What is William Shanahan's strike rate?

William Shanahan has won 23 of 284 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does William Shanahan ride most for?

Jennie Candlish, with 82 rides since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (13.4%).

Is William Shanahan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is William Shanahan's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 284 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

William Shanahan

284 rides in the last 5 seasons · 117 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2022

23–284

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=284

70 (25%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=284 · 0.83 incl. margin

−84.65

£1 level stake

n=284 at SP · −29.8%

£235k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

26.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96).

Deterministic profile computed from 284 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Jennie Candlish: 13.4% from 82

The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=102, Fair A/E 0.66). Jennie Candlish supplies 29% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.4% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.48) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Good going (15.5%, n=103) and in Chase races (15.6%, n=64). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 2.5% over 121 rides, 5.6pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Costly Diamond (IRE) — 5 wins from 11 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.9%−4.2

n=102 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −50.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

22.7%+14.6

n=22 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −9.97

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.3%−2.8

n=57 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −14.50

When favourite

37.5%

n=16 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −1.47

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.1%+0.0

n=273 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −76.15

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−8.1

n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.1

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good going 15.5% vs 8.1% · n=103

With R Mike Smith 0% vs 8.1% · n=63

In Chase races 15.6% vs 8.1% · n=64

In Class 4 14.2% vs 8.1% · n=134

In Class 5 2.5% vs 8.1% · n=121

With Jennie Candlish 13.4% vs 8.1% · n=82

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 209 12 5.7% −121.48

Chase 64 10 15.6% +18.83

NH Flat 11 1 9.1% +18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 103 16 15.5% +36.10

Good to Soft 95 5 5.3% −54.75

Soft 62 2 3.2% −42.00

Heavy 22 0 0% −22.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Perth 27 2 7.4% −20.25

Ayr 26 1 3.8% −14.00

Sedgefield 23 3 13% −11.38

Newcastle 21 1 4.8% −13.00

Wetherby 21 0 0% −21.00

Cartmel 21 2 9.5% +1.50

Uttoxeter 18 2 11.1% −2.00

Hexham 16 0 0% −16.00

Kelso 14 0 0% −14.00

Bangor-on-Dee 10 1 10% −8.17

Market Rasen 10 0 0% −10.00

Worcester 10 2 20% +25.50

Southwell 9 1 11.1% −6.25

Huntingdon 7 2 28.6% +45.00

Catterick 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 134 19 14.2% −10.15

Class 5 121 3 2.5% −48.00

Class 3 18 1 5.6% −15.50

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 18 6 33.3% 1.06 −3.47

2nd–3rd fav 53 9 17% 1.05 −6.68

4th–6th fav 86 3 3.5% 0.45 −58.50

7th+ in betting 127 5 3.9% 1.58 −16.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.8% completed · 273 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 64 84.4% 1 3 6 0 0

Hurdle 209 82.3% 5 4 27 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Fathers Advice (IRE) 14 0 3 16 Jul 23

Loughermore (IRE) 14 1 4 23 Feb 23

Gentle Victor (GB) 9 0 1 23 Sep 24

Maggies Boy (IRE) 8 1 2 6 Oct 26

Mcgowan's Pass (GB) 7 1 3 31 Dec 24

Our Sam (GB) 7 2 5 2 Jul 23

If Not For Dylan (IRE) 7 2 4 26 Dec 22

Pergamon (FR) 6 4 4 17 Oct 26

El Jefe (IRE) 6 0 1 14 Apr 23

Greer Hill (IRE) 5 1 1 19 Aug 26

Ladronne (FR) 5 0 1 18 Nov 23

Dot Cotton (IRE) 5 0 1 16 May 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 117 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

534101515110111300

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJennie Candlish

29% of all rides
13.4% SR · A/E 1.48

TrainerRWSR£1

Jennie Candlish 82 11 13.4% +9.82

R Mike Smith 63 0 0% −63.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

£306k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 9 wins

Skyjack Hijack (IRE) — Barrie Wells Trust Box4Kids Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Aintree · Oct 2024 · Class 3

£9,506

Costly Diamond (IRE) — F Jones Initiative Award Handicap Chase Bangor-on-Dee · May 2022 · Class 4

£5,773

Dunkerque (DEN) — QuinnBet Extra Places Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Newcastle · Apr 2026 · Class 4

£5,446

Notable horses

Costly Diamond (IRE) Pergamon (FR) Isthebaropen (GB) Our Sam (GB) If Not For Dylan (IRE) Dunkerque (DEN)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Aiken (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 7.4% of 95 runs since 2008 (4 horses).

Milan (GB) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,843 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 20% · 2–10

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).

Jet Away (GB) 20% · 2–10

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,496 runs since 2008 (267 horses).

Born To Sea (IRE) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,271 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 960. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 864. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 723.

Gentlewave (IRE) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,650 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 429.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 509 · newest first

The latest 50 of 509 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 July 2012 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Pergamon (FR)T: Jennie Candlish Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 100/30

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Albatross The Ace (GB)T: Ivan Furtado Advertise At Huntingdon Racecourse In 2026/2027 "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 1st 28/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Maggies Boy (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Agri Day At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 6/1

14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Karthala (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 8th 10/1

14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Helmsley (IRE)T: Ivan Furtado Fairlight Studios Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 5th 15/2

09 Sep 26 Sedgefield Pergamon (FR)T: Jennie Candlish Whitegates Nursery Northallerton Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 17f · Good · 3 ran 1st 13/8

05 Sep 26 Stratford Northwest Passage (GB)T: Ivan Furtado What The Frunk: The Geely Ex2 Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 11/1

19 Aug 26 Worcester Greer Hill (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 7/1

22 Jul 26 Worcester Greer Hill (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Widmer Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 6/1

02 Jul 26 Perth Pergamon (FR)T: Jennie Candlish Kettle Produce Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 5/2

01 Jul 26 Worcester Greer Hill (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Worcestershire Ambassadors Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 10/3F

17 Jun 26 Worcester Greer Hill (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 28/1

03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Dunkerque (DEN)T: Jennie Candlish Edmundson Electrical Torquay Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 3 ran 1st EvensF

28 May 26 Worcester Greer Hill (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 8th 33/1

24 May 26 Kelso Maggies Boy (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Komatsu Forest Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran UR 13/2

20 May 26 Warwick Karthala (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Cor Blimey Gallop Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 50/1

16 May 26 Uttoxeter Skyjack Hijack (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Eaton Hall Shooting Ground Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 18/1

15 May 26 Aintree Spartan Times (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Mental Health Awareness Week Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 4th 5/2F

10 May 26 Ludlow Pergamon (FR)T: Jennie Candlish Welsh Guards Association Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 1st 6/5F

02 May 26 Hexham Maggies Boy (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Elizabeth Elliott Birthday Celebration Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran PU 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is William Shanahan's strike rate?: William Shanahan has won 23 of 284 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does William Shanahan ride most for?: Jennie Candlish, with 82 rides since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (13.4%).
Is William Shanahan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is William Shanahan's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 284 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.