Mick Fitzgerald
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 180 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 23% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 35% (48 rides). Rode mostly for Nicky Henderson — 63% of rides in the window.
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 35.4% (n=48, Fair A/E 1.23), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 19.7% (n=66, Fair A/E 1.33). Nicky Henderson supplied 63% of the rides and beats the rider's average (28.6% vs 23%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Class 4 (35.9%, n=64). The record read poorly in Class 3 — 12.2% over 41 rides, 10.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.71 across 71 rides (15.5% strike, −44.98 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ryanair Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2006, £85,530). The standout partner of the record was Jack The Giant (IRE) — 6 wins from 10 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 23% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 23% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,335 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,335 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 5 April 2008.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mick Fitzgerald's strike rate?
- Mick Fitzgerald has won 41 of 178 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 23% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Mick Fitzgerald ride most for?
- Nicky Henderson, with 112 rides since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (28.6%).
- What is Mick Fitzgerald's Fair A/E?
- 1.10, from 178 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.