Surewhynot (IRE)
Surewhynot (IRE) is 1 from 14, the win coming at Class 6 level. Hasn't won since May 2018. The win came on the all-weather — 0 from 5 on turf. Last raced off 55, 9lb below the career-high mark.
- 1–14Wins / Runs
- 7.1%Strike rate
- 2 (14.3%)Placed
- −11.00£1 level staken=14 at SP
- 1.30Fair A/E n=14 · 1.05 incl. margin
- 64Highest OR
- 47dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 92
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 94B | 83 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 106C | 66 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 94B | 82 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 106C | 64 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 92A | 90 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 14 figures from 14 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.7% of 1,458 runs since Jan 2008 (93 horses).
Weakest on soft going: 4.8% from 147. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 254.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 20 | 3 | 15% | +5.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 253 | 28 | 11.1% | +1.4 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 267 | 16 | 6% | −3.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 151 | 11 | 7.3% | −2.4 | — |
| Soft | 147 | 7 | 4.8% | −4.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 50 | 7 | 14% | +4.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 570 | 70 | 12.3% | +2.6 | 1 from 9 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 228 | 24 | 10.5% | +0.8 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 693 | 77 | 11.1% | +1.4 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 254 | 16 | 6.3% | −3.4 | 0 from 6 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 168 | 16 | 9.5% | −0.2 | 1 from 3 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 81 | 6 | 7.4% | −2.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 28 | 3 | 10.7% | +1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 6 | 0 | 0% | −9.7 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Eton Fable (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 1m–1m4f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Eton Fable (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eton Fable (IRE) | 41 | 4 | 1m–1m4f | Class 4 |
| Mikiteri (IRE) | 12 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 1 | 11% | −6.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leigh Roche | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Kieran O'Neill | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Ben Coen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| D M Simmonson | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Wayne Lordan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Denis Linehan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Danny Sheehy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Robbie Downey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Hood | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.00 |
| 2017 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 27 Aug 18+116d | Southwell (AW) | toals.com Bookmakers Handicap | 12/14 | 18 | 9-7 | 55 | -11C | 54C | Kieran O'Neill | 7/1 |
| 03 May 18+10d | Southwell (AW) | Freebetting.co.uk Handicap | 1/9 | 8-8 | 52 | 92A | 78A | Kieran O'Neill | 2/1F | |
| 23 Apr 18+12d | Navan | Racing Again May 19th Handicap (45-65) | 10/18 | 1¼ | 8-8 | 52 | 57C | 57A | Ben Coen | 12/1 |
| 11 Apr 18+20d | Dundalk (AW) | Wednesday Racing April 18th At Dundalk Handicap (45-65) | 4/14 | 4 | 9-2 | 53 | 90B | 72A | Wayne Lordan | 25/1 |
| 22 Mar 18+69d | Wolverhampton (AW) | sunbets.co.uk Handicap | 6/13 | ¾ | 8-3 | 54 | 81B | 53A | Ben Coen | 12/1 |
| 12 Jan 18+22d | Dundalk (AW) | Anglo Printers Claiming Race | 6/14 | 3¾ | 9-1 | 56 | 83B | 55A | Leigh Roche | 40/1 |
| 2017 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 Dec 17+15d | Dundalk (AW) | www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (45-65) (Div 2) | 11/14 | nk | 9-5 | 57 | 84B | 58A | Leigh Roche | 14/1 |
| 06 Dec 17+160d | Dundalk (AW) | www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (45-65) (Div 1) | 3/14 | 1½ | 9-0 | 57 | 94B | 72A | Denis Linehan | 33/1 |
| 29 Jun 17+9d | Tipperary | Racing Again At TipperaryRaces July 6th Handicap (45-65) | 10/16 | hd | 9-2 | 63 | 64C | 61A | Leigh Roche | 16/1 |
| 20 Jun 17+25d | Naas | Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Fillies Handicap | 4/13 | ¾ | 8-13 | 64 | 106C | 73A | Leigh Roche | 33/1 |
| 26 May 17+26d | Leopardstown | Breast Cancer Ireland Handicap (50-70) | 17/19 | 1¼ | 8-3 | 64 | 66C | 29C | D M Simmonson | 20/1 |
| 30 Apr 17+93d | Limerick (IRE) | Book Online At www.limerickraces.ie Fillies Median Auction Maiden | 6/11 | ½ | 8-7 | — | 66A | 60A | D M Simmonson | 66/1 |
| 27 Jan 17+35d | Dundalk (AW) | Elusive Pimpernel Fillies Maiden (Plus 10) | 9/14 | ¾ | 8-7 | — | 61B | 43A | Danny Sheehy | 100/1 |
| 2016 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 23 Dec 16 | Dundalk (AW) | Elusive Pimpernel Maiden (Plus 10) (Div 1) | 11/14 | 2½ | 8-11 | — | 62C | 32C | Robbie Downey | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Surewhynot won?
- Surewhynot (IRE) won 1 of 14 archived starts between 2016 and 2018, a strike rate of 7.1%. Placed 2 times in total (14.3% of starts).
- Who trained Surewhynot?
- Surewhynot (IRE) was trained by Scott Dixon on the most recent run on record, at Southwell (AW) on 27 August 2018.
- Who is Surewhynot's sire?
- Surewhynot (IRE) is by Baltic King (GB) out of Lina Story (GB), whose sire is Linamix.
- What going does Surewhynot prefer?
- Surewhynot (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 9 starts (11.1%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Surewhynot's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 55, from the run on 27 August 2018. The highest on record is 64.
- What is Surewhynot's sire's record?
- Baltic King (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.7% of 1,458 runs since Jan 2008 (93 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on soft going: 4.8% from 147. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 254.
- Who are Surewhynot's siblings?
- Out of Lina Story (GB), Surewhynot (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Eton Fable (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Eton Fable (IRE)). The wins came over 1m–1m4f. As at Oct 2026.