What is William Shanahan's strike rate?

William Shanahan has won 23 of 285 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does William Shanahan ride most for?

Jennie Candlish, with 82 rides since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (13.4%).

Is William Shanahan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is William Shanahan's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 285 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

William Shanahan

285 rides in the last 5 seasons · 117 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 8 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2022

23–285

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=285

70 (25%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=285 · 0.83 incl. margin

−85.65

£1 level stake

n=285 at SP · −30.1%

£235k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

25.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 285 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Jennie Candlish: 13.4% from 82

The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=102, Fair A/E 0.66). Jennie Candlish supplies 29% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.4% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.48) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Good going (15.4%, n=104) and in Chase races (15.9%, n=63). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 2.5% over 122 rides, 5.6pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Costly Diamond (IRE) — 5 wins from 11 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.9%−4.2

n=102 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −50.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.7%+13.6

n=23 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −10.97

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.3%−2.8

n=57 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −14.50

When favourite

37.5%

n=16 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −1.47

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8%−0.1

n=274 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −77.15

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−8.1

n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.1

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good going 15.4% vs 8.1% · n=104

With R Mike Smith 0% vs 8.1% · n=63

In Chase races 15.9% vs 8.1% · n=63

In Class 4 14.2% vs 8.1% · n=134

In Class 5 2.5% vs 8.1% · n=122

With Jennie Candlish 13.4% vs 8.1% · n=82

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 210 12 5.7% −122.48

Chase 63 10 15.9% +19.83

NH Flat 12 1 8.3% +17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 104 16 15.4% +35.10

Good to Soft 95 5 5.3% −54.75

Soft 62 2 3.2% −42.00

Heavy 22 0 0% −22.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Perth 27 2 7.4% −20.25

Ayr 26 1 3.8% −14.00

Sedgefield 23 3 13% −11.38

Newcastle 22 1 4.5% −14.00

Wetherby 21 0 0% −21.00

Cartmel 21 2 9.5% +1.50

Uttoxeter 18 2 11.1% −2.00

Hexham 16 0 0% −16.00

Kelso 14 0 0% −14.00

Bangor-on-Dee 10 1 10% −8.17

Market Rasen 10 0 0% −10.00

Worcester 10 2 20% +25.50

Southwell 9 1 11.1% −6.25

Huntingdon 7 2 28.6% +45.00

Catterick 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 134 19 14.2% −10.15

Class 5 122 3 2.5% −49.00

Class 3 18 1 5.6% −15.50

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 18 6 33.3% 1.06 −3.47

2nd–3rd fav 54 9 16.7% 1.03 −7.68

4th–6th fav 86 3 3.5% 0.45 −58.50

7th+ in betting 127 5 3.9% 1.58 −16.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.8% completed · 273 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 63 84.1% 1 3 6 0 0

Hurdle 210 82.4% 5 4 27 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Fathers Advice (IRE) 14 0 3 16 Jul 23

Loughermore (IRE) 14 1 4 23 Feb 23

Gentle Victor (GB) 9 0 1 23 Sep 24

Maggies Boy (IRE) 8 1 2 6 Oct 26

Mcgowan's Pass (GB) 7 1 3 31 Dec 24

Our Sam (GB) 7 2 5 2 Jul 23

If Not For Dylan (IRE) 7 2 4 26 Dec 22

Pergamon (FR) 6 4 4 17 Oct 26

El Jefe (IRE) 6 0 1 14 Apr 23

Greer Hill (IRE) 5 1 1 19 Aug 26

Ladronne (FR) 5 0 1 18 Nov 23

Dot Cotton (IRE) 5 0 1 16 May 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 117 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

534101515110111300

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJennie Candlish

29% of all rides
13.4% SR · A/E 1.48

TrainerRWSR£1

Jennie Candlish 82 11 13.4% +9.82

R Mike Smith 63 0 0% −63.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

£306k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 9 wins

Skyjack Hijack (IRE) — Barrie Wells Trust Box4Kids Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Aintree · Oct 2024 · Class 3

£9,506

Costly Diamond (IRE) — F Jones Initiative Award Handicap Chase Bangor-on-Dee · May 2022 · Class 4

£5,773

Dunkerque (DEN) — QuinnBet Extra Places Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Newcastle · Apr 2026 · Class 4

£5,446

Notable horses

Costly Diamond (IRE) Pergamon (FR) Isthebaropen (GB) Our Sam (GB) If Not For Dylan (IRE) Dunkerque (DEN)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Aiken (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 7.4% of 95 runs since 2021 (4 horses).

Milan (GB) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,890 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 20% · 2–10

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,391 runs since 2009 (607 horses).

Jet Away (GB) 20% · 2–10

Progeny have won 11.3% of 2,566 runs since 2018 (277 horses).

Born To Sea (IRE) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,302 runs since 2016 (313 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.5% from 869. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.

Gentlewave (IRE) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 13% of 1,663 runs since 2010 (220 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.2% from 434.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 510 · newest first

The latest 50 of 510 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 July 2012 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Albatross The Ace (GB)T: Ivan Furtado attheraces.com/marketmovers "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 5th 5/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Pergamon (FR)T: Jennie Candlish Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 100/30

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Albatross The Ace (GB)T: Ivan Furtado Advertise At Huntingdon Racecourse In 2026/2027 "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 1st 28/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Maggies Boy (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Agri Day At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 6/1

14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Karthala (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 8th 10/1

14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Helmsley (IRE)T: Ivan Furtado Fairlight Studios Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 5th 15/2

09 Sep 26 Sedgefield Pergamon (FR)T: Jennie Candlish Whitegates Nursery Northallerton Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 17f · Good · 3 ran 1st 13/8

05 Sep 26 Stratford Northwest Passage (GB)T: Ivan Furtado What The Frunk: The Geely Ex2 Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 11/1

19 Aug 26 Worcester Greer Hill (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 7/1

22 Jul 26 Worcester Greer Hill (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Widmer Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 6/1

02 Jul 26 Perth Pergamon (FR)T: Jennie Candlish Kettle Produce Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 5/2

01 Jul 26 Worcester Greer Hill (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Worcestershire Ambassadors Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 10/3F

17 Jun 26 Worcester Greer Hill (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 28/1

03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Dunkerque (DEN)T: Jennie Candlish Edmundson Electrical Torquay Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 3 ran 1st EvensF

28 May 26 Worcester Greer Hill (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 8th 33/1

24 May 26 Kelso Maggies Boy (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Komatsu Forest Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran UR 13/2

20 May 26 Warwick Karthala (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Cor Blimey Gallop Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 50/1

16 May 26 Uttoxeter Skyjack Hijack (IRE)T: Jennie Candlish Eaton Hall Shooting Ground Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 18/1

15 May 26 Aintree Spartan Times (GB)T: Jennie Candlish Mental Health Awareness Week Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 4th 5/2F

10 May 26 Ludlow Pergamon (FR)T: Jennie Candlish Welsh Guards Association Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 1st 6/5F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 17 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 17 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is William Shanahan's strike rate?: William Shanahan has won 23 of 285 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does William Shanahan ride most for?: Jennie Candlish, with 82 rides since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (13.4%).
Is William Shanahan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is William Shanahan's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 285 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.