Probable (GB)
Probable is a maiden who won none of 12 starts and placed once. Her best effort came when second of 11 at Wolverhampton in Jan 2023. She raced on the all-weather in 11 of those starts and on good ground once. Aged 4 at her last run in Apr 2024 she finished eighth of eight at Catterick in a Class 6 handicap off an official rating of 45, which was 15lb below her highest ever mark.
- 0–12Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 1 (8.3%)Placed
- −12.00£1 level staken=12 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=11 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 60Highest OR
- 53dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 76
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 11 | 76A | 65 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 8 | 76A | 58.5 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 74A | 73.5 | — |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.7% of 2,753 runs since Jan 2008 (261 horses).
Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.4% from 332.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 9 | 0 | 0% | −12.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 490 | 58 | 11.8% | −0.9 | — |
| Good | 625 | 64 | 10.2% | −2.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 265 | 29 | 10.9% | −1.8 | — |
| Soft | 265 | 33 | 12.5% | −0.2 | — |
| Heavy | 79 | 8 | 10.1% | −2.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,020 | 159 | 15.6% | +2.9 | 0 from 11 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 710 | 90 | 12.7% | 0 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,618 | 226 | 14% | +1.3 | 0 from 8 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 332 | 28 | 8.4% | −4.3 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 81 | 7 | 8.6% | −4.1 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.7 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them First Thought (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 7f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 6 (First Thought (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Thought (GB) | 8 | 1 | 1m | Class 6 |
| Chough (GB) | 16 | 1 | 7f | Class 6 |
| Floridian (GB) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Class 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Morris | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Taylor Fisher | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Aiden Brookes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ethan Jones | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Liam Keniry | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hector Crouch | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hood | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Blinkers | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| None | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2022 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Probable (GB) won?
- Probable (GB) has yet to win, from 12 archived starts between 2022 and 2024. Placed 1 time in total (8.3% of starts).
- Who trained Probable (GB)?
- Probable (GB) was trained by Patrick Morris on the most recent run on record, at Catterick on 30 April 2024.
- Who is Probable (GB)'s sire?
- Probable (GB) is by Harry Angel (IRE) out of Port Charlotte (GB), whose sire is Oasis Dream.
- What is Probable (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 45, from the run on 30 April 2024. The highest on record is 60.
- What is Probable (GB)'s sire's record?
- Harry Angel (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.7% of 2,753 runs since Jan 2008 (261 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.4% from 332.
- Who are Probable (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Port Charlotte (GB), Probable (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: First Thought (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (First Thought (GB)). The wins came over 7f–1m. As at Oct 2026.