Alexandre Gavilan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.18).
The record is strongest at La Teste De Buch (FR) (17.1%, n=41), clear of the rider's 11.9% baseline. The market has also underrated the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 1.31 across 61 rides (14.8% strike, +11.57 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 8.2% over 49 rides, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.80 across 58 rides (8.6% strike, −19.80 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Criterium du Fonds Europeen de l'Elevage at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2017, £52,137). Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Aug.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 376 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 376 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 25 August 2006 to 2 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Alexandre Gavilan's strike rate?
- Alexandre Gavilan has won 23 of 194 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Alexandre Gavilan do best at?
- La Teste De Buch (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 41 rides (17.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is Alexandre Gavilan in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Alexandre Gavilan's Fair A/E?
- 1.18, from 193 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.