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Trainer profile

Michael Mullineaux

323 runners in the last 5 seasons · 26 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 99 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
17–323
Wins / Runs
5.3%
Strike rate
n=323
63 (20%)
Placed
1.03
n=322 · 0.87 incl. margin
+27.25
£1 level stake
n=323 at SP · +8.4%
£155k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 323 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Phil Dennis: 12.5% from 64
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.00). Phil Dennis rides 20% of the entries and beats the yard's average (12.5% vs 5.3%, A/E 1.28) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Soft going (13.3%, n=30). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 60 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.34 across 68 runners (1.5% strike, −60.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Methaaly (IRE) — 15 wins from 163 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.3
n=46 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −46.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
10%+4.7
n=10 · A/E 6.92 · £1 +7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12.5%+7.2
n=8 · A/E 5.02 · £1 +9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.3
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
14.3%
n=7 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −3.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.4%−0.9
n=90 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +27.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Phil Dennis 12.5% vs 5.3% · n=64
On Soft going 13.3% vs 5.3% · n=30
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 5.3% · n=60
In Class 4 0% vs 5.3% · n=40
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 5.3% · n=37
In Hurdle races 1.5% vs 5.3% · n=68
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 245 16 6.5% +97.75
Hurdle 68 1 1.5% −60.50
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 125 6 4.8% +18.50
Good 87 4 4.6% −36.50
Good to Soft 39 1 2.6% −22.00
Good to Firm 36 2 5.6% +86.00
Soft 30 4 13.3% −12.75
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 106 6 5.7% +37.50
Chepstow 22 4 18.2% +71.25
Doncaster 18 1 5.6% +23.00
Chester 12 0 0% −12.00
Uttoxeter 12 0 0% −12.00
Bangor-on-Dee 11 0 0% −11.00
Haydock 11 1 9.1% +1.00
Southwell 10 1 10% −2.50
Bath 9 0 0% −9.00
Hamilton 9 1 11.1% −5.00
Southwell (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Newcastle (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Hereford 8 0 0% −8.00
Stratford 8 0 0% −8.00
Leicester 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 182 12 6.6% +86.75
Class 5 95 5 5.3% −13.50
Class 4 40 0 0% −40.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 1 10% 0.46 −6.50
2nd–3rd fav 31 6 19.4% 1.23 +0.75
4th–6th fav 75 3 4% 0.60 −45.00
7th+ in betting 207 7 3.4% 1.58 +78.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Peachey Carnehan (GB)from Michael Attwater 67 5 20 17 Jul 25
Robeam (IRE)from Brian Ellison 45 1 11 26 Dec 24
Dodgy Bob (GB)from Kevin Ryan 43 3 6 11 Mar 25
Captain Bentley (GB)then M Mullineaux 25 1 2 27 Jun 26
Granny B (IRE)from John Quinn · then M Mullineaux 24 1 6 15 Jul 26
Mister Mcgregor (IRE)from Andrew Balding · then M Mullineaux 14 0 2 10 Jul 26
Bear Rock (IRE) 14 2 7 11 Mar 26
Lunar Jet (GB)from John Mackie · then Steph Hollinshead 14 1 2 13 May 23
Shesadabber (GB)from Brian Baugh · then David Evans 13 2 6 25 Oct 22
Miss Helena (IRE) 8 0 0 8 Jun 26
Bear Force One (GB)from Michael Dods 6 1 1 3 Nov 25
Our Rosie (IRE) 6 0 0 19 Mar 25
All 26 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 26 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Balding (2); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for M Mullineaux (6); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
7749733416004
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPhil Dennis
20% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.28
RiderRWSR£1
Phil Dennis 64 8 12.5% +11.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
177
Archived wins
£1.08m
Prize money
2013
Best season · 21 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Secretinthepark (GB) — Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap York · Jul 2019 · Class 4
£9,962
Wizard of Us (GB) — totescoop6 Handicap Hurdle Uttoxeter · Feb 2007 · Class 2
£9,507
Wizard of Us (GB) — totescoop6 Novices' Handicap Hurdle Uttoxeter · Mar 2007 · Class 2
£9,507

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Foxwedge (AUS) 7.5% · 5–67
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,349 runs since 2008 (131 horses).
Helmet (AUS) 2.2% · 1–45
Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,851 runs since 2008 (351 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 148.
Royal Applause (GB) 7% · 3–43
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Captain Gerrard (IRE) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,052 runs since 2008 (175 horses).
Acclamation (GB) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.
Heeraat (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 8% of 2,994 runs since 2008 (194 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,540 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,540 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 15 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Mullineaux's strike rate?
Michael Mullineaux has won 17 of 323 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Mullineaux do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 106 runners (5.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Mullineaux?
Phil Dennis, with 64 runners since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (12.5%).
What is Michael Mullineaux's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 322 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).