Arthur Mosse
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.19). When claiming the record reads 12% (179 rides).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 6.2% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.70). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 11.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.29 and +30.50 to a £1 stake over 179 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. M Gonzalez supplies 22% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (3.8% vs 10%, A/E 0.65). The rider also reads well off a 31-60-day break (13.7%, n=51). The market has also underrated the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 1.52 across 64 rides (12.5% strike, +18.20 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 4.3% over 46 rides, 5.7pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 264 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 264 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 September 2019 to 22 September 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Arthur Mosse's strike rate?
- Arthur Mosse has won 24 of 239 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Arthur Mosse do best at?
- Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 42 rides (11.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Arthur Mosse ride most for?
- M Gonzalez, with 53 rides since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (3.8%).
- What is Arthur Mosse's Fair A/E?
- 1.19, from 239 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.