Trouble Man (IRE)
Trouble Man is a gelding who has two wins from nine runs, both on standard going on all-weather. He won a class 5 novice at Wolverhampton under 6f in Dec 2024 and a class 4 handicap at Kempton over 6f-7f in Jan 2025 off an official rating of 77. His last run, at Wolverhampton in Feb 2026, was his first in first-time headgear and saw him finish 3 of 12, racing prominently off an official rating of 77. He has raced on turf once without success.
- 2–9Wins / Runs
- 22.2%Strike rate
- 4 (44.4%)Placed
- −2.63£1 level staken=9 at SP
- 1.99Fair A/E n=9 · 1.66 incl. margin
- 83Highest OR
- 59dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 118
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 7 | 118A | 99 | 4 · 118 / 103.5 |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 7 | 118A | 100 | 5 · 118 / 100 |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.5% of 4,406 runs since Jan 2008 (356 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 20 | 2 | 10% | +0.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 646 | 60 | 9.3% | −0.2 | — |
| Good | 1,015 | 110 | 10.8% | +1.3 | — |
| Good to Soft | 413 | 31 | 7.5% | −2 | — |
| Soft | 545 | 48 | 8.8% | −0.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 152 | 11 | 7.2% | −2.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,615 | 155 | 9.6% | +0.1 | 2 from 8 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1,130 | 134 | 11.9% | +2.4 | 1 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 2,265 | 208 | 9.2% | −0.3 | 1 from 8 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 700 | 55 | 7.9% | −1.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 256 | 17 | 6.6% | −2.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 44 | 3 | 6.8% | −2.7 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 11 | 0 | 0% | −9.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Lir Speciale (IRE) (6 wins).
The wins came over 6f–7f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Lir Speciale (IRE)).
Family form: Lir Speciale (IRE) finished 3rd of 10 at Haydock, 16 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lir Speciale (IRE) | 42 | 6 | 6f–7f | Class 3 |
| Mereside Madness (IRE) | 30 | 4 | 7f | Class 5 |
| Napanook (GB) | 7 | 1 | 6f | Class 5 |
| Redditizio (IRE) | 15 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 8 | 2 | 25% | −1.63 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.25 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.62 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.38 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chantilly (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.25 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonny Peate | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hollie Doyle | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Tom Marquand | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Doughty | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Callan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ray Dawson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Marco Ghiani | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 8 | 2 | 25% | −1.63 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2025 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.25 |
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.62 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 26+21d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap Sat handy behind the front group - asked for effort inside final furlong and hit front - overtaken close home - stayed on to finish third | 3/12 | 1 | 9-7 | 77 | 118A | 88A | Jonny Peate | 22/1 |
| 06 Feb 26+48d | Newcastle (AW) | Bet Responsibly With SBK Handicap Settled in the pack early - pushed along under pressure - lost ground inside final furlong - finished well beaten in 12th | 12/12 | 1 | 9-6 | 79 | 72A | 59A | Tom Marquand | 10/1 |
| 20 Dec 25+17d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap mid-pack early - pressed for effort with 2f to run - maintained effort inside final furlong to finish fifth beaten 2¼ lengths | 5/12 | nk | 9-9 | 80 | 99A | 88A | Jack Doughty | 9/1 |
| 03 Dec 25+40d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day (London Sprint Series Qualifier) Handicap Settled towards the back of the pack - asked for effort over 2f out - found nothing and dropped away to finish 7th | 7/10 | 1¼ | 9-1 | 82 | 108A | 81A | Jack Callan | 12/1 |
| 24 Oct 25+229d | Doncaster | Final One Standing By William Hill Handicap Settled among the pack early - improved position approaching 2f out and angled right soon after - unable to close in the closing stages finishing fifth beaten 5.5 lengths | 5/14 | 2½ | 9-9 | 83 | 100C | 89A | Ray Dawson | 20/1 |
| 09 Mar 25+39d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix Montenica () (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) | 7/9 | shd | 9-0 | — | — | — | Hollie Doyle | 77/10 |
| 29 Jan 25+46d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Settled midfield early - found a gap and made progress a furlong out - surged clear inside the last furlong to hit the front near the line - drew clear to the finish | 1/12 | 9-6 | 77 | 105A | 93A | Hollie Doyle | 11/4F | |
| 14 Dec 24+31d | Wolverhampton (AW) | BetMGM: It's Showtime Novice 'Confined' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Settled just off the pace on the inner - made progress into contention by halfway - shifted wide approaching the final furlong to move into second - pressed on and hit the front close home - drew clear to score | 1/11 | 9-7 | — | 92A | 91A | Marco Ghiani | 13/8F | |
| 13 Nov 24 | Southwell (AW) | Boost Your Acca At BetMGM EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Sprinted clear from the off - held advantage until inside final two furlongs - driven along and challenged hard approaching the line - caught close home to finish second by a short margin | 2/11 | nk | 9-7 | — | 86A | 84A | Jonny Peate | 11/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Trouble Man (IRE) won?
- Trouble Man (IRE) won 2 of 9 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 22.2%. Placed 4 times in total (44.4% of starts).
- Who trains Trouble Man (IRE)?
- Trouble Man (IRE) is trained by Oli Rix, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 27 February 2026.
- Who is Trouble Man (IRE)'s sire?
- Trouble Man (IRE) is by Profitable (IRE) out of Ma Bella Paola (FR), whose sire is Naaqoos.
- What going does Trouble Man (IRE) prefer?
- Trouble Man (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Trouble Man (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 77, from the run on 27 February 2026. The highest on record is 83.
- What is Trouble Man (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Profitable (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.5% of 4,406 runs since Jan 2008 (356 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Trouble Man (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Ma Bella Paola (FR), Trouble Man (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Lir Speciale (IRE) (6). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Lir Speciale (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–7f. As at Oct 2026.