Richard Spate
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode 231 times in our archive record (2005–2007), almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.80). Rode mostly for Mrs K Waldron — 48% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Uttoxeter (9.5%, n=42), clear of the rider's 6.1% baseline. The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 6.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −136.91 to a £1 stake over 224 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Mrs K Waldron supplied 48% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.1% vs 6.1%, A/E 0.91). The rider also read well over 2m5f – 3m (13.1%, n=61). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.3% over 44 rides, 3.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.44 across 68 rides (2.9% strike, −61.40 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 2005–2007Riding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 231 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 231 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 27 December 2007.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Richard Spate's strike rate?
- Richard Spate has won 14 of 231 rides between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
- Which course does Richard Spate do best at?
- Uttoxeter by strike rate: 4 wins from 42 rides (9.5%) between 2005 and 2007. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Richard Spate ride most for?
- Mrs K Waldron, with 110 rides between 2005 and 2007 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (9.1%).
- What is Richard Spate's Fair A/E?
- 0.80, from 230 rides with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.