What is Tommy Phelan's strike rate?

Tommy Phelan has won 48 of 864 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tommy Phelan do best at?

Southwell by strike rate: 6 wins from 50 rides (12%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Tommy Phelan ride most for?

Mark Gillard, with 302 rides since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (5%).

What is Tommy Phelan's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 863 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Tommy Phelan

864 rides in the lifetime window · 311 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2021 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

48–864

Wins / Runs

5.6%

Strike rate

n=864

146 (17%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=863 · 0.90 incl. margin

−191.88

£1 level stake

n=864 at SP · −22.2%

£269k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (52 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 864 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–May Mark Gillard: 5% from 302 LTO winners: 17.3% Claiming: 5.9%

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (12%, n=50), clear of the rider's 5.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.3% (n=52, Fair A/E 1.23), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0.7% (n=151, Fair A/E 0.22). Mark Gillard supplied 35% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5%, A/E 0.73). The rider also read well in Chase races (10.5%, n=248). Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.6%−1.0

n=305 · A/E 1.50 · £1 −33.92

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.3%+11.7

n=52 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −0.54

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.7%−1.9

n=163 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −73.50

When favourite

25%

n=16 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −3.29

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.9%+0.3

n=438 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −5.04

Big fields · 14+ runners

0.7%−4.9

n=151 · A/E 0.22 · £1 −143.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.6

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.3% vs 5.6% · n=52

With first-time headgear 14.3% vs 5.6% · n=35

In Chase races 10.5% vs 5.6% · n=248

With David Bridgwater 11% vs 5.6% · n=118

With headgear back on 12.9% vs 5.6% · n=31

At Southwell 12% vs 5.6% · n=50

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 541 19 3.5% −214.29

Chase 248 26 10.5% +50.91

NH Flat 74 3 4.1% −27.50

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 301 15 5% −28.17

Good to Soft 176 8 4.5% −6.25

Soft 166 13 7.8% −67.25

Heavy 107 6 5.6% −68.71

Good to Firm 106 4 3.8% −22.00

Firm 4 2 50% +4.50

Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 69 4 5.8% +66.50

Wincanton 65 1 1.5% −48.00

Newton Abbot 61 7 11.5% +0.75

Southwell 50 6 12% +5.83

Taunton 50 2 4% −16.67

Hereford 46 2 4.3% −4.00

Worcester 42 0 0% −42.00

Chepstow 41 3 7.3% +40.00

Towcester 40 4 10% −18.17

Stratford 38 2 5.3% −4.50

Fontwell 36 3 8.3% −19.75

Plumpton 31 3 9.7% +25.00

Huntingdon 30 0 0% −30.00

Exeter 29 3 10.3% −9.25

Bangor-on-Dee 27 2 7.4% −12.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 432 22 5.1% −133.17

Class 5 300 21 7% +10.79

Class 3 68 2 2.9% −52.00

Class 6 45 3 6.7% +1.50

Class 1 11 0 0% −11.00

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 17 4 23.5% 0.86 −4.29

2nd–3rd fav 101 18 17.8% 1.16 −11.09

4th–6th fav 269 16 5.9% 0.99 −70.50

7th+ in betting 477 10 2.1% 1.01 −106.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

79.5% completed · 789 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 248 71% 16 10 43 0 3

Hurdle 541 83.4% 8 2 77 0 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lady Willa (IRE) 21 3 5 26 Mar 13

Petito (IRE) 21 2 9 22 Jul 12

Littleton Aldor (IRE) 19 2 7 3 Nov 10

Revaader (GB) 17 0 5 22 Apr 15

No No Cardinal (IRE) 16 1 3 12 Jun 15

Bringewood Belle (GB) 12 2 4 1 May 15

Enchanting Smile (FR) 12 0 5 15 Mar 14

Inkberrow Rose (IRE) 12 2 5 20 May 12

Freckle Face (GB) 11 3 4 21 Mar 15

Lady Bridget (GB) 11 0 4 13 Dec 12

Vacario (GER) 10 0 1 15 Feb 11

Orana Conti (FR) 10 1 1 27 Feb 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 311 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

568985343731

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMark Gillard

35% of all rides
5% SR · A/E 0.73

TrainerRWSR£1

Mark Gillard 302 15 5% −76.37

David Bridgwater 118 13 11% −14.00

Claire Dyson 81 3 3.7% −12.50

Tom Gretton 39 2 5.1% −29.00

John Needham 38 3 7.9% +14.00

Aytach Sadik 37 2 5.4% −2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£351k

Prize money

2012

Best season · 16 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Freckle Face (GB) — Rockwool Multi Fix Novices' Chase Exeter · Mar 2014 · Class 3

£6,498

Wyck Hill (IRE) — Totepool Handicap Chase Wetherby · Nov 2012 · Class 3

£6,498

All Things Equal (IRE) — Meikleour Hotel Party Maiden Hurdle Perth · Apr 2006 · Class 4

£5,205

Notable horses

Blue Hills (GB) Lady Willa (IRE) Freckle Face (GB) Littleton Aldor (IRE) Petito (IRE) Bringewood Belle (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bob's Return (IRE) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 13.6% · 3–22

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,809 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Imperial Ballet (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,342 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.2% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 150.

Revoque (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 8% of 1,805 runs since 2008 (202 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 265. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5% from 100.

Kayf Tara (GB) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Pennekamp (USA) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 10% of 211 runs since 2008 (30 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,146 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,146 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 8 June 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Jun 21 Southwell Lafilia (GER)T: Giuseppe Fierro Visit Southwell Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 9th 66/1

12 Jul 20 Bangor-on-Dee Sussex Road (IRE)T: Aytach Sadik tote Supporting Racing Since 1921 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 10th 200/1

01 Mar 20 Sedgefield Shocona's Joy (IRE)T: Donald McCain Horton Harrison Astill Evans Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 27f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 22/1

23 Feb 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Lope De Loop (IRE)T: Aytach Sadik Visit Novibet Casino 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 7th 500/1

20 Feb 20 Huntingdon Fukuto (FR)T: David Bridgwater Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 14/1

31 Jan 20 Chepstow Fukuto (FR)T: David Bridgwater John's Electrical 1989 Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 8th 50/1

29 Jan 20 Leicester Lope De Loop (IRE)T: Aytach Sadik Kirby Muxloe Claiming HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Heavy · 6 ran PU 200/1

18 Jan 20 Haydock Notwhatiam (IRE)T: Alan Berry Jockey Club Haydock Park Racing Club Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 150/1

15 Jan 20 Newbury Fukuto (FR)T: David Bridgwater EBM Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 16.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 9th 40/1

30 Dec 19 Haydock Notwhatiam (IRE)T: Alan Berry Pied Bull Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 19f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 100/1

14 Dec 19 Doncaster Carry On (GB)T: Donald McCain Bet365.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 25/1

23 Nov 19 Haydock Notwhatiam (IRE)T: Alan Berry Betfair Exchange Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 19f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 100/1

20 Nov 19 Warwick Fukuto (FR)T: David Bridgwater Askews Accountants Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 66/1

20 Nov 19 Warwick Pirate Sam (GB)T: David Bridgwater Visit racingtv.com 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 125/1

14 Nov 19 Sedgefield The Model County (IRE)T: Alan Phillips Gamble Responsibly With MansionBet Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 27f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 8/1

12 Nov 19 Hereford Amangiri (IRE)T: David Bridgwater Join 8,000 Roa Members Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 66/1

12 Nov 19 Hereford Midnight Mustang (GB)T: Andrew J Martin Benefits For Roa Members At Roa.co.uk Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 12/1

09 Nov 19 Aintree Notwhatiam (IRE)T: Alan Berry Bet And Watch At Virgin Bet HurdleClass 2 · 20f · Soft · 5 ran 5th 100/1

24 Oct 19 Southwell Its All Clover Now (IRE)T: Derek Shaw Southwell Racecourse Irish Night 9th November Maiden Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 15.5f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 100/1

18 Oct 19 Uttoxeter Sussex Road (IRE)T: Aytach Sadik Optimum Pay Group Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tommy Phelan's strike rate?: Tommy Phelan has won 48 of 864 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tommy Phelan do best at?: Southwell by strike rate: 6 wins from 50 rides (12%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tommy Phelan ride most for?: Mark Gillard, with 302 rides since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (5%).
What is Tommy Phelan's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 863 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.