What is Matt Sheppard's strike rate?

Matt Sheppard has won 48 of 406 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Matt Sheppard do best at?

Ludlow by strike rate: 7 wins from 39 runners (17.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Matt Sheppard?

Stan Sheppard, with 234 runners since 2022 — 58% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (12.8%).

Is Matt Sheppard in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Matt Sheppard's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 404 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Matt Sheppard

406 runners in the last 5 seasons · 53 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

48–406

Wins / Runs

11.8%

Strike rate

n=406

120 (30%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=404 · 0.97 incl. margin

−110.66

£1 level stake

n=406 at SP · −27.3%

£417k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10).

Deterministic profile computed from 406 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 37.1% when favourite Stan Sheppard: 12.8% from 234 Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ludlow (17.9%, n=39), clear of the yard's 11.8% baseline. It is weakest at Worcester (6% over 50 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.2% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.53). Stan Sheppard rides 58% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.8%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (15.8%, n=196) and in Chase races (15.8%, n=158). The stable star of the record: Modeligo (IRE) — 9 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.2%−6.6

n=58 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −37.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.7%−5.1

n=30 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −0.50

Debutants · first career start

0%−11.8

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.7%−5.1

n=15 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −11.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.1%−2.7

n=11 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +0.00

When favourite

37.1%

n=35 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +2.36

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.3%−4.5

n=55 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −26.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−11.8

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 29.8% vs 11.8% · n=47

With C&D winners 17.9% vs 11.8% · n=56

At Worcester 6% vs 11.8% · n=50

At Ludlow 17.9% vs 11.8% · n=39

Off a 15-30-day break 15.8% vs 11.8% · n=196

In Chase races 15.8% vs 11.8% · n=158

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 235 23 9.8% −58.55

Chase 158 25 15.8% −39.11

NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 183 23 12.6% −25.31

Good to Soft 104 11 10.6% −52.47

Soft 83 7 8.4% −53.75

Heavy 25 5 20% +17.37

Good to Firm 11 2 18.2% +3.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hereford 71 9 12.7% −19.25

Worcester 50 3 6% −31.50

Chepstow 41 3 7.3% −26.30

Ludlow 39 7 17.9% −6.97

Warwick 36 5 13.9% +3.63

Stratford 31 3 9.7% −5.50

Uttoxeter 20 3 15% +17.75

Taunton 17 3 17.6% −2.62

Bangor-on-Dee 14 1 7.1% −12.27

Leicester 13 5 38.5% +2.62

Exeter 13 1 7.7% −9.50

Wincanton 13 4 30.8% +4.25

Ffos Las 11 0 0% −11.00

Huntingdon 7 1 14.3% +16.00

Newbury 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 229 32 14% −42.54

Class 4 148 13 8.8% −51.32

Class 3 20 1 5% −15.50

Class 2 8 2 25% −0.30

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 43 13 30.2% 1.11 −5.64

2nd–3rd fav 98 25 25.5% 1.44 +27.48

4th–6th fav 130 9 6.9% 0.79 −8.50

7th+ in betting 135 1 0.7% 0.28 −124.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.4% completed · 393 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 158 82.9% 2 2 23 0 0

Hurdle 235 82.1% 3 2 37 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pottlerath (IRE)from Louise G Lyons 36 7 16 6 May 25

Famoso (IRE)from G Hiscock 34 6 15 20 Dec 25

Olivia Kate (GB) 20 2 5 26 Feb 26

Passing Kate (GB)from Grace Harris 20 6 13 22 Feb 26

Mactavish (GB)from David Thompson 20 3 11 25 Jun 25

Newtonian (GB)from Oliver Sherwood 20 1 5 27 Mar 25

Not Available (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 20 3 5 21 Mar 24

Lucky Lugger (GB)from Mel Rowley 19 1 5 6 Mar 26

Blackijo Dagrostis (FR) 16 0 1 17 Oct 26

Midnight View (GB) 12 1 3 6 Oct 26

Baliyad (IRE)from Seamus Neville 12 1 4 21 Feb 23

Gower Spirit (GB)from Henrietta C Knight 11 1 3 26 Mar 26

All 53 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 53 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mrs N Sheppard (2) and S R B Crawford (2); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs N Sheppard (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1215314101309372515

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderStan Sheppard

58% of all rides
12.8% SR · A/E 1.12

RiderRWSR£1

Stan Sheppard 234 30 12.8% −61.79

Richard Patrick 58 7 12.1% +5.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

195

Archived wins

£1.67m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 17 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

The Bay Birch (IRE) — Betway Challenger Series Mares' Chase Final Handicap Chase Haydock · Apr 2019 · Class 2

£31,455

Ikorodu Road (GB) — Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase Newbury · Mar 2012 · Class 2

£31,280

Ikorodu Road (GB) — Download William Hill From The App-Store Grimthorpe Chase (Handicap) Doncaster · Mar 2012 · Class 2

£29,241

Notable horses

Modeligo (IRE) The Bay Birch (IRE) Loughalder (IRE) Rock On Rocky (GB) Pottlerath (IRE) Famoso (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Yorgunnabelucky (USA) 8.5% · 5–59

Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,075 runs since 2008 (97 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.2% from 254.

Yeats (IRE) 17.5% · 7–40

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Fame And Glory (GB) 15.4% · 6–39

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).

Telescope (IRE) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,891 runs since 2008 (295 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.9% from 104. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.3% from 279.

Milan (GB) 13% · 3–23

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,843 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,682 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,113 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,113 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Stratford Blackijo Dagrostis (FR)J: Gavin Sheehan Invades Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 4 ran PU 7/4J

09 Oct 26 Chepstow No Hard Feelings (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 66/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Midnight View (GB)J: Stan Sheppard Christmas Parties 2026 At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 14/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Connemara Joe (IRE)J: Cameron Iles Fbc Manby Bowdler Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran PU 33/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Blackijo Dagrostis (FR)J: Stan Sheppard CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 25/1

22 Sep 26 Warwick Lady Bee Great (IRE)J: Mr James King Zulus Gonna Get Ya Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 80/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Lady Bee Great (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 9th 66/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Keep Me Posted (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Envesca Safety Champions Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 28/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Connemara Joe (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Allan Atkinson Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 25/1

23 Aug 26 Worcester Connemara Joe (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard You Spindle Me Rightround Baby Rightround Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 8th 50/1

19 Aug 26 Worcester Lady Bee Great (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 8th 40/1

19 Aug 26 Worcester Keep Me Posted (IRE)J: Harry Bannister CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 40/1

16 Jul 26 Worcester Connemara Joe (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard CopyBet Daily Profit Boost Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 5th 100/1

16 Jul 26 Worcester Keep Me Posted (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard CopyBet BOG Today For Tomorrow's Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 5th 14/1

30 Jun 26 Stratford Connemara Joe (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Racehorse Ownership From 25 Pound At racingclub.com Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 80/1

03 Jun 26 Warwick Midnight View (GB)J: Ned Fox Virtus Property Services Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 5th 9/2

03 Jun 26 Warwick Connemara Joe (IRE)J: Ned Fox EHB Residential Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 4th 150/1

13 May 26 Newton Abbot Flora Hobbs (GB)J: Stan Sheppard William Hill Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 10th 8/1

10 May 26 Ludlow Midnight View (GB)J: Stan Sheppard Heartsease Farm Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/4F

23 Apr 26 Warwick Midnight View (GB)J: Stan Sheppard Molly Ollys Charity Partner Of The Year Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 9 ran 1st 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Matt Sheppard's strike rate?: Matt Sheppard has won 48 of 406 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matt Sheppard do best at?: Ludlow by strike rate: 7 wins from 39 runners (17.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Matt Sheppard?: Stan Sheppard, with 234 runners since 2022 — 58% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (12.8%).
Is Matt Sheppard in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Matt Sheppard's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 404 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.