The Welsh Paddies (IRE)
The Welsh Paddies (IRE) is 4 from 16. Hasn't won since Mar 2019.
- 4–16Wins / Runs
- 25%Strike rate
- 7 (43.8%)Placed
- +11.75£1 level staken=16 at SP
- 1.97Fair A/E n=16 · 1.70 incl. margin
- 131Highest OR
- 58dBetween runs (median)longest 350 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 131
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 6 | 133B | 114.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 156B | 119 | — |
| Soft | 3 | 113B | 105 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 133B | 119.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 4 | 119A | 114.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 156B | 105 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 113B | 102 | — |
Of 16 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: did not complete (2) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 16 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 7,954 runs since Aug 2008 (553 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 233 | 28 | 12% | +1.9 | — |
| Good | 3,032 | 343 | 11.3% | +1.2 | 2 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 1,449 | 161 | 11.1% | +1 | 2 from 4 |
| Soft | 2,230 | 204 | 9.1% | −1 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 937 | 64 | 6.8% | −3.3 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 71 | 3 | 4.2% | −5.9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | −5.9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 13 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 71 | 1 | 1.4% | −8.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,792 | 169 | 9.4% | −0.7 | 1 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2,856 | 295 | 10.3% | +0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2,528 | 265 | 10.5% | +0.4 | 1 from 6 |
| Over 3m | 670 | 72 | 10.7% | +0.6 | 2 from 4 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Aug 2008 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Clondaw Anchor (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 2m–2m7½f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Clondaw Anchor (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clondaw Anchor (IRE) | 9 | 2 | 2m1f–2m7½f | Class 3 |
| Apple Crumble (IRE) | 4 | 2 | 2m–2m2f | — |
| Fame And Concrete (IRE) | 9 | 1 | 2m | Class 5 |
| The Grey Dove (IRE) | 8 | 1 | 2m1½f | — |
| Slate Gray (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| La Baie (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 2 | 25% | −2.25 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 2 | 50% | +18.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.00 |
| Class 4 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +2.75 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +16.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uttoxeter | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Warwick | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.75 |
| Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Taunton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 1 | 100% | +16.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.25 |
| Over 3m | 4 | 2 | 50% | +4.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 1 | 33% | +14.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Patrick | 6 | 2 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Jamie Moore | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Richard Johnson | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Noel Fehily | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.75 |
| Denis O'Regan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom O'Brien | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Charlie Deutsch | 1 | 1 | 100% | +16.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 8 | 2 | 25% | +0.00 |
| None | 8 | 2 | 25% | +11.75 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2019 | 6 | 2 | 33% | +2.00 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2017 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.25 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +16.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 9 | 3 | 33% | +1.75 |
| Chase | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 1 | 33% | +14.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has The Welsh Paddies won?
- The Welsh Paddies (IRE) won 4 of 16 archived starts between 2016 and 2020, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 7 times in total (43.8% of starts).
- Who trained The Welsh Paddies?
- The Welsh Paddies (IRE) was trained by Kerry Lee on the most recent run on record, at Bangor-on-Dee on 29 September 2020.
- Who is The Welsh Paddies's sire?
- The Welsh Paddies (IRE) is by Court Cave (IRE) out of Masiana (IRE), whose sire is Daylami.
- What going does The Welsh Paddies prefer?
- The Welsh Paddies (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is The Welsh Paddies's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 126, from the run on 29 September 2020. The highest on record is 131.
- What is The Welsh Paddies's sire's record?
- Court Cave (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 7,954 runs since Aug 2008 (553 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
- Who are The Welsh Paddies's siblings?
- Out of Masiana (IRE), The Welsh Paddies (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Clondaw Anchor (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Clondaw Anchor (IRE)). The wins came over 2m–2m7½f. As at Nov 2026.