Horse profile
Predicament (GB)
by Machiavellian (USA) out of Quandary (USA) (Blushing Groom)
29 runs · 17 courses · from Oct 2005
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 18 Feb 2009 — 6,454 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Feb 2009
New yard
Last raced off OR 102
KTB Profile
Predicament (GB) is yet to win from 29 starts, though has placed 5 times. Best effort: 2nd of 5 at Taunton (Jan 2008). Last raced off 102, 11lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 29 archived runs · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 11lb off peak
- 0–29Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 5 (17.2%)Placed
- −29.00£1 level staken=29 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=29 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 113Highest OR
- 43dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating102↓ 11lb off peak
102
101–113
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Machiavellian (USA)
Progeny in our archive have won 8% of 1,598 runs since Jan 2008 (74 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | +7.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Firm | 292 | 21 | 7.2% | −0.8 | 0 from 6 |
| Good | 370 | 24 | 6.5% | −1.5 | 0 from 7 |
| Good to Soft | 170 | 12 | 7.1% | −0.9 | 0 from 8 |
| Soft | 221 | 18 | 8.1% | +0.1 | 0 from 5 |
| Heavy | 68 | 9 | 13.2% | +5.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 464 | 42 | 9.1% | +1.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 63 | 4 | 6.3% | −1.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 368 | 34 | 9.2% | +1.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 264 | 15 | 5.7% | −2.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 310 | 28 | 9% | +1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 337 | 28 | 8.3% | +0.3 | 0 from 12 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 206 | 16 | 7.8% | −0.2 | 0 from 6 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 46 | 3 | 6.5% | −1.5 | 0 from 11 |
| Over 3m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Quandary (USA) (Blushing Groom)
6 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Hue (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 1m–2m5f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Hue (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hue (GB) | 41 | 5 | 2m–2m5f | Class 3 |
| Political Intrigue (GB) | 9 | 4 | 1m4f–2m | Class 3 |
| Sacred Shield (GB) | 8 | 2 | 1m1½f–1m2f | Class 4 |
| Quiet (GB) | 4 | 1 | 1m | Class 4 |
| Perfect Line (GB) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
| Riddle Master (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Good | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Class 4 | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Class 2 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Ludlow | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Taunton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cartmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wincanton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aintree | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Dayman | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Seamus Durack | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| A P McCoy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Tommy Phelan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Timmy Murphy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Noel Fehily | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| LBdr Sally Randell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paddy Brennan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paddy Merrigan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jim Crowley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 27 | 0 | 0% | −27.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2007 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2006 | 16 | 0 | 0% | −16.00 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 22 | 0 | 0% | −22.00 |
| Hurdle | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb 09+403d | Ludlow | Magnus-allcroft Memorial Trophy Hunters' Chase | PU/17 | — | 11-5 | 102 | — | LBdr Sally Randell | 66/1 |
| 12 Jan 08+5d | Warwick | totescoop6 Novices' Chase | 6/6 | 30 | 11-0 | 105 | 79C | Oliver Dayman | 100/1 |
| 07 Jan 08+23d | Taunton | Corfe Novices' Handicap Chase | 2/5 | 27 | 10-2 | 105 | 87C | Oliver Dayman | 12/1 |
| 15 Dec 07+7d | Cheltenham | boylesports.com Fon-A-Bet Novices' Chase | 6/6 | 15 | 11-0 | 105 | 91C | Oliver Dayman | 100/1 |
| 08 Dec 07+22d | Sandown | paddypowerpoker.com Henry VIII Novices' Chase (Grade 2) | 5/5 | 25 | 11-2 | 105 | 85C | Oliver Dayman | 66/1 |
| 16 Nov 07+20d | Cheltenham | Steel Plate And Sections Novices' Chase | 4/6 | 1¼ | 11-2 | 102 | 94C | Oliver Dayman | 100/1 |
| 27 Oct 07+8d | Chepstow | Western Daily Press Beginners' Chase | 4/10 | hd | 10-8 | 102 | 85C | Oliver Dayman | 25/1 |
| 19 Oct 07+12d | Cheltenham | Tiger Developments Novices' Chase | 6/7 | 15 | 10-6 | 102 | 71C | Oliver Dayman | 100/1 |
| 07 Oct 07+21d | Uttoxeter | Scott Wilson Novices' Chase (For the Royal Mercian & Lancastrian Yeomanry Challenge Cup) | 3/5 | 2½ | 10-2 | 102 | 77C | Oliver Dayman | 16/1 |
| 16 Sep 07+258d | Stratford | Claydon Horse Exercisers Handicap Hurdle | 10/13 | 2 | 10-10 | 109 | 72C | Oliver Dayman | 66/1 |
| 01 Jan 07+23d | Cheltenham | Aquanti Group 'Dipper' Novices' Chase (Grade 2) | 4/5 | 7 | 11-4 | 102 | 90C | Seamus Durack | 25/1 |
| 09 Dec 06+28d | Cheltenham | boylecasino.com Novices' Chase | 5/7 | 13 | 11-0 | 102 | 88C | Seamus Durack | 200/1 |
| 11 Nov 06+18d | Cheltenham | Jim Brown Memorial Novices' Chase | 6/7 | 11 | 10-13 | 101 | 101C | Tommy Phelan | 200/1 |
| 24 Oct 06+23d | Cheltenham | 15 Times Champion Trainer Tiger Developments Novices' Chase | 5/6 | 30 | 11-4 | 101 | 82C | Seamus Durack | 100/1 |
| 01 Oct 06+14d | Uttoxeter | P M Harris Beginners' Chase (For the Royal Lancastrian & Mercian Yeomanry Challenge Cup) | 5/10 | 1½ | 11-7 | 104 | 85C | Seamus Durack | 16/1 |
| 17 Sep 06+22d | Uttoxeter | totecourse to course Novices' Chase | 5/7 | 5 | 10-9 | 104 | 61C | Tommy Phelan | 16/1 |
| 26 Aug 06+26d | Cartmel | Betfair Beginners' Chase | 3/8 | 5 | 10-9 | 106 | 78C | Tommy Phelan | 9/2 |
| 31 Jul 06+19d | Uttoxeter | Cedar Tree Hotel Tel 01889 584241 Beginners' Chase | 2/7 | hd | 10-12 | 109 | 94C | Timmy Murphy | 11/1 |
| 12 Jul 06+56d | Worcester | Mazak And Power Beginners' Chase | 8/10 | 4 | 10-12 | 109 | 81C | Timmy Murphy | 11/1 |
| 17 May 06+17d | Hereford | allpay.net Beginners' Chase | F/8 | — | 11-3 | 105 | — | Noel Fehily | 14/1 |
| 30 Apr 06+6d | Ludlow | totepool "A Better Way To Bet" Novices' Chase | LFT/13 | — | 11-0 | — | — | A P McCoy | 11/4 |
| 24 Apr 06+32d | Taunton | Beginners' Chase | 2/6 | 2 | 11-1 | — | 96C | A P McCoy | 15/8F |
| 23 Mar 06+19d | Ludlow | Eddie Mapp Memorial Beginners' Chase | 3/10 | ¾ | 11-2 | — | 98C | A P McCoy | 5/1 |
| 04 Mar 06+15d | Newbury | Vodafone Handicap Hurdle | 9/14 | 6 | 10-10 | 111 | 77C | Paddy Brennan | 40/1 |
| 17 Feb 06+13d | Market Rasen | Betfred.com Handicap Hurdle | 7/11 | 1 | 10-12 | 111 | 71C | A P McCoy | 7/2 |
| 04 Feb 06+14d | Wetherby | Toteexacta Handicap Hurdle | 4/8 | nk | 10-1 | 111 | 101C | Paddy Merrigan | 5/1 |
| 21 Jan 06+55d | Wincanton | Connaught Handicap Hurdle | 4/11 | 2 | 10-12 | 111 | 103C | Noel Fehily | 20/1 |
| 27 Nov 05+36d | Leicester | Heart 106 Handicap Hurdle | 4/10 | 2 | 11-12 | 113 | 109C | Jim Crowley | 5/1 |
| 22 Oct 05 | Aintree | Intercasino.com Handicap Hurdle | F/13 | — | 11-2 | 113 | — | Jamie Moore | 20/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Predicament (GB) won?
- Predicament (GB) has yet to win, from 29 archived starts between 2005 and 2009. Placed 5 times in total (17.2% of starts).
- Who trained Predicament (GB)?
- Predicament (GB) was trained by Mrs Elaine Tate on the most recent run on record, at Ludlow on 18 February 2009.
- Who is Predicament (GB)'s sire?
- Predicament (GB) is by Machiavellian (USA) out of Quandary (USA), whose sire is Blushing Groom.
- What is Predicament (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 102, from the run on 18 February 2009. The highest on record is 113.
- What is Predicament (GB)'s sire's record?
- Machiavellian (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 8% of 1,598 runs since Jan 2008 (74 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Predicament (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Quandary (USA), Predicament (GB) has 6 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Hue (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Hue (GB)). The wins came over 1m–2m5f. As at Oct 2026.