What is Jennie Candlish's strike rate?

Jennie Candlish has won 236 of 1,720 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.7% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jennie Candlish do best at?

Newcastle by strike rate: 15 wins from 61 runners (24.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jennie Candlish?

Sean Quinlan, with 552 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 85 (15.4%).

Is Jennie Candlish in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jennie Candlish's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 1,714 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jennie Candlish

1,720 runners in the last 5 seasons · 192 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 10.2% of 532 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 3 Nov 2026.

Last runner 8 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

236–1,720

Wins / Runs

13.7%

Strike rate

n=1,720

551 (32%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=1,714 · 0.89 incl. margin

−281.19

£1 level stake

n=1,718 at SP · −16.4%

£2.43m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 340 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). With a claiming rider up the record reads 18% (281 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,720 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 34.6% when favourite Sean Quinlan: 15.4% from 552 New recruits: 15.8% Claiming riders: 18.1% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (24.6%, n=61), clear of the yard's 13.7% baseline. It is weakest at Carlisle (0% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 18.1% (n=281, Fair A/E 1.35), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 8.3% (n=72, Fair A/E 0.75). New recruits from other stables on their first run are the standout value angle: 15.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.90 and +49.00 to a £1 stake over 114 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Sean Quinlan rides 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15.4%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (28.7%, n=87) and in NH Flat races (26.5%, n=34). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Howden Handicap at Newmarket (May 2023, £51,540). The stable star of the record: Star Ascending (IRE) — 12 wins from 82 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.1%−3.6

n=297 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −10.09

New recruits · first run for the yard

15.8%+2.1

n=114 · A/E 1.90 · £1 +49.00

Debutants · first career start

10.6%−3.1

n=47 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +9.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.3%−5.4

n=72 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −45.22

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.4%−2.3

n=70 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −9.65

When favourite

34.6%

n=211 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −39.96

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

18.1%+4.4

n=281 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +63.83

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.9%−7.8

n=17 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 27.5% vs 13.7% · n=229

Off a 0-7-day break 28.7% vs 13.7% · n=87

With Luke Scott 28.4% vs 13.7% · n=67

At Carlisle 0% vs 13.7% · n=36

In NH Flat races 26.5% vs 13.7% · n=34

At Newcastle 24.6% vs 13.7% · n=61

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 736 106 14.4% −128.95

Flat 729 88 12.1% −139.27

Chase 221 33 14.9% −50.47

NH Flat 34 9 26.5% +37.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 646 97 15% −0.89

Standard (AW) 311 34 10.9% −90.70

Good to Soft 306 36 11.8% −95.82

Soft 243 32 13.2% −101.68

Good to Firm 120 20 16.7% −14.26

Heavy 94 17 18.1% +22.16

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 137 18 13.1% −20.29

Sedgefield 133 26 19.5% −34.45

Chester 96 12 12.5% +6.33

Doncaster 75 7 9.3% −7.25

Southwell (AW) 74 6 8.1% −15.38

Uttoxeter 72 6 8.3% −5.50

Bangor-on-Dee 67 7 10.4% −26.73

Newcastle 61 15 24.6% −0.34

Newcastle (AW) 54 6 11.1% −26.25

Worcester 51 5 9.8% +3.91

Southwell 50 7 14% −0.28

Hexham 50 12 24% +9.45

Catterick 44 7 15.9% −14.07

Wetherby 44 3 6.8% −21.75

Perth 44 4 9.1% −11.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 632 100 15.8% −4.93

Class 5 557 74 13.3% −128.90

Class 6 249 32 12.9% −52.51

Class 3 154 20 13% −45.21

Class 2 98 8 8.2% −27.84

Class 1 18 1 5.6% −14.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 238 78 32.8% 0.94 −45.63

2nd–3rd fav 465 92 19.8% 1.06 −45.06

4th–6th fav 536 46 8.6% 1.06 −51.50

7th+ in betting 479 19 4% 1.21 −139.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rosenpur (GER) 42 7 20 17 Oct 26

Thank You Blue (GB)from Sam Thomas 37 6 10 14 Oct 26

Matchless (IRE)from Ivan Furtado 36 8 16 14 Nov 25

Frankies Dream (IRE) 33 6 17 10 Oct 26

Spirit Genie (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington 29 5 7 24 Oct 26

Zuckerberg (GER)from D Cottin 29 3 10 6 Dec 24

Hostile Hotelier (IRE) 28 4 13 27 May 26

Spartan Times (GB)from Sophie Leech 26 6 12 29 Sep 26

Alzahir (FR)from David O'Meara 25 8 13 2 Oct 25

Scudamore (FR)from Ivan Furtado 23 2 9 19 Apr 26

Bridge Road (IRE)from Damian Murphy 23 1 9 28 Oct 24

Classic Maestro (IRE) 22 8 13 23 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 192 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 43 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Clive Cox (3) and Ivan Furtado (3); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

111417111612151813111414

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSean Quinlan

32% of all rides
15.4% SR · A/E 0.98

RiderRWSR£1

Sean Quinlan 552 85 15.4% −86.22

George Wood 212 28 13.2% −55.34

William Shanahan 82 11 13.4% +9.82

Lewis Stones 69 7 10.1% −13.34

Luke Scott 67 19 28.4% +30.47

Lewis Edmunds 50 5 10% +4.25

Darragh Keenan 50 6 12% +3.75

I. J. Power 45 5 11.1% +12.75

Kieran O'Neill 40 5 12.5% +2.25

Paul Mulrennan 38 4 10.5% −21.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

568

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.98m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 75 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Probe (GB) — Howden Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · May 2023 · Class 2

£51,540

Alzahir (FR) — LK Bennett Butterfly Mark Heritage Handicap Ascot · Jul 2025 · Class 2

£51,540

Party Rock (IRE) — Alder Hey Children's Charity Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2016 · Grade 3

£28,135

Notable horses

Star Ascending (IRE) Show Palace (GB) Maoi Chinn Tire (IRE) Theflyingportrait (IRE) For Jim (IRE) Granville Island (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Jet Away (GB) 27% · 24–89

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,536 runs since 2018 (273 horses).

Belardo (IRE) 11.1% · 6–54

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,730 runs since 2020 (280 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 14.3% · 7–49

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,374 runs since 2009 (605 horses).

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 12.5% · 6–48

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,857 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Kingman (GB) 19.1% · 9–47

Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,514 runs since 2018 (777 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 968. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 122.

Pour Moi (IRE) 15.6% · 7–45

Progeny have won 9.8% of 2,693 runs since 2015 (266 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 380.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,953 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,953 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Peace Belle (GB)J: George Wood Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 11/4

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Tomarlo (GB)J: Luke Catton All-Weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 9/2

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Nymphaea (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Join The Midnite Movement Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 22/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Spirit Genie (IRE)J: George Wood Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 4th 14/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster French Affair (IRE)J: Jason Hart William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Iconic Times (GB)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 13/2

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Expert Analysis (IRE)J: Luke Scott Back British Farming Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 100/30

17 Oct 26 Catterick Midnight Strike (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 5th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Pergamon (FR)J: William Shanahan Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 100/30

17 Oct 26 Catterick Rosenpur (GER)J: Darragh Keenan William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 6th 10/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Sprinting Speed (IRE)J: Jack Callan Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 8/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Candonomore (FR)J: Jack Callan Northumbria Leisure For Pool Tables Selling StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 14/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Moonstone Boy (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Shape Engineering Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 10/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Vidmiyr (IRE)J: Hector Crouch M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Westerton (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 12/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Captain Cool (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Mary Lofthouse Supporting Spinal Research Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 15f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 9/4

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Thank You Blue (GB)J: I. J. Power Over The Rainbow Alison Stretton Birthday Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 18/1

14 Oct 26 Wetherby Royal Sapphire (IRE)J: I. J. Power Visit racingtv.com Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 5/2

14 Oct 26 Wetherby In The Trenches (GB)J: Sean Quinlan Wetherby Racecourse Supporting Spinal Research Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 2 ran 2nd 4/6F

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Nymphaea (GB)J: Liam Wright Cavani Raceday Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 13 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 6 runs (won 1) · to 27 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jennie Candlish's strike rate?: Jennie Candlish has won 236 of 1,720 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.7% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jennie Candlish do best at?: Newcastle by strike rate: 15 wins from 61 runners (24.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jennie Candlish?: Sean Quinlan, with 552 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 85 (15.4%).
Is Jennie Candlish in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jennie Candlish's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 1,714 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.