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Jockey profile

John Fitzpatrick

206 rides in the lifetime window · 125 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Sep 2020 94% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
8–206
Wins / Runs
3.9%
Strike rate
n=206
23 (11%)
Placed
0.78
Fair A/E
n=206 · 0.63 incl. margin
−148.62
£1 level stake
n=206 at SP · −72.1%
£92,078
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78).

Deterministic profile computed from 206 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 4.1%
The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −99.00 to a £1 stake over 125 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The rider also read well over 2m5f – 3m (10%, n=40) and on Heavy going (8%, n=50). The record read poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 61 rides, 3.9pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.2%−0.7
n=125 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −99.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
28.6%+24.7
n=7 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +4.88
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
4.1%+0.2
n=49 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −36.50
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −0.12
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.7%−0.2
n=190 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −137.12
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.7%−1.2
n=111 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −76.12
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m 10% vs 3.9% · n=40
On Heavy going 8% vs 3.9% · n=50
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 3.9% · n=61
With P J Rothwell 0% vs 3.9% · n=39
Off a 8-14-day break 0% vs 3.9% · n=32
With horses switching code 6.8% vs 3.9% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 138 6 4.3% −87.12
Chase 43 2 4.7% −36.50
Flat 13 0 0% −13.00
NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 83 2 2.4% −78.12
Good 51 2 3.9% −37.50
Heavy 50 4 8% −11.00
Good to Soft 19 0 0% −19.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 17 1 5.9% −13.50
Thurles 16 0 0% −16.00
Cork 15 0 0% −15.00
Kilbeggan 14 0 0% −14.00
Wexford 12 0 0% −12.00
Clonmel 11 0 0% −11.00
Punchestown 11 0 0% −11.00
Limerick 9 1 11.1% +14.00
Navan 9 0 0% −9.00
Leopardstown 9 0 0% −9.00
Galway 9 0 0% −9.00
Down Royal 9 0 0% −9.00
Roscommon 8 1 12.5% +1.00
Tramore 8 0 0% −8.00
Sligo 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 1.05 −2.12
2nd–3rd fav 17 3 17.6% 1.16 −4.50
4th–6th fav 41 2 4.9% 0.84 −24.00
7th+ in betting 141 1 0.7% 0.30 −118.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.9% completed · 181 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 43 62.8% 3 3 10 0 0
Hurdle 138 82.6% 5 1 18 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lough Derg Lyric (IRE) 6 0 0 17 Dec 17
Taboo (IRE) 6 0 3 1 Jan 17
Pride Of Kildare (IRE) 5 0 1 16 Dec 17
Balofilo (GB) 5 2 2 12 Oct 17
Court Frontier (IRE) 5 2 4 29 Dec 15
Static Jack (IRE) 4 0 0 27 Apr 19
Clementina (FR) 4 0 0 14 Dec 17
Coldstonesober (IRE) 4 0 0 23 Jun 17
Fairwood Native (IRE) 4 0 0 17 Mar 17
De Grey Mink (IRE) 3 0 0 29 Aug 19
Rathnaleen Swift (IRE) 3 0 0 18 Oct 18
Aurellia (IRE) 3 0 0 31 Aug 17
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 125 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
7090017508053
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardP J Rothwell
19% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
TrainerRWSR£1
P J Rothwell 39 0 0% −39.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
8
Archived wins
£92,078
Prize money
2015
Best season · 6 wins
Balofilo (GB) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Listowel (IRE) · Sep 2015
£9,315
Vicangelome (FR) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-116) Naas · Jan 2016
£9,315
Court Frontier (IRE) — Marie Keating Foundation Charity Race Day Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Fairyhouse · Nov 2015
£7,590
Notable horses
Balofilo (GB) Court Frontier (IRE) Barrys Jack (IRE) Bridgets Pet (IRE) Vicangelome (FR) Adimelo (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Court Cave (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,942 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Tikkanen (USA) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,014 runs since 2008 (170 horses).
Gamut (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,839 runs since 2008 (172 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,837 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Great Palm (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,946 runs since 2008 (256 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 9.9% from 262.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 206 · newest first

The latest 50 of 206 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 October 2012 to 5 September 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Sep 20 Wexford Presenting Sun (IRE)T: Miss Ellmarie Holden Morriscastle Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 1)20f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 9th 13/2
29 Aug 19 Bellewstown De Grey Mink (IRE)T: Stephen Michael Hanlon Wintergrass Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 9 ran 6th 50/1
10 Aug 19 Kilbeggan De Grey Mink (IRE)T: Stephen Michael Hanlon Follow Kilbeggan Races On Facebook (c & G) Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 6th 66/1
19 Jul 19 Kilbeggan De Grey Mink (IRE)T: Stephen Michael Hanlon Coola Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 14 ran 13th 50/1
07 May 19 Ballinrobe Flattothemat (GB)T: S J Mahon Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)17.5f · Good · 15 ran 8th 16/1
27 Apr 19 Wexford Night Sir (IRE)T: Ms Helen P Markham Eoin O'Gorman Solicitors Handicap Chase (0-102)25f · Yielding · 16 ran PU 28/1
27 Apr 19 Wexford Static Jack (IRE)T: Miss Ellmarie Holden Vinegar Hill Handicap Hurdle24f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 14/1
26 Apr 19 Kilbeggan Spirit Of Dreams (IRE)T: Garrett James Power BetVictor Proudly Supporting Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 13 ran 7th 100/1
22 Apr 19 Cork Caoimhe Diva (IRE)T: Daniel John Howard Race & Taste Festival May 10th & 11th Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran PU 50/1
22 Apr 19 Cork O Supreme (IRE)T: Miss Denise Marie O'Shea Racing Home For Easter Maiden Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran PU 125/1
21 Apr 19 Cork Static Jack (IRE)T: Miss Ellmarie Holden Munster Waste Management Handicap Hurdle (80-116)24f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran PU 9/1
05 Apr 19 Wexford Static Jack (IRE)T: Miss Ellmarie Holden Racing TV For 12.00 Tomorrow Only Handicap Hurdle (80-123)20f · Yielding · 13 ran 4th 11/1
23 Mar 19 Thurles Static Jack (IRE)T: Miss Ellmarie Holden Enjoy White Gypsy At Finns Borrisoleigh Hurdle23.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 20/1
23 Mar 19 Thurles Chiavari (IRE)T: Miss Ellmarie Holden Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 18 ran 2nd 22/1
16 Mar 19 Down Royal Midland Millie (IRE)T: A L T Moore Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19.5f · Soft · 19 ran 6th 20/1
09 Mar 19 Gowran Park You Can't Catch Me (IRE)T: Kieran Purcell Holden Fleet Management Beginners Chase20f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 66/1
13 Feb 19 Fairyhouse Chiavari (IRE)T: Miss Ellmarie Holden Joe Mane-iac 2000 Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 14 ran 6th 25/1
31 Dec 18 Punchestown The Mcgregornator (IRE)T: Adrian Paul Keatley Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good · 22 ran 10th 14/1
28 Dec 18 Leopardstown Stoughan Cross (IRE)T: Thomas Gibney Irish Daily Star Christmas Handicap Hurdle (80-116)20f · Good To Yielding · 23 ran PU 50/1
26 Dec 18 Down Royal Tyrone Tiger (IRE)T: Miss Suzy Barkley Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16.5f · Yielding · 17 ran 7th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Fitzpatrick's strike rate?
John Fitzpatrick has won 8 of 206 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is John Fitzpatrick's Fair A/E?
0.78, from 206 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).