Gerald Mosse
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05).
In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.70). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (18.2%, n=99). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 3.2% over 31 runners, 7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.51 across 64 runners (4.7% strike, −52.60 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Super Handicap de Reouverture at Longchamp (FR) (Apr 2026, £41,739). Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 283 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 283 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 October 2024 to 7 July 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Gerald Mosse's strike rate?
- Gerald Mosse has won 29 of 283 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Gerald Mosse do best at?
- Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 49 runners (12.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Gerald Mosse's Fair A/E?
- 1.05, from 283 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.