What is Charlie Deutsch's strike rate?

Charlie Deutsch has won 173 of 1,377 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Charlie Deutsch do best at?

Ascot by strike rate: 14 wins from 40 rides (35%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Charlie Deutsch ride most for?

Venetia Williams, with 862 rides since 2022 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 120 (13.9%).

Is Charlie Deutsch in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Charlie Deutsch's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 1,375 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Charlie Deutsch

1,377 rides in the last 5 seasons · 433 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2022

173–1,377

Wins / Runs

12.6%

Strike rate

n=1,377

383 (28%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=1,375 · 0.83 incl. margin

−391.69

£1 level stake

n=1,376 at SP · −28.5%

£4.85m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 280 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 25% (181 rides). Rides mostly for Venetia Williams — 63% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,377 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Dec 35.9% when favourite Venetia Williams: 13.9% from 862 LTO winners: 24.9% Group/Graded: 17.6% Rides the favourite in 14% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ascot (35%, n=40) and Lingfield (27.3%, n=33) — all clear of the rider's 12.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 24.9% (n=181, Fair A/E 1.14), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=151, Fair A/E 0.81). Venetia Williams supplies 63% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.9%, A/E 0.91). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 5.8% over 120 rides, 6.8pts below the baseline. 29 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ladbrokes Trophy Chase at Newbury (Nov 2021, £142,375). The standout partner of the record: Pink Legend (GB) — 8 wins from 32 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.9%−3.7

n=359 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −176.47

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

24.9%+12.3

n=181 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −1.97

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.6%+0.0

n=390 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −132.35

When favourite

35.9%

n=192 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −10.84

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−12.6

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.6%−8.0

n=151 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −49.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

17.6%+5.0

n=108 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −38.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Ascot 35% vs 12.6% · n=40

On last-time-out winners 24.9% vs 12.6% · n=181

At Lingfield 27.3% vs 12.6% · n=33

With Sam Thomas 24.4% vs 12.6% · n=45

With debutants 4.5% vs 12.6% · n=67

Off a 61-180-day break 5.8% vs 12.6% · n=120

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 723 113 15.6% −135.42

Hurdle 576 54 9.4% −232.17

NH Flat 70 4 5.7% −46.60

Flat 8 2 25% +22.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 459 62 13.5% −203.13

Good to Soft 422 46 10.9% −188.83

Good 325 40 12.3% +59.91

Heavy 163 25 15.3% −51.64

Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cheltenham 100 9 9% +1.25

Hereford 85 12 14.1% −31.08

Ludlow 83 9 10.8% −21.54

Chepstow 82 7 8.5% −36.77

Exeter 69 6 8.7% −46.05

Ffos Las 67 7 10.4% −13.63

Newbury 67 11 16.4% −20.12

Warwick 63 4 6.3% −51.62

Bangor-on-Dee 62 11 17.7% −10.60

Uttoxeter 56 10 17.9% +17.25

Aintree 49 4 8.2% −25.67

Sandown 48 7 14.6% −4.63

Leicester 44 9 20.5% −16.85

Haydock 42 6 14.3% −12.87

Ascot 40 14 35% +40.98

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 496 63 12.7% −123.39

Class 3 277 33 11.9% −120.11

Class 5 247 27 10.9% −83.56

Class 1 186 30 16.1% +20.40

Class 2 163 19 11.7% −81.23

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 225 74 32.9% 1.05 −28.27

2nd–3rd fav 354 70 19.8% 1.10 +16.58

4th–6th fav 455 22 4.8% 0.62 −248.00

7th+ in betting 342 7 2% 0.64 −132.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.4% completed · 1,299 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 723 79% 24 8 119 0 1

Hurdle 576 84.5% 14 5 69 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Frero Banbou (FR) 21 1 9 8 Nov 25

Martator (FR) 20 5 7 11 Mar 26

Djelo (FR) 20 8 13 26 Dec 25

Tanganyika (FR) 18 4 7 27 Dec 25

Pink Legend (GB) 17 4 7 18 Apr 24

L'homme Presse (FR) 16 6 8 13 Mar 26

Gemirande (FR) 16 3 9 4 Apr 25

The Famous Five (FR) 15 3 7 26 Mar 26

Ramo (FR) 15 1 5 20 Feb 26

Haut Folin (FR) 14 1 5 26 Feb 26

Royale Pagaille (FR) 14 3 5 17 Jan 26

Funambule Sivola (FR) 14 3 4 13 Mar 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 433 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 4

Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

111698989170141618

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardVenetia Williams

63% of all rides
13.9% SR · A/E 0.91

TrainerRWSR£1

Venetia Williams 862 120 13.9% −247.07

Mel Rowley 196 25 12.8% +21.78

Sam Thomas 45 11 24.4% −5.72

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

373

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.92m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 45 wins

Cloudy Glen (IRE) — Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) (GBB Race) Newbury · Nov 2021 · Grade 3

£142,375

Royale Pagaille (FR) — Betfair Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Lancashire Chase) (GBB Race) Haydock · Nov 2024 · Grade 1

£116,849

Royale Pagaille (FR) — Betfair Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Lancashire Chase) (GBB Race) Haydock · Nov 2023 · Grade 1

£112,540

Notable horses

Pink Legend (GB) Djelo (FR) L'homme Presse (FR) Funambule Sivola (FR) Cloudy Glen (IRE) Royale Pagaille (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Martaline (GB) 20% · 13–65

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,339 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Kayf Tara (GB) 10.7% · 6–56

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,739 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Kapgarde (FR) 2.4% · 1–41

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,606 runs since 2008 (722 horses).

Blue Bresil (FR) 10.5% · 4–38

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,487 runs since 2008 (454 horses).

Montmartre (FR) 28.9% · 11–38

Progeny have won 11.6% of 2,388 runs since 2008 (303 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.5% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.9% from 598. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 2.9% from 138.

Saddler Maker (IRE) 16.1% · 5–31

Progeny have won 16.9% of 2,169 runs since 2008 (181 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 221.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,867 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,867 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 December 2012 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Gold Hill (GB)T: Sara Bradstock Pertemps Network Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 66/1

13 Oct 26 Southwell Cheesy Icon (GB)T: Mel Rowley Heb Group "the Power Behind Everyday" Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 9/2

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Division Day (GB)T: Lydia Richards Alderbrook Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 22/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Jammy Jay (GB)T: James Evans McCarthy Construction Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 9/2

01 Oct 26 Southwell My Bobby's Lass (GB)T: Mel Rowley Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 16/1

04 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee My Bobby's Lass (GB)T: Mel Rowley Genesis Wealth Management Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 40/1

07 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Jammy Jay (GB)T: James Evans CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/1

01 Jul 26 Worcester Dunstall Star (GB)T: Tom George Jane Newman Financial Planning Ltd Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 5th 7/2

11 Jun 26 Worcester Strong As Steel (GB)T: Tony Carroll Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 10th 10/1

11 Jun 26 Worcester My Bobby Dazzler (GB)T: Mel Rowley CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 4th 17/2

25 May 26 Cartmel My Bobby Dazzler (GB)T: Mel Rowley Hugh Cavendish Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 29.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 6/1

25 May 26 Cartmel R Bernard (GB)T: Mel Rowley Johnny & Tony Connell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 22f · Good · 11 ran 9th 12/1

23 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Anniespatient (IRE)T: Mel Rowley Wrexham Evening On Friday 26th June Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 9/2

20 May 26 Warwick The Craftymaster (GB)T: Tony Carroll Hazelton Mountford Insurance Brokers Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 8 ran 6th 22/1

16 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Knolton Park (IRE)T: Venetia Williams Family Fun Day 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 33/1

15 May 26 Aintree Masked Dance (FR)T: Mel Rowley HA Civils Franny Blennerhassett Memorial Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 5th 7/2

11 May 26 Southwell Kara Sacre (FR)T: Venetia Williams Book The Bistro At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/1

10 May 26 Ludlow Sunset Boulevard (IRE)T: Venetia Williams Radnor Hills Splash Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 4 ran 4th 13/2

09 May 26 Warwick Dunstall Star (GB)T: Tom George Mike Mohan's 60th Birthday 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran F 28/1

05 May 26 Hereford Chavez (IRE)T: Venetia Williams CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Charlie Deutsch's strike rate?: Charlie Deutsch has won 173 of 1,377 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Charlie Deutsch do best at?: Ascot by strike rate: 14 wins from 40 rides (35%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Charlie Deutsch ride most for?: Venetia Williams, with 862 rides since 2022 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 120 (13.9%).
Is Charlie Deutsch in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Charlie Deutsch's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 1,375 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.