Michael Mullineaux
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 60 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.00). Phil Dennis rides 20% of the entries and beats the yard's average (12.5% vs 5.3%, A/E 1.28) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Soft going (13.3%, n=30). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 60 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.34 across 68 runners (1.5% strike, −60.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Methaaly (IRE) — 15 wins from 163 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,540 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,540 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 15 July 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Michael Mullineaux's strike rate?
- Michael Mullineaux has won 17 of 323 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Michael Mullineaux do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 106 runners (5.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Michael Mullineaux?
- Phil Dennis, with 64 runners since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (12.5%).
- What is Michael Mullineaux's Fair A/E?
- 1.03, from 322 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.