to Firm
403
30
7.4%
−2.4
—
Good
1,670
153
9.2%
−0.6
1 from 5
Good to Soft
1,182
117
9.9%
+0.1
1 from 11
Soft
1,307
150
11.5%
+1.7
1 from 8
Heavy
698
67
9.6%
−0.2
—
Standard (AW)
42
3
7.1%
−2.7
—
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
6f – 7f
1
0
0%
−9.8
—
1m – 1m1f
4
0
0%
−9.8
—
1m2f – 1m4f
39
2
5.1%
−4.7
—
1m5f – 2m
1,472
124
8.4%
−1.4
1 from 8
2m1f – 2m4f
1,691
169
10%
+0.2
2 from 11
2m5f – 3m
1,615
170
10.5%
+0.7
0 from 5
Over 3m
490
56
11.4%
+1.6
—
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Ben Roseler (IRE) (Beneficial)
7 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Lie Forrit (IRE) (12 wins).
The wins came over 1m6f–3m4½f; the highest grade won is Listed (Lie Forrit (IRE)).
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Nobel Leader (IRE) won 3 of 24 archived starts between 2015 and 2021, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 7 times in total (29.2% of starts).
Who trained Nobel Leader?
Nobel Leader (IRE) was trained by James Evans on the most recent run on record, at Stratford on 11 July 2021.
Who is Nobel Leader's sire?
Nobel Leader (IRE) is by Alflora (IRE) out of Ben Roseler (IRE), whose sire is Beneficial.
What going does Nobel Leader prefer?
Nobel Leader (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Nobel Leader's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 89, from the run on 11 July 2021. The highest on record is 116.
What is Nobel Leader's sire's record?
Alflora (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since Jan 2008 (535 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Nobel Leader's siblings?
Out of Ben Roseler (IRE), Nobel Leader (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Lie Forrit (IRE) (12). Highest grade won: Listed (Lie Forrit (IRE)). The wins came over 1m6f–3m4½f. As at Oct 2026.
Nobel Leader (IRE)·3–24·SR 12.5%
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