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Jockey profile

Axel Lepage

107 rides in the last 5 seasons · 78 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 3 days ago 98% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2022
2–107
Wins / Runs
1.9%
Strike rate
n=107
18 (17%)
Placed
0.16
Fair A/E
n=105 · 0.13 incl. margin
−100.67
£1 level stake
n=105 at SP · −95.9%
£166k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
1.5%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.16).

Deterministic profile computed from 107 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 2.9% First rides: 2.6% Claiming: 2.8%
The read

The rider also reads well in Chase races (5.9%, n=34). The market has consistently overbet the rider in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.00 across 71 rides (0% strike, −70.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.6%+0.7
n=78 · A/E 0.23 · £1 −71.67
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−1.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
2.9%+1.0
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +1.33
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.8%+0.9
n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−1.9
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With first-time headgear 6.3% vs 1.9% · n=32
In Chase races 5.9% vs 1.9% · n=34
In Hurdle races 0% vs 1.9% · n=71 · A/E 0.00
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 1% vs 1.9% · n=102 · A/E 0.17
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 71 0 0% −70.00
Chase 34 2 5.9% −28.67
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 64 1 1.6% −58.67
Heavy 36 0 0% −36.00
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Good 3 1 33.3% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 29 0 0% −29.00
Compiegne (FR) 19 0 0% −19.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 12 0 0% −12.00
Dieppe (FR) 11 0 0% −11.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Craon (FR) 5 1 20% −0.67
Pau (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Nantes (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −1.00
Lignieres (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Le Pin au Haras (FR) 1 1 100% —
Chateaubriant (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.36 +1.33
2nd–3rd fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
4th–6th fav 26 0 0% 0.00 −26.00
7th+ in betting 67 0 0% 0.00 −67.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.4% completed · 102 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 34 91.2% 2 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 68 77.9% 5 0 10 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Dizavril Pelem (FR) 4 0 2 31 Oct 26
Sobest (FR) 4 0 1 3 Oct 26
Aulko (FR) 4 0 1 28 Mar 26
Pyravol Laujac (FR) 3 0 0 14 Oct 26
Litote Du Lannier (FR) 3 0 0 14 Feb 26
Kobattle Du Bearn (FR) 3 0 0 24 Nov 24
J'Irai Loin (FR) 3 0 0 31 Mar 24
Choeur De Mesc (FR) 2 0 0 29 Oct 26
The Prince (FR) 2 1 1 24 Oct 26
Clo Des Flos (FR) 2 0 1 4 Sep 26
La Chorale (FR) 2 0 0 28 Aug 26
Ninety Roses (FR) 2 0 0 7 Aug 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 78 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·0008·009000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Gregoire Juillet 19 0 0% −19.00
Gabriel Leenders 8 1 12.5% −7.00
Erwan Grall 8 0 0% −8.00
J Merienne 7 0 0% −7.00
J-D Marion 7 0 0% −7.00
T Poche 6 0 0% −6.00
C Plisson 5 0 0% −5.00
D Windrif 5 0 0% −5.00
S Foucher 4 1 25% +0.33
P Leblanc 3 0 0% −3.00
J Baudron 2 0 0% −2.00
S Zuliani 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
2
Archived wins
£166k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
The Prince (FR) — Prix Asselco (Prix Docteur Guy Jallot) Craon (FR) · Sep 2026
£11,699
Fatal Beauty (FR) — Prix du Haras de Coulonces (Cross Country Conditions Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Le Pin au Haras (FR) · May 2024
£8,348
Notable horses
The Prince (FR) Fatal Beauty (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bathyrhon (GER) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 12.4% of 1,206 runs since 2019 (189 horses).
Choeur Du Nord (FR) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 13.7% of 809 runs since 2020 (143 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 18.3% from 120.
Balko (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,667 runs since 2011 (297 horses).
Buck's Boum (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11% of 1,388 runs since 2015 (178 horses).
Goliath Du Berlais (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 15.8% of 448 runs since 2024 (124 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 23.9% from 117.
Whitecliffsofdover (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 3.5% of 430 runs since 2021 (64 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 107 · newest first

The latest 50 of 107 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 November 2022 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Mai Dela Barriere (FR)T: Gabriel Leenders Prix Hubert Hardy17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 8/1
05 Nov 26 Lignieres (FR) Guido D'oneix (FR)T: Mme R Toudic-gourdon Prix Charles Et Georges Du Breil Handicap Chase18f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 25/1
31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Dizavril Pelem (FR)T: Gregoire Juillet Prix Andre AdeleClass 2 · 17f · Very Soft · 10 ran 3rd 14/1
29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Choeur De Mesc (FR)T: J Bigot Prix Www.courseschevaux.frClass 3 · 23f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 11/1
29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Leve Tot (FR)T: N De Lageneste Prix De La Route Des 2 Soeurs (chmpt Paris Turf Des App. & J. Jock.)17.5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 11/1
24 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) The Prince (FR)T: S Foucher Prix CerillyClass 1 · 17f · Heavy · 12 ran 5th 10/1
19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Lou Fast (FR)T: Robert Collet Prix Bulan19.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 6/1
14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Pyravol Laujac (FR)T: J Merienne Prix De Distre17.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 6th 25/1
14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Navajos (FR)T: S Foucher Prix Des Conscrits17.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 7th 16/1
14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Aston D'enocq (FR)T: J-D Marion Prix Des Societaires19.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 4th 16/1
03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Choeur De Mesc (FR)T: J Bigot Prix De L'ecole Militaire D'equitationClass 3 · 23f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 50/1
03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Sobest (FR)T: C Plisson Prix Exposition Paul TavernierClass 3 · 19f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 12/1
01 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Captain Flag (FR)T: Regis Schmidlin Prix Vivienne (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)18f · Very Soft · 10 ran — 14/1
27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Pyravol Laujac (FR)T: J Merienne Prix Go Interim (Prix De L'oudon)17f · Very Soft · 11 ran 8th 15/2
27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Aimant (FR)T: T Poche Prix Du Journal Du Haut Anjou (Prix Olivier D'andigne)18.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 5th 9/1
27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) The Prince (FR)T: S Foucher Prix Asselco (Prix Docteur Guy Jallot)20.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran 1st 100/30F
19 Sep 26 Senonnes-Pouance (FR) Dizavril Pelem (FR)T: Gregoire Juillet Prix Race And Care (Prix Du Fer A Cheval)18f · Good · 10 ran 6th 4/1
19 Sep 26 Senonnes-Pouance (FR) Irun Lord (FR)T: Noam Chevalier Px Anjou Bleu Communaute-la Verzee (Chmpt Paris Turf Des App. & Jj.)18f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 12/1
09 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Per Favor (FR)T: Mickael Berto Prix World Citizen (chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)19f · Heavy · 13 ran 8th 15/2
09 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Arenui (FR)T: Robert Collet Prix De Pornic18f · Heavy · 10 ran — 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Axel Lepage's strike rate?
Axel Lepage has won 2 of 107 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 1.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Axel Lepage in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Axel Lepage's Fair A/E?
0.16, from 105 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).