What is Jonny Peate's strike rate?

Jonny Peate has won 116 of 1,581 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jonny Peate do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 30 wins from 266 rides (11.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jonny Peate ride most for?

Roger Fell, with 242 rides since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (9.1%).

Is Jonny Peate in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jonny Peate's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 1,567 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jonny Peate

1,581 rides in the last 5 seasons · 677 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2022

116–1,581

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=1,581

380 (24%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=1,567 · 0.75 incl. margin

−650.91

£1 level stake

n=1,581 at SP · −41.2%

£1.39m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 320 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 11% (126 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,581 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 30.2% when favourite Roger Fell: 9.1% from 242 LTO winners: 11.1% Claiming: 8.7% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (11.3%, n=266), clear of the rider's 7.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11.1% (n=126, Fair A/E 0.72), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=137, Fair A/E 0.49). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −94.00 to a £1 stake over 208 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Roger Fell supplies 15% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.1%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (11.9%, n=109). Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.5%−0.8

n=663 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −289.63

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.1%+3.8

n=126 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −57.98

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.3%−3.0

n=208 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −94.00

When favourite

30.2%

n=96 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −15.30

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.7%+1.4

n=820 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −210.99

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.2%−5.1

n=137 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −98.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.3

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Linda Perratt 14.6% vs 7.3% · n=41

With first-time headgear 1.6% vs 7.3% · n=64

At Newcastle (AW) 11.3% vs 7.3% · n=266

Off a 0-7-day break 11.9% vs 7.3% · n=109

With Jane Chapple-Hyam 12% vs 7.3% · n=83

With Mark Loughnane 2.1% vs 7.3% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 827 69 8.3% −310.41

Good to Firm 236 15 6.4% −116.79

Good 232 13 5.6% −95.04

Good to Soft 124 8 6.5% −42.75

Soft 110 7 6.4% −62.42

Heavy 48 4 8.3% −19.50

Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 266 30 11.3% −9.87

Southwell (AW) 203 11 5.4% −135.68

Wolverhampton (AW) 182 18 9.9% −77.94

Doncaster 64 4 6.3% −30.17

Redcar 62 4 6.5% −30.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 62 4 6.5% −46.42

Kempton (AW) 58 4 6.9% −5.50

Thirsk 56 3 5.4% −19.00

Lingfield (AW) 56 2 3.6% −35.00

Catterick 44 1 2.3% −41.38

Yarmouth 42 1 2.4% −36.50

York 37 3 8.1% −23.17

Beverley 36 3 8.3% +19.50

Nottingham 32 2 6.3% −22.62

Hamilton 32 2 6.3% −22.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 651 49 7.5% −189.89

Class 5 471 36 7.6% −227.29

Class 4 294 22 7.5% −142.56

Class 3 87 6 6.9% −51.17

Class 2 74 3 4.1% −36.00

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 110 32 29.1% 1.04 −17.39

2nd–3rd fav 245 32 13.1% 0.85 −77.52

4th–6th fav 558 34 6.1% 0.77 −240.50

7th+ in betting 668 18 2.7% 0.87 −315.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Iron Sheriff (IRE) 21 4 7 26 Sep 23

Never Dark (GB) 19 2 7 17 Oct 25

Lotus Rose (GB) 19 2 6 11 Sep 24

Dandys Gold (IRE) 19 3 6 3 May 24

Ustath (GB) 19 2 4 10 Apr 24

Dandy Spirit (IRE) 17 3 4 18 May 24

Cusack (GB) 16 4 9 20 Apr 26

Tilsworth Max (GB) 14 1 6 29 Oct 26

Dr Ali (IRE) 14 2 5 24 Oct 26

Prefer The Sister (IRE) 14 1 3 21 Feb 26

The Caltonian (GB) 13 3 8 20 Feb 25

Harswell Duke (IRE) 13 1 4 24 Sep 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 677 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 10

Only 10 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

12114499759577

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRoger Fell

15% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 1.02

TrainerRWSR£1

Roger Fell 242 22 9.1% −31.05

Roger Fell & Sean Murray 232 17 7.3% −47.99

J R Jenkins 93 3 3.2% −61.75

Jane Chapple-Hyam 83 10 12% −35.12

James Ferguson 65 6 9.2% −33.68

Jack Jones 53 4 7.5% −19.38

Mark Loughnane 47 1 2.1% −42.50

Linda Perratt 41 6 14.6% −11.36

Oli Rix 40 4 10% −13.50

Ivan Furtado 35 1 2.9% −30.67

Matt Crawley 35 1 2.9% −16.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

133

Archived wins

£1.50m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 38 wins

Harswell Duke (IRE) — Pertemps Network Spring Mile Handicap (Str) Doncaster · Apr 2023 · Class 2

£38,655

Dosman (GB) — SBK: Dont Settle For Less Handicap Southwell (AW) · Feb 2026 · Class 3

£28,787

La Trinidad (GB) — William Hill Summer Cup Handicap Thirsk · Aug 2024 · Class 2

£15,702

Notable horses

Iron Sheriff (IRE) Glorious Rio (IRE) Cusack (GB) Dandys Gold (IRE) Dandy Spirit (IRE) The Caltonian (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 8.2% · 6–73

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,980 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Showcasing (GB) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,646 runs since 2014 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–34

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,863 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Cotai Glory (GB) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 11.4% of 3,963 runs since 2021 (390 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.5% from 1,426. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 429.

New Bay (GB) 11.1% · 3–27

Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,998 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,714 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,714 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 January 2021 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Emerald Spirit (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Try Unibet's Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 11th 50/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Graceful Gracie (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 125/1

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) King Of Speed (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Arc All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 50/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Xochipilli (GB)T: Mark Loughnane Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 7/2

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Tilsworth Max (GB)T: J. R. Jenkins AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 25/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Roccobear (IRE)T: J. R. Jenkins Unibet's New Var Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 6 ran 3rd 6/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Nil Satis Supreme (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 250/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Whazzimo (GB)T: Robert Cowell Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 33/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Keble (GB)T: Oli Rix Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 17/2

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dr Ali (IRE)T: J. R. Jenkins Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 18/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) It's A Love Thing (GB)T: Sam England Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Selling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 100/30J

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Wishful Thinker (GB)T: Oli Rix All Weather Championship Is Back Ebf Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 2/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Asian Journey (IRE)T: Sam England AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd January 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 8/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Rebetiko (FR)T: Oli Rix CopyBet For Europa League Profit Boosts EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 7/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Tilsworth Ony Ta (GB)T: J. R. Jenkins Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 80/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Emerald Spirit (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 200/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Exquisite Skye (GB)T: Michael Keady Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 50/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mr Keble (GB)T: Oli Rix Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 12/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Volenti (IRE)T: Sam England Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 11/2

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Enacting (IRE)T: James Fanshawe Download The At The Races App Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jonny Peate's strike rate?: Jonny Peate has won 116 of 1,581 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jonny Peate do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 30 wins from 266 rides (11.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jonny Peate ride most for?: Roger Fell, with 242 rides since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (9.1%).
Is Jonny Peate in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jonny Peate's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 1,567 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.