No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 80 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87).
Deterministic profile computed from 539 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceJohn O'Shea: 3.8% from 104First rides: 4.9%
The read
The record is strongest at Hereford (9.7%, n=31) and Stratford (9.7%, n=31) — all clear of the rider's 4.5% baseline. It is weakest at Chepstow (0% over 37 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbetclaiming rides: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −95.25 to a £1 stake over 509 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. John O'Shea supplied 19% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3.8%, A/E 0.82). The rider also read well on Good to Firm going (8.9%, n=79) and in Chase races (8.2%, n=97).
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.9%+0.4
n=244 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −40.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
7.1%+2.6
n=28 · A/E 0.63 · £1 +0.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.2%−1.3
n=124 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −44.00
When favourite
12.5%
n=8 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −3.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.3%−0.2
n=509 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −95.25
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.5%−1.0
n=143 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +4.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going8.9% vs 4.5% · n=79
At Hereford9.7% vs 4.5% · n=31
At Stratford9.7% vs 4.5% · n=31
In Chase races8.2% vs 4.5% · n=97
At Chepstow0% vs 4.5% · n=37
With C&D winners0% vs 4.5% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle369133.5%−97.00
Chase9788.2%−21.25
NH Flat7234.2%+20.00
Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good19584.1%−93.00
Good to Soft11543.5%−12.00
Soft9022.2%−38.00
Good to Firm7978.9%+68.00
Heavy5112%−34.00
Standard (AW)600%−6.00
Firm3266.7%+15.75
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Fontwell3837.9%+8.00
Chepstow3700%−37.00
Ffos Las3500%−35.00
Newton Abbot3313%−7.00
Worcester3126.5%+33.00
Hereford3139.7%−3.50
Stratford3139.7%+8.00
Taunton2713.7%−23.25
Uttoxeter2700%−27.00
Ludlow2727.4%−4.00
Towcester20210%+31.00
Huntingdon19315.8%+78.50
Wincanton1900%−19.00
Plumpton1600%−16.00
Southwell1500%−15.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 5217104.6%−92.00
Class 420583.9%−32.00
Class 65323.8%+32.00
Class 35247.7%+4.75
Class 2800%−8.00
Class 1300%−3.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite1119.1%0.37−6.50
2nd–3rd fav4636.5%0.44−27.25
4th–6th fav14674.8%0.74−70.50
7th+ in betting336133.9%1.56+5.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m224104.5%−53.00
2m1f – 2m4f17584.6%−11.25
2m5f – 3m11954.2%−22.00
Over 3m1815.6%−10.00
1m2f – 1m4f300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20084224.8%−8.00
20097645.3%−28.25
201010665.7%+16.00
20119655.2%+11.50
201210554.8%−19.50
20138622.3%−43.00
20142800%−28.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps282165.7%−49.25
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners15695.8%−31.50
11-13 runners15363.9%−54.50
14-16 runners11543.5%+6.00
5-7 runners7933.8%−13.00
17+ runners2813.6%−2.00
2-4 runners8112.5%−4.25
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 246 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0560060729908
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
29
Archived wins
£161k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Dream Falcon (GB) — Alfa Aggregate Products Novices' Handicap Chase Ludlow · Dec 2008 · Class 3
£10,999
Dream Falcon (GB) — Orchard Restaurant Novices' Handicap Chase Taunton · Mar 2009 · Class 3
£7,514
Royaleety (FR) — Stanjamesuk.com Handicap Hurdle Kempton · Dec 2008 · Class 3
Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.
Saddlers' Hall (IRE)5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Silver Patriarch (IRE)6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.
Overbury (IRE)6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Polar Falcon (USA)15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 8% of 261 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Indian Danehill (IRE)9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,742 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.9% from 143.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 600 · newest first
The latest 50 of 600 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 February 2005 to 30 May 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Charlie Wallis's strike rate?
Charlie Wallis has won 24 of 539 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Charlie Wallis do best at?
Hereford by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 rides (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Charlie Wallis ride most for?
John O'Shea, with 104 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (3.8%).
What is Charlie Wallis's Fair A/E?
0.87, from 537 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Charlie Wallis·SR 4.5%·A/E 0.87
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