What is Ryan Mahon's strike rate?

Ryan Mahon has won 95 of 804 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ryan Mahon do best at?

Plumpton by strike rate: 7 wins from 31 rides (22.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ryan Mahon ride most for?

Paul Nicholls, with 239 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (15.5%).

What is Ryan Mahon's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 799 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ryan Mahon

804 rides in the lifetime window · 419 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride May 2016 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

95–804

Wins / Runs

11.8%

Strike rate

n=804

244 (30%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=799 · 0.81 incl. margin

−260.96

£1 level stake

n=800 at SP · −32.6%

£938k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (101 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 804 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–May Fresh horses: 14.1% 38.8% when favourite Paul Nicholls: 15.5% from 239 LTO winners: 16.8% Claiming: 14.2% Rode the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Plumpton (22.6%, n=31), clear of the rider's 11.8% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.8% (n=101, Fair A/E 0.94), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 5.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −123.77 to a £1 stake over 188 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Paul Nicholls supplied 30% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.5% vs 11.8%, A/E 0.94). The rider also read well on Good to Firm going (20.2%, n=84). The record read poorly in Class 1 — 1.4% over 70 rides, 10.4pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.5%−0.3

n=419 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −127.85

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.8%+5.0

n=101 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −37.30

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

14.1%+2.3

n=191 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −42.92

When favourite

38.8%

n=85 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −1.04

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

14.2%+2.4

n=379 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −54.19

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.3%−6.5

n=188 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −123.77

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−11.8

n=48 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −48.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With new recruits 30.6% vs 11.8% · n=36

In Group / Graded races 0% vs 11.8% · n=48

In Class 1 1.4% vs 11.8% · n=70

With Harry Fry 21.3% vs 11.8% · n=75

On Good to Firm going 20.2% vs 11.8% · n=84

At Plumpton 22.6% vs 11.8% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 431 43 10% −169.56

Chase 286 43 15% −83.39

NH Flat 83 9 10.8% −5.01

Flat 4 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 257 32 12.5% −104.16

Good to Soft 200 19 9.5% −61.15

Soft 183 22 12% −16.64

Good to Firm 84 17 20.2% −24.26

Heavy 68 4 5.9% −46.50

Standard (AW) 12 1 8.3% −8.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wincanton 79 10 12.7% −17.50

Taunton 59 10 16.9% +1.54

Newton Abbot 47 10 21.3% −8.91

Cheltenham 46 4 8.7% −17.50

Chepstow 38 1 2.6% −32.50

Fontwell 36 4 11.1% −12.42

Stratford 33 3 9.1% +0.00

Exeter 32 5 15.6% −19.26

Plumpton 31 7 22.6% +24.00

Doncaster 28 0 0% −28.00

Newbury 25 2 8% −0.50

Worcester 25 1 4% −22.25

Southwell 22 4 18.2% +15.25

Uttoxeter 22 3 13.6% +24.50

Fakenham 21 2 9.5% −15.42

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 296 37 12.5% −101.77

Class 3 148 21 14.2% −59.59

Class 5 138 16 11.6% −33.24

Class 6 75 11 14.7% +0.14

Class 1 70 1 1.4% −51.00

Class 2 70 7 10% −12.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 97 34 35.1% 1.06 −9.29

2nd–3rd fav 230 41 17.8% 1.01 −40.67

4th–6th fav 238 9 3.8% 0.50 −143.00

7th+ in betting 235 9 3.8% 1.12 −68.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.9% completed · 717 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 286 83.6% 10 4 32 1 0

Hurdle 431 89.1% 4 5 38 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Miss Sassypants (GB) 12 2 5 7 Nov 15

Five Dream (FR) 11 0 3 9 Feb 13

The Geegeez Geegee (IRE) 9 2 3 17 Oct 15

Jonny Rye (IRE) 9 0 2 16 Jul 14

Rebel Rebellion (IRE) 8 1 3 11 Apr 15

Favorite Girl (GER) 8 1 3 29 Dec 13

Violin Davis (FR) 7 4 6 4 Apr 13

Miss Fortywinks (GB) 6 1 1 15 Apr 16

Squire Trelawney (GB) 6 2 2 20 Nov 15

Buck's Bond (FR) 6 2 2 26 Dec 14

The Informant (GB) 6 2 3 15 Dec 14

Top Smart (GB) 6 1 2 29 Jul 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 419 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8151418161261071199

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardPaul Nicholls

30% of all rides
15.5% SR · A/E 0.94

TrainerRWSR£1

Paul Nicholls 239 37 15.5% −58.22

Michael Appleby 83 6 7.2% −8.84

Harry Fry 75 16 21.3% −1.47

Seamus Mullins 67 6 9% −24.25

Dan Skelton 55 7 12.7% −20.12

Anthony Honeyball 51 3 5.9% −34.09

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

Archived wins

£938k

Prize money

2013

Best season · 23 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Rebel Rebellion (IRE) — Betfred Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Aintree · Dec 2013 · Class 2

£43,792

Pacha Du Polder (FR) — StanJames Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Newbury · Mar 2013 · Class 1

£28,475

Virginia Desir (FR) — Prix Duc d'Alburquerque (Chase) (Amateurs) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2009

£23,301

Notable horses

Violin Davis (FR) Rebel Du Maquis (FR) Opening Batsman (IRE) Just Amazing (IRE) There's No Panic (IRE) Miss Sassypants (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 22.2% · 8–36

Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Oscar (IRE) 19.2% · 5–26

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Turgeon (USA) 31.8% · 7–22

Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,186 runs since 2008 (341 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 267.

Kayf Tara (GB) 0% · 0–19

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

King's Theatre (IRE) 21.1% · 4–19

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Old Vic (GB) 21.1% · 4–19

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 806 · newest first

The latest 50 of 806 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2007 to 7 May 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 May 16 Warwick Max Dynamo (GB)T: Jim Wilson Andrews Bowen Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 40/1

15 Apr 16 Southwell Fuhgeddaboudit (GB)T: Seamus Mullins Beaumond House Community Hospice Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 9 ran PU 25/1

15 Apr 16 Southwell Miss Fortywinks (GB)T: Seamus Mullins Alea East Midlands Premier Entertainment Venue Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 6/1

28 Mar 16 Huntingdon Max Dynamo (GB)T: Jim Wilson Data Techniques Redemption Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 50/1

24 Mar 16 Ludlow Score Card (IRE)T: Alastair Ralph G C Rickards Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 5th 12/1

21 Mar 16 Southwell Miss Fortywinks (GB)T: Seamus Mullins Download The At The Races App Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 12/1

18 Mar 16 Fakenham Boss Des Mottes (FR)T: Dan Skelton totepool Fakenham Silver Cup (Handicap Hurdle)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 4th 4/1J

15 Mar 16 Cheltenham Fairytale Theatre (IRE)T: Dan Skelton OLBG Mares' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Registered As The David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 16th 200/1

03 Feb 16 Leicester Steel City (GB)T: Seamus Mullins Golden Miller Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 10/1

02 Feb 16 Taunton Acajou Des Bieffes (FR)T: Anthony Honeyball Openbet Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 9th 150/1

29 Jan 16 Doncaster Tipperairy (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Sky Bet Thanks Jen Noble Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 21 ran 10th 50/1

29 Jan 16 Doncaster Dashing Oscar (IRE)T: Harry Fry Sky Bet Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 17th 9/4F

23 Jan 16 Ascot Fairytale Theatre (IRE)T: Dan Skelton OLBG.com Mares' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Warfield Mares' Hurdle)Class 1 · 23.5f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 33/1

06 Jan 16 Huntingdon Steel City (GB)T: Seamus Mullins rewards4racing.com Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier For The Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final)Class 3 · 16f · Soft · 17 ran 9th 25/1

29 Dec 15 Doncaster Chap (GB)T: Dan Skelton Betdaq.com 50% Commission Refund 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 9th 9/2

26 Dec 15 Huntingdon Nobel Leader (IRE)T: James Evans Racing UK 10 Day Pass Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 12/1

26 Dec 15 Huntingdon It's Oscar (IRE)T: James Evans Racing Fx Online Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 7/1

26 Dec 15 Huntingdon Sonneofpresenting (IRE)T: Kim Bailey Racing Fx Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 25/1

19 Dec 15 Haydock Wilton Milan (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase (Sponsored By Nationwide Vehicle Contracts)Class 2 · 23f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 12/1

19 Dec 15 Haydock Istimraar (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Nationwidevehiclecontracts.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 19f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ryan Mahon's strike rate?: Ryan Mahon has won 95 of 804 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ryan Mahon do best at?: Plumpton by strike rate: 7 wins from 31 rides (22.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ryan Mahon ride most for?: Paul Nicholls, with 239 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (15.5%).
What is Ryan Mahon's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 799 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.