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Trainer profile

Alberto Carrasco

30 runners in the last 5 seasons · 7 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–30
Wins / Runs
13.3%
Strike rate
n=30
12 (40%)
Placed
1.22
Fair A/E
n=30 · 0.96 incl. margin
+14.00
£1 level stake
n=30 at SP · +46.7%
£98,494
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
18.2%+4.9
n=11 · A/E 4.44 · £1 +15.10
New recruits · first run for the yard
16.7%+3.4
n=6 · A/E 3.89 · £1 +9.10
Debutants · first career start
0%−13.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−13.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−13.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 10 3 30% +30.50
Good 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 6 1 16.7% −2.50
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dax (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Chantilly 6 2 33.3% +23.50
Deauville (FR) 6 1 16.7% +5.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 3 1 33.3% +0.50
La Teste De Buch (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Longchamp (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 2 1 50% +9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 0.79 −3.50
4th–6th fav 8 2 25% 3.62 +21.50
7th+ in betting 11 1 9.1% 2.59 +0.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Presa Diretta (FR)from Maurizio Guarnieri 8 2 5 29 Sep 26
Gold Standard (FR)from H-F Devin 5 0 2 16 Oct 26
Don Nicolas (SPA) 5 1 3 8 Oct 26
Sweet Nebula (IRE)from S Pecoraro 4 0 0 8 Oct 26
Curej (IRE)from Maurizio Guarnieri 3 1 1 20 Aug 26
Modele Absolu (FR)from P & J Brandt 3 0 1 13 Aug 26
Key To Success (GER)from Stefan Richter 2 0 0 5 Aug 25
All 7 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 7 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Maurizio Guarnieri (2); 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·050330·013250··
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Aurelien Lemaitre 13 2 15.4% +16.50
Cristian Demuro 4 1 25% +7.00
Guillaume Guedj-Gay 3 0 0% −3.00
Vaclav Janacek 2 0 0% −2.00
Nuno Lopes Duarte 2 0 0% −2.00
R N Valle 2 0 0% −2.00
Theo Bachelot 1 0 0% −1.00
Marvin Grandin 1 0 0% −1.00
Luca Carboni 1 0 0% −1.00
Mme Camilla Macchieraldo 1 1 100% +2.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
8
Archived wins
£175k
Prize money
2015
Best season · 3 wins
Presa Diretta (FR) — Prix Chantilly Capitale du Cheval (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Apr 2025
£21,901
Diego Valor (FR) — Grand Prix de la Teste de Buch La Teste De Buch · Aug 2015
£12,403
Presa Diretta (FR) — Prix de la Rue de la Faisanderie (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Mar 2025
£11,157
Notable horses
Presa Diretta (FR) Don Nicolas (SPA) Diego Valor (FR) Curej (IRE) Buscavidas (IRE) Va'zy Bareliere (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sidestep (AUS) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 9% of 653 runs since 2008 (65 horses).
Galileo Gold (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,021 runs since 2008 (174 horses).
Kool Kompany (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 16.4% of 73 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Almanzor (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,091 runs since 2008 (282 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.2% from 154. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 146. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13% from 300.
De Treville (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.8% of 358 runs since 2008 (62 horses).
Kuroshio (AUS) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,298 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.8% from 288.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 50 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Alberto Carrasco's 50 archived runners, from 25 February 2015 to 16 October 2026, newest first — 8 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Gold Standard (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Des Biches11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 7/2
08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Don Nicolas (SPA)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Jacques Meilhan BordesClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 8/1
08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Sweet Nebula (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Du Hong Kong Jockey ClubClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 4th 7/2
29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Presa Diretta (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Chambre Du DucClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 8/1
20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Don Nicolas (SPA)J: Mme Camilla Macchieraldo Prix De L'imperatrice Eugenie - Handicap Challenge10f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 5/2
20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Gold Standard (FR)J: Luca Carboni Prix Radio Evasion (Prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre)11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 5/2
12 Sep 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Sweet Nebula (IRE)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Guy ChancelierClass 4 · 12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 6th 9/4F
27 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Presa Diretta (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De La Villa LucieClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 25/1
27 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Gold Standard (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Du Mesnil-oger9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 13/8F
23 Aug 26 Dax (FR) Don Nicolas (SPA)J: Nuno Lopes Duarte Prix Du Chene De Saint-vincent De Paul10.5f · Very Soft · 6 ran 4th 6/5F
20 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Curej (IRE)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Du Cheval De Spectacle (Prix De Fecamp)Class 3 · 7.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 10/1
13 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Modele Absolu (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Sumbe Prix Des Chenettes9.5f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 17/2
05 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Don Nicolas (SPA)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Du Chateau D'arche - Sauternes, Grand Cru Classe 1855Class 4 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 7/1
26 Jul 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Presa Diretta (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Le Journal "Le Veinard"Class 2 · 10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 3rd 12/1
17 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Don Nicolas (SPA)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Regia Semper11.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 11/4
17 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Gold Standard (FR)J: Nuno Lopes Duarte Prix F. Ducassou11.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 10/1
17 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Modele Absolu (FR)J: Vaclav Janacek Prix Du Conseil Municipal De La Ville De DaxClass 2 · 10.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 5/1
17 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Sweet Nebula (IRE)J: Vaclav Janacek Prix Du Jardin Des PlantesClass 4 · 10.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 100/30F
08 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Gold Standard (FR)J: R N Valle Prix De La Fontaine Chaude Stakes3 · 11.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 28/1
08 Jul 26 Dax (FR) Sweet Nebula (IRE)J: R N Valle Prix De La Source De Buglose Handicap4 · 11.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alberto Carrasco's strike rate?
Alberto Carrasco has won 4 of 30 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Alberto Carrasco in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alberto Carrasco's Fair A/E?
1.22, from 30 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).