Show Promise (GB)
Show Promise (GB) is 1 from 15, the win coming at Class 4 level. Hasn't won since Jan 2020. The win came on turf — 0 from 4 on the all-weather. Last raced off 113, 12lb below the career-high mark.
- 1–15Wins / Runs
- 6.7%Strike rate
- 5 (33.3%)Placed
- −6.50£1 level staken=15 at SP
- 0.90Fair A/E n=15 · 0.77 incl. margin
- 125Highest OR
- 24dBetween runs (median)longest 276 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 103
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 103A | 102 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 101B | 97 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 101B | 101 | — |
| Over 3m | 2 | 93C | 93 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 15 runs looked at, 8 have no figure: no standard for this course, surface and code on the window (4) · did not complete (3) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 15 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.4% of 1,548 runs since Jan 2008 (146 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 26 | 2 | 7.7% | −0.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 275 | 19 | 6.9% | −1.5 | — |
| Good | 304 | 22 | 7.2% | −1.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 181 | 18 | 9.9% | +1.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 179 | 18 | 10.1% | +1.7 | 1 from 5 |
| Heavy | 58 | 5 | 8.6% | +0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 525 | 46 | 8.8% | +0.4 | 0 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 96 | 8 | 8.3% | −0.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 367 | 32 | 8.7% | +0.3 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 269 | 17 | 6.3% | −2.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 247 | 22 | 8.9% | +0.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 331 | 28 | 8.5% | +0.1 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 164 | 15 | 9.1% | +0.7 | 1 from 6 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 52 | 5 | 9.6% | +1.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | +5.2 | 0 from 2 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Improved (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m–2m7½f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Improved (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Improved (IRE) | 15 | 2 | 2m–2m7½f | Class 4 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 1 | 20% | +3.50 |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +1.50 |
| Class 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Catterick | 3 | 1 | 33% | +5.50 |
| Southwell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sedgefield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 1 | 17% | +2.50 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Chapman | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Thomas Dowson | 4 | 1 | 25% | +4.50 |
| Joe Williamson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Shanahan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Midgley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Adam Nicol | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2020 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +3.50 |
| 2019 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 7 | 1 | 14% | +1.50 |
| NH Flat | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Chase | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Show Promise won?
- Show Promise (GB) won 1 of 15 archived starts between 2018 and 2021, a strike rate of 6.7%. Placed 5 times in total (33.3% of starts).
- Who trained Show Promise?
- Show Promise (GB) was trained by Philip Kirby on the most recent run on record, at Ayr on 18 April 2021.
- Who is Show Promise's sire?
- Show Promise (GB) is by Josr Algarhoud (IRE) out of Show Potential (IRE), whose sire is Glacial Storm.
- What going does Show Promise prefer?
- Show Promise (GB) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Show Promise's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 113, from the run on 18 April 2021. The highest on record is 125.
- What is Show Promise's sire's record?
- Josr Algarhoud (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.4% of 1,548 runs since Jan 2008 (146 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Show Promise's siblings?
- Out of Show Potential (IRE), Show Promise (GB) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Improved (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Improved (IRE)). The wins came over 2m–2m7½f. As at Nov 2026.