Tiz Likely (IRE)
Tiz Likely is a maiden who was yet to win from 11 starts. Her best effort came when fourth of 10 at Lingfield in Mar 2023. She raced over 1m2f to 1m4f on four occasions and over 1m to 1m1f on six occasions, all without success. The filly, by Elzaam out of a Dandy Man mare, last ran at Lingfield in Dec 2023 when 12th of 12 in a Class 6 handicap off an official rating of 45, 12lb below her highest ever mark.
- 0–11Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −11.00£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=11 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 57Highest OR
- 34dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 75
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 92A | 65 | — |
| Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 22 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 92A | 65 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 80A | 68 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 4,520 runs since Jan 2008 (373 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.6% from 324.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 1 | 10% | +0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Firm | 464 | 54 | 11.6% | +2.4 | — |
| Good | 1,115 | 86 | 7.7% | −1.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 462 | 47 | 10.2% | +1 | — |
| Soft | 870 | 74 | 8.5% | −0.7 | — |
| Heavy | 291 | 25 | 8.6% | −0.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,308 | 130 | 9.9% | +0.7 | 0 from 9 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 408 | 47 | 11.5% | +2.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,771 | 165 | 9.3% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,118 | 99 | 8.9% | −0.3 | 0 from 6 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 700 | 75 | 10.7% | +1.5 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 324 | 15 | 4.6% | −4.6 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 153 | 15 | 9.8% | +0.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 39 | 0 | 0% | −9.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +5.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Merry Secret (IRE) (6 wins).
The wins came over 5f–7f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Keep Grating (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merry Secret (IRE) | 60 | 6 | 6f–7f | Class 4 |
| Dazzling Des (IRE) | 31 | 5 | 5f–6f | Class 3 |
| Private Affair (IRE) | 2 | 1 | 5f | Class 4 |
| Keep Grating (IRE) | 6 | 1 | 7f | Class 2 |
| Blue Moon Baby (IRE) | 6 | 1 | 5f | Class 6 |
| Hot Love (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Secret Sausage (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lingfield (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Bath | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Probert | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Luke Morris | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Rhys Clutterbuck | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mia Nicholls | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ray Dawson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Georgia Dobie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Egan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieran O'Neill | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jimmy Quinn | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blinkers | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 23+54d | Lingfield (AW) | Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap | 12/12 | 4 | 8-12 | 45 | 70A | 34A | Rhys Clutterbuck | 100/1 |
| 27 Oct 23+1d | Lingfield (AW) | BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap | 8/11 | 3½ | 9-0 | 45 | 75A | 38A | David Probert | 22/1 |
| 26 Oct 23+21d | Lingfield (AW) | Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap | 10/10 | 4½ | 7-11 | 45 | 56A | 19A | Mia Nicholls | 50/1 |
| 05 Oct 23+118d | Lingfield (AW) | Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Handicap | 5/11 | nse | 8-11 | 45 | 92A | 57A | David Probert | 125/1 |
| 09 Jun 23+23d | Bath | aceodds.com Bet Calculator Handicap | 6/6 | 99 | 8-11 | 46 | -12C | 35C | Ray Dawson | 50/1 |
| 17 May 23+38d | Bath | starsportsbet.co.uk Handicap | 14/14 | 11 | 9-1 | 50 | 66C | 30C | Georgia Dobie | 125/1 |
| 09 Apr 23+30d | Southwell (AW) | Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Maiden Handicap | 11/11 | 2¼ | 8-12 | 54 | 65C | 25C | Luke Morris | 66/1 |
| 10 Mar 23+7d | Wolverhampton (AW) | It's Time To Turn To talkSPORT Handicap | 5/5 | 2¾ | 9-9 | 57 | 62C | 43B | David Egan | 25/1 |
| 03 Mar 23+13d | Lingfield (AW) | Huge Daily Boosts Only At BetUK Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/10 | 1½ | 8-2 | — | 80A | 49A | Luke Morris | 250/1 |
| 18 Feb 23+30d | Lingfield (AW) | talkSPORT Powered By Fans Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 10/11 | 1 | 8-12 | — | 65A | 37A | Kieran O'Neill | 250/1 |
| 19 Jan 23 | Wolverhampton (AW) | talkSPORT Download The App Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) | 6/6 | 21 | 8-4 | — | -9C | 32C | Jimmy Quinn | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Tiz Likely (IRE) won?
- Tiz Likely (IRE) has yet to win, from 11 archived starts in 2023.
- Who trained Tiz Likely (IRE)?
- Tiz Likely (IRE) was trained by J S Moore on the most recent run on record, at Lingfield (AW) on 20 December 2023.
- Who is Tiz Likely (IRE)'s sire?
- Tiz Likely (IRE) is by Elzaam (AUS) out of Secret Liaison (IRE), whose sire is Dandy Man.
- What is Tiz Likely (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 45, from the run on 20 December 2023. The highest on record is 57.
- What is Tiz Likely (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Elzaam (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 4,520 runs since Jan 2008 (373 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.6% from 324.
- Who are Tiz Likely (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Secret Liaison (IRE), Tiz Likely (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Merry Secret (IRE) (6). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Keep Grating (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Oct 2026.