What is Denis Linehan's strike rate?

Denis Linehan has won 43 of 529 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Denis Linehan do best at?

Curragh by strike rate: 4 wins from 39 rides (10.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Denis Linehan ride most for?

J P Murtagh, with 111 rides since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (11.7%).

What is Denis Linehan's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 528 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Denis Linehan

529 rides in the lifetime window · 260 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jan 2019 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

43–529

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=529

128 (24%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=528 · 0.83 incl. margin

−204.84

£1 level stake

n=529 at SP · −38.7%

£519k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 110 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (40 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 529 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 20.5% when favourite J P Murtagh: 11.7% from 111 LTO winners: 12.5% Rode the favourite in 7% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=40, Fair A/E 1.01), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2% (n=102, Fair A/E 0.34). J P Murtagh supplied 21% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.7% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (13.3%, n=105). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 40 rides, 8.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.55 across 62 rides (3.2% strike, −42.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.3%−0.8

n=260 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −98.75

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.5%+4.4

n=40 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −3.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2%−6.1

n=102 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −82.00

When favourite

20.5%

n=39 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −12.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8%−0.1

n=489 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −214.84

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.7%−2.4

n=314 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −155.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.1

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 8.1% · n=40

With new recruits 0% vs 8.1% · n=40

With headgear back on 0% vs 8.1% · n=31

With Fergal Birrane 15.2% vs 8.1% · n=33

Off a 8-14-day break 13.3% vs 8.1% · n=105

Off a 61-180-day break 3.2% vs 8.1% · n=62

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 196 16 8.2% −91.34

Soft 101 10 9.9% −22.50

Good 85 7 8.2% −21.50

Heavy 61 4 6.6% −32.50

Good to Firm 54 5 9.3% −10.00

Good to Soft 32 1 3.1% −27.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 193 16 8.3% −88.34

Gowran Park 41 3 7.3% −17.00

Curragh 39 4 10.3% −1.00

Leopardstown 29 3 10.3% +2.00

Cork 28 2 7.1% −13.50

Naas 28 1 3.6% −24.00

Navan 24 2 8.3% −2.00

Fairyhouse 18 1 5.6% −13.00

Limerick 17 2 11.8% +0.00

Killarney 16 3 18.8% +1.25

Tipperary 16 2 12.5% +2.50

Roscommon 16 1 6.3% −12.00

Galway 15 1 6.7% −12.75

Listowel 10 0 0% −10.00

Tramore 8 1 12.5% +1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 44 8 18.2% 0.86 −17.25

2nd–3rd fav 98 15 15.3% 1.13 −9.59

4th–6th fav 139 16 11.5% 1.55 +7.00

7th+ in betting 248 4 1.6% 0.50 −185.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hes Our Music (IRE) 15 2 6 6 Apr 18

No Way Jack (IRE) 14 1 5 4 Jul 17

Rockview Emperor (IRE) 11 1 4 22 Jul 17

Aurelia Cotta (IRE) 11 2 3 23 Sep 16

Harvey Specter (IRE) 9 1 2 20 Aug 18

Feeling Easy (IRE) 9 1 4 23 Apr 18

Windsor Beach (IRE) 9 1 4 27 Aug 17

California Lad (GB) 7 2 3 19 Dec 18

Glenmoore (GB) 7 1 3 9 Nov 18

Shore Step (IRE) 7 0 4 24 Sep 18

Delaire (GB) 7 1 1 30 May 18

Diable d'Or (IRE) 6 0 0 19 Oct 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 260 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1417144057157648

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJ P Murtagh

21% of all rides
11.7% SR · A/E 1.00

TrainerRWSR£1

J P Murtagh 111 13 11.7% −44.67

Fergal Birrane 33 5 15.2% −7.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

Archived wins

£519k

Prize money

2017

Best season · 14 wins

Fiesole (GB) — Mcenery Cup Handicap Gowran Park · Aug 2017

£15,990

Golden Spell (GB) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Navan · Apr 2018

£15,375

Aurelia Cotta (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Handicap Gowran Park · Aug 2015

£13,110

Notable horses

Hes Our Music (IRE) Aurelia Cotta (IRE) California Lad (GB) Sister Blandina (IRE) Mandarin Monarch (IRE) No Way Jack (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 8.6% · 3–35

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,885 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Bushranger (IRE) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2013 (300 horses).

Thewayyouare (USA) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,152 runs since 2013 (166 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Oratorio (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 10.6% of 5,063 runs since 2009 (370 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 455.

Aussie Rules (USA) 21.4% · 3–14

Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,515 runs since 2010 (297 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 177.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 529 · newest first

The latest 50 of 529 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 February 2015 to 11 January 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Jan 19 Dundalk (AW) Goodnite Irina (IRE)T: Patrick Martin Cash Out Now Available On Horse Racing Multiples At BetVictor Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 20/1

11 Jan 19 Dundalk (AW) Three Majors (IRE)T: Anthony McCann Cash Out Now Available On Horse Racing Multiples At BetVictor Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 16/1

04 Jan 19 Dundalk (AW) Above Us Only Sky (IRE)T: Charles O'Brien BetVictor Handicap (45-65)8f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 10/1

21 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) Pact Of Steel (GB)T: Fergal Birrane Dundalk Stadium Racing Returns Friday 4th January 2019 Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 8/1

21 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) Admodum (USA)T: Michael Butler Winter Series At Dundalk 2019 Handicap10.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 25/1

21 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) Roman Warrior (GB)T: Fergal Birrane Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 7/1

19 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) Pointsevenk (IRE)T: W J Martin Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Maiden12f · Standard · 14 ran PU 100/1

19 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) California Lad (GB)T: Fergal Birrane Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (45-75)16f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 16/1

19 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) Amlad (IRE)T: Andrew McNamara Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Apprentice Rated Race8f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 14/1

14 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) Jack Nevison (GB)T: Adrian Brendan Joyce Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)6f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 25/1

14 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) Seyasah (IRE)T: Shane Ryder Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)6f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 12/1

14 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) Time Stands Still (GB)T: W J Martin Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Handicap (45-70)8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 12/1

07 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) Amlad (IRE)T: Andrew McNamara Crowne Plaza Jockey & Trainer Awards Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 33/1

07 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) Pointsevenk (IRE)T: W J Martin Happy Christmas From All At Dundalk Stadium Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 66/1

07 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) Chillala (IRE)T: Fergal Birrane Dundalk Stadium - Light Up Your Night Apprentice Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 28/1

07 Dec 18 Dundalk (AW) May Remain (GB)T: Richard John O'Brien Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 10/1

30 Nov 18 Dundalk (AW) Aunty Audrey (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Dundalk Stadium - Light Up Your Night Handicap (45-65)10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 25/1

23 Nov 18 Dundalk (AW) California Lad (GB)T: Fergal Birrane Fundraising Made Easy At Dundalk Handicap (45-75)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 6/1

16 Nov 18 Dundalk (AW) Finding Nero (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Apprentice Nursery Handicap (Plus 10)8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 7/2

09 Nov 18 Dundalk (AW) California Lad (GB)T: Fergal Birrane Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Apprentice Handicap12f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Denis Linehan's strike rate?: Denis Linehan has won 43 of 529 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Denis Linehan do best at?: Curragh by strike rate: 4 wins from 39 rides (10.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Denis Linehan ride most for?: J P Murtagh, with 111 rides since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (11.7%).
What is Denis Linehan's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 528 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.