What is Michael Murphy's strike rate?

Michael Murphy has won 37 of 549 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Murphy do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 6 wins from 41 rides (14.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Michael Murphy ride most for?

Ian Williams, with 165 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (8.5%).

What is Michael Murphy's Fair A/E?

0.83, from 547 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Michael Murphy

549 rides in the lifetime window · 271 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2011 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

37–549

Wins / Runs

6.7%

Strike rate

n=549

132 (24%)

Placed

0.83

Fair A/E

n=547 · 0.70 incl. margin

−304.16

£1 level stake

n=549 at SP · −55.4%

£325k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 140 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (41 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 549 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 27.3% when favourite Ian Williams: 8.5% from 165 LTO winners: 19.5% Claiming: 6.8% Rode the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (14.6%, n=41), clear of the rider's 6.7% baseline. It is weakest at Stratford (0% over 34 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.5% (n=41, Fair A/E 1.16). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −148.67 to a £1 stake over 255 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Ian Williams supplied 30% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.5%, A/E 0.83). The rider also read well beyond 3m (14.3%, n=63) and in Chase races (11.4%, n=158). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the totesport.com Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle at Chepstow (Oct 2008, £22,804).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.7%−2.0

n=255 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −148.67

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.5%+12.8

n=41 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +3.38

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.9%−1.8

n=122 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −88.75

When favourite

27.3%

n=33 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −2.62

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.8%+0.1

n=501 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −277.66

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.3%−2.4

n=187 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −125.12

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.3%+1.6

n=12 · A/E 1.61 · £1 +3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19.5% vs 6.7% · n=41

Beyond 3m 14.3% vs 6.7% · n=63

At Chepstow 14.6% vs 6.7% · n=41

In Chase races 11.4% vs 6.7% · n=158

At Stratford 0% vs 6.7% · n=34

With new recruits 0% vs 6.7% · n=33

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 354 18 5.1% −246.62

Chase 158 18 11.4% −28.54

NH Flat 37 1 2.7% −29.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 199 15 7.5% −96.87

Good to Soft 118 6 5.1% −84.12

Soft 93 6 6.5% −64.17

Good to Firm 86 5 5.8% −45.50

Heavy 50 5 10% −10.50

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 53 2 3.8% −43.00

Chepstow 41 6 14.6% −1.75

Towcester 35 3 8.6% −13.00

Warwick 34 4 11.8% −5.87

Stratford 34 0 0% −34.00

Hereford 34 1 2.9% −26.50

Fontwell 24 1 4.2% −20.00

Exeter 23 0 0% −23.00

Worcester 19 0 0% −19.00

Huntingdon 18 3 16.7% +23.38

Bangor-on-Dee 16 2 12.5% −7.17

Market Rasen 16 3 18.8% −2.25

Southwell 15 1 6.7% −12.50

Wincanton 14 0 0% −14.00

Taunton 12 1 8.3% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 272 19 7% −134.49

Class 5 136 6 4.4% −102.00

Class 3 78 9 11.5% −31.67

Class 6 28 1 3.6% −20.00

Class 1 19 1 5.3% −4.00

Class 2 15 1 6.7% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 40 9 22.5% 0.90 −9.62

2nd–3rd fav 99 19 19.2% 1.28 −0.04

4th–6th fav 153 6 3.9% 0.50 −93.50

7th+ in betting 257 3 1.2% 0.38 −201.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.6% completed · 512 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 158 79.7% 7 6 18 0 1

Hurdle 354 86.7% 11 2 33 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Photogenique (FR) 14 0 3 30 May 11

Lysander (GER) 12 3 8 21 Nov 09

Tarateeno (GB) 10 2 4 4 Feb 11

Arctic Echo (GB) 8 1 3 18 Apr 11

Nelson (FR) 8 1 4 21 Apr 10

Saint Espiegle (FR) 7 0 2 5 Jun 10

Maktu (GB) 6 2 3 5 Mar 11

Sashenka (GB) 6 2 5 21 Dec 09

Robin des Bank (FR) 6 0 0 7 Oct 09

Termon Boy (GB) 5 0 0 27 May 11

Front Street (IRE) 5 0 0 11 Apr 11

Two Cloudy (IRE) 5 0 0 14 Mar 11

The 60 most-raced of 271 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

82107900042275

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardIan Williams

30% of all rides
8.5% SR · A/E 0.83

TrainerRWSR£1

Ian Williams 165 14 8.5% −91.54

Rob Summers 60 2 3.3% −44.12

Pat Murphy 52 4 7.7% −38.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£360k

Prize money

2009

Best season · 15 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Irish Legend (IRE) — totesport.com Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Chepstow · Oct 2008 · Listed

£22,804

Lysander (GER) — Toteswinger Veterans' Handicap Chase Aintree · Oct 2009 · Class 2

£18,786

Lysander (GER) — puredarts.co.uk Handicap Chase Bangor-on-Dee · Mar 2008 · Class 3

£8,783

Notable horses

Lysander (GER) Hurlers Cross (IRE) Incentivise (IRE) Bob 'n' You (IRE) Tarateeno (GB) Maktu (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,736 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Alderbrook (GB) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,293 runs since 2008 (299 horses).

Cloudings (IRE) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,882 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.

Cyborg (FR) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 8.9% of 470 runs since 2008 (45 horses). Weakest on Good going: 4.9% from 102.

Monsun (GER) 23.1% · 3–13

Progeny have won 15.8% of 2,243 runs since 2008 (250 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 19.6% from 276. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 150.

Alflora (IRE) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 605 · newest first

The latest 50 of 605 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 October 2006 to 4 June 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Jun 11 Worcester Vinniewhitefoot (GB)T: Brian Baugh Mellow Mike Fish Half Century Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 5th 25/1

02 Jun 11 Uttoxeter Every Cloud (IRE)T: Mike Hammond Crabbie's Wizard Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 14/1

01 Jun 11 Fontwell Themanfromfraam (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Betting Room Double Odds On 1st Goalscorer Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 1/5F

30 May 11 Towcester Photogenique (FR)T: Rob Summers Sis Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 4th 6/1

29 May 11 Uttoxeter Charlie Delta (GB)T: John O'Shea Douglas Family Conditional Jockeys' Selling HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 50/1

29 May 11 Uttoxeter Limestone Boy (IRE)T: Rob Summers Always Waining Beginners' ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 100/1

27 May 11 Stratford Termon Boy (GB)T: Rob Summers Knight Frank Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 20/1

20 May 11 Towcester Every Cloud (IRE)T: Mike Hammond Dalepak Ltd Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 5th 66/1

17 May 11 Towcester Tinalliat (FR)T: David Rees 'Mazda6' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 7/1

14 May 11 Bangor-on-Dee Red Whisper (GB)T: Rob Summers Wrexham & District National Eisteddfod 'National Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 40/1

09 May 11 Towcester Photogenique (FR)T: Rob Summers Haygain Hay Steamers Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 25/1

08 May 11 Uttoxeter Megan May (GB)T: Ian Williams Dapple Grey 2 For 1 Pub Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 8th 18/1

08 May 11 Uttoxeter Termon Boy (GB)T: Rob Summers digibet.com Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 5th 33/1

05 May 11 Wetherby Yeomanry (GB)T: Ian Williams Great Antiques Fair Here - 28th May Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 5/1

03 May 11 Exeter Tinalliat (FR)T: David Rees Leonard Coombe Master Saddlers Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Firm · 4 ran 3rd 5/1

28 Apr 11 Southwell Hentzau (USA)T: Pat Murphy actionbay.co.uk Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 15.5f · Good · 13 ran 13th 66/1

25 Apr 11 Market Rasen Himayna (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Tattersalls And Rails Bookmakers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 12/1

20 Apr 11 Hereford Limestone Boy (IRE)T: Rob Summers Bet Football At Victorchandler.com Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th 80/1

18 Apr 11 Towcester Red Whisper (GB)T: Rob Summers Tca Engineering Ltd Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 22/1

18 Apr 11 Towcester Arctic Echo (GB)T: Rob Summers safenames.net Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 1st 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Murphy's strike rate?: Michael Murphy has won 37 of 549 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Murphy do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 6 wins from 41 rides (14.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Michael Murphy ride most for?: Ian Williams, with 165 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (8.5%).
What is Michael Murphy's Fair A/E?: 0.83, from 547 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.