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Jockey profile

Alexandre Gavilan

194 rides in the last 5 seasons · 127 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 6 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
23–194
Wins / Runs
11.9%
Strike rate
n=194
54 (28%)
Placed
1.18
n=193 · 0.93 incl. margin
−24.05
£1 level stake
n=194 at SP · −12.4%
£423k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.18).

Deterministic profile computed from 194 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug First rides: 12.3%
The read

The record is strongest at La Teste De Buch (FR) (17.1%, n=41), clear of the rider's 11.9% baseline. The market has also underrated the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 1.31 across 61 rides (14.8% strike, +11.57 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 8.2% over 49 rides, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.80 across 58 rides (8.6% strike, −19.80 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Criterium du Fonds Europeen de l'Elevage at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2017, £52,137). Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
12.3%+0.4
n=122 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −4.37
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−11.9
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.9%−5.0
n=29 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −22.75
When favourite
40%
n=15 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −0.35
Big fields · 14+ runners
9.5%−2.4
n=42 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +9.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.9
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At La Teste De Buch (FR) 17.1% vs 11.9% · n=41
On Soft going 8.2% vs 11.9% · n=49
Off a 15-30-day break 8.6% vs 11.9% · n=58
Off a 31-60-day break 8.3% vs 11.9% · n=36
With debutants 15.1% vs 11.9% · n=53
On Good going 14.8% vs 11.9% · n=61
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 61 9 14.8% +11.57
Good to Soft 56 8 14.3% −0.30
Soft 49 4 8.2% −31.62
Standard (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00
Heavy 10 2 20% +14.30

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Toulouse (FR) 43 6 14% +12.38
La Teste De Buch (FR) 41 7 17.1% +1.00
Dax (FR) 25 5 20% +13.37
Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 24 1 4.2% −21.80
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 16 2 12.5% +2.50
Chantilly (FR) 15 1 6.7% −3.70
Pau (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Tarbes (FR) 6 1 16.7% −3.80
Longchamp (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Deauville (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Vichy (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 32 3 9.4% +9.00
Class 1 25 0 0% −25.00
Class 3 13 2 15.4% −5.25
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 6 37.5% 1.31 −1.35
2nd–3rd fav 50 6 12% 0.73 −24.50
4th–6th fav 61 9 14.8% 1.99 +40.50
7th+ in betting 67 2 3% 0.92 −38.70
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Charm King (FR) 7 1 3 21 Oct 26
Flying Candy (FR) 6 1 3 25 Nov 22
Someone (FR) 5 1 1 29 Oct 26
The Magic Man (FR) 5 1 3 20 Oct 26
Fleur Celeste (FR) 4 1 1 21 Oct 26
Sissy Du Groho (FR) 4 1 2 16 Oct 26
Purple Mood (FR) 3 0 0 20 Oct 26
Golden State (FR) 3 1 1 8 Oct 26
Georges Ville (FR) 3 0 2 23 Sep 26
Sedition (GB) 3 0 1 16 Sep 26
Swiss Bank (IRE) 3 0 0 4 May 23
Making Moovies (IRE) 3 0 1 2 Sep 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 127 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 13
Only 13 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000200141811110·
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardD Guillemin
25% of all rides
12.2% SR · A/E 0.90
TrainerRWSR£1
D Guillemin 49 6 12.2% −17.63
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
53
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£1.05m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 21 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Francesco Bere (FR) — Criterium du Fonds Europeen de l'Elevage (Listed Restricted Race) (2yo) (Round) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2017 · Listed
£52,137
Ilanga (FR) — Prix Texanita (3yo) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · May 2019 · Group 3
£36,036
Fakhira (POL) — Liwa International Stakes - Wathba Stallions La Teste De Buch (FR) · Aug 2026
£25,000

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dabirsim (FR) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,170 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 257. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.7% from 146.
Goken (FR) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,105 runs since 2020 (247 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15% from 200.
Persian King (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 10.7% of 947 runs since 2024 (165 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.8% from 291.
Charm Spirit (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 9.3% of 3,833 runs since 2018 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.7% from 135. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 446.
Zanzibari (USA) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,312 runs since 2014 (139 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.2% from 225. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.
Birchwood (IRE) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 4.8% of 975 runs since 2021 (133 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.6% from 367.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 376 · newest first

The latest 50 of 376 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 25 August 2006 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Baltimore (FR)T: Mathieu Pelletan Prix Go InterimClass 4 · 8f · Heavy · 15 ran 10th 12/1
01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Ile Aux Roses (FR)T: A L Fouchet Prix Hours AfterClass 3 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 12/1
29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Someone (FR)T: D Guillemin Prix De PauillacClass 2 · 9.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 7/1
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Top Glory (FR)T: Mme T Puitg Prix De Lons8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 14/1
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Nefisa Hipolyte (FR)T: C Gourdain Prix Flipper10f · Standard · 15 ran 3rd 15/2
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Gold Standard (FR)T: Alberto Carrasco Prix D'artigueloutan10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 100/30
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Fleur Celeste (FR)T: D Guillemin Prix D'arudy10f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 11/4
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Hm Miyar (FR)T: T Fourcy Prix Rmmas10f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alexandre Gavilan's strike rate?
Alexandre Gavilan has won 23 of 194 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alexandre Gavilan do best at?
La Teste De Buch (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 41 rides (17.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Alexandre Gavilan in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alexandre Gavilan's Fair A/E?
1.18, from 193 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).