A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating97↓ 14lb off peak
9785–111
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating106Bthe best of the last 3 rated runs · Chepstow, 26 Nov 2008Official rating 97at the last run, 24 Jan 2009
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Jumps 22 figures · best 106B · median 94
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 22 Oct 2025
Heavy
14
103C
93.5
—
Soft
6
102C
97
—
Good to Soft
2
106B
91
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 22 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m
14
103C
95
—
2m1f – 2m4f
5
106B
102
—
Over 3m
3
94C
76
—
Of 31 runs looked at, 9 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (7) · beaten lengths not stored (2).
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 22 figures from 31 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Bay Tern (USA)
Progeny in our archive have won 7.1% of 14 runs since Jan 2008 (2 horses). A small sample.
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Good to Soft
3
0
0%
−7.1
0 from 3
Soft
5
0
0%
−7.1
1 from 10
Heavy
6
1
16.7%
+9.6
4 from 18
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
2m1f – 2m4f
3
0
0%
−7.1
2 from 6
2m5f – 3m
10
1
10%
+2.9
3 from 19
Over 3m
1
0
0%
−7.1
0 from 6
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 22 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Young Lorcan (GB) won 5 of 31 archived starts between 2005 and 2009, a strike rate of 16.1%. Placed 13 times in total (41.9% of starts).
Who trained Young Lorcan (GB)?
Young Lorcan (GB) was trained by Mrs K Waldron on the most recent run on record, at Uttoxeter on 24 January 2009.
Who is Young Lorcan (GB)'s sire?
Young Lorcan (GB) is by Bay Tern (USA) out of Naughty Nessie (GB), whose sire is Celtic Cone.
What going does Young Lorcan (GB) prefer?
Young Lorcan (GB) has the best record on heavy going: 4 wins from 18 starts (22.2%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Young Lorcan (GB)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 97, from the run on 24 January 2009. The highest on record is 111.
What is Young Lorcan (GB)'s sire's record?
Bay Tern (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 7.1% of 14 runs since Jan 2008 (2 horses), Flat and jumps together. A small sample.
Who are Young Lorcan (GB)'s siblings?
Out of Naughty Nessie (GB), Young Lorcan (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.
Young Lorcan (GB)·5–31·SR 16.1%
KTB
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