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Jockey profile

Bastien Marchand

171 rides in the last 5 seasons · 110 individual horses
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 5 days ago 99% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2022
11–171
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=171
35 (21%)
Placed
0.91
Fair A/E
n=170 · 0.75 incl. margin
−67.60
£1 level stake
n=170 at SP · −39.8%
£426k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (47 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 171 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 11 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 8.5% Claiming: 7.3%
The read

The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 3.1% over 32 rides, 3.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Heavy going: Fair A/E 0.56 across 84 rides (3.6% strike, −53.70 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.4%+0.0
n=109 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −44.55
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
25%+18.6
n=8 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +2.60
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.5%+2.1
n=47 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +23.90
When favourite
50%
n=10 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +4.75
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.3%+0.9
n=96 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −34.90
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.3%−0.1
n=48 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −12.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.4
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With horses switching code 2.8% vs 6.4% · n=36
On Heavy going 3.6% vs 6.4% · n=84
Off a 31-60-day break 3.1% vs 6.4% · n=32
Off a 15-30-day break 9.3% vs 6.4% · n=43
With Yannick Fouin 8.9% vs 6.4% · n=45
At Compiegne (FR) 4.1% vs 6.4% · n=49
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 130 9 6.9% −63.50
Chase 40 2 5% −3.10
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 84 3 3.6% −53.70
Soft 83 7 8.4% −13.65
Good 3 0 0% −2.00
Good to Soft 1 1 100% +1.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 77 5 6.5% −34.30
Compiegne (FR) 49 2 4.1% −39.40
Fontainebleau (FR) 11 1 9.1% −7.75
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 10 1 10% +5.10
Dieppe (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 8 1 12.5% +21.00
Lyon Parilly (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Strasbourg (FR) 2 1 50% +0.75
Vittel (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Wissembourg (FR) 1 0 0% —
Saint-Cloud (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 4 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 5 45.5% 1.56 +3.75
2nd–3rd fav 18 2 11.1% 0.71 −7.45
4th–6th fav 42 1 2.4% 0.31 −34.10
7th+ in betting 99 3 3% 1.05 −29.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.6% completed · 167 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 40 90% 2 1 1 0 0
Hurdle 127 88.2% 5 2 8 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tramontane (FR) 8 0 0 24 Mar 25
Kimarillo (FR) 5 1 3 30 Sep 26
Mon Emperor (IRE) 5 0 1 20 Oct 25
Sail Rock (FR) 4 0 1 6 Nov 26
Mercinette (FR) 4 0 3 27 May 23
Celestin Mercury (FR) 4 0 0 23 Apr 23
Messy (FR) 3 1 2 29 Oct 25
Kathleen (FR) 3 0 0 2 Oct 25
Messi Blue (FR) 3 1 2 21 May 23
Lignou (FR) 3 0 1 19 Mar 23
Mossy Walsh (IRE) 2 1 1 29 Oct 26
Makani Du Fenoir (FR) 2 0 0 29 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 110 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 5
Only 5 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0041270130154010
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardYannick Fouin
26% of all rides
8.9% SR · A/E 1.01
TrainerRWSR£1
Yannick Fouin 45 4 8.9% +2.80
D Windrif 34 2 5.9% −28.60
M Seror 33 2 6.1% −27.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
11
Archived wins
£442k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 4 wins
Messy (FR) — Prix du Commandant Bossut (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Mar 2025
£23,430
Autorizia (FR) — Prix Saint-Etienne-de-Corcoue (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2022
£20,798
Messi Blue (FR) — Prix Carmont (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · May 2023
£16,726
Notable horses
Woods (FR) Kimarillo (FR) Messy (FR) Messi Blue (FR) Mado (FR) Autorizia (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Gemix (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.4% of 733 runs since 2019 (124 horses).
Great Pretender (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 13.1% of 3,557 runs since 2010 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 152.
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,888 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Masked Marvel (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 15.4% of 1,648 runs since 2019 (269 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.8% from 293.
Petillo (FR) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 4.6% of 131 runs since 2020 (18 horses).
Romanised (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.4% of 652 runs since 2024 (114 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.3% from 227. Weakest on Soft going: 4.2% from 144.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 181 · newest first

The latest 50 of 181 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 November 2020 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Sail Rock (FR)T: M Seror Prix De La Chambre De Commerce Et D'industrie De Seine Et Marne17.5f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/2
30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Meleze Des Ciel (FR)T: Alexis Acker Prix Des Monts Du LyonnaisClass 4 · 17f · Very Soft · 13 ran 11th 11/1
29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Makani Du Fenoir (FR)T: F Bellemere Prix Du Massif Forestier17.5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 14/1
29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Nymphea Du Fenoir (FR)T: F Bellemere Prix Patrice QuenedeyClass 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 16 ran 10th 40/1
29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Mossy Walsh (IRE)T: M Seror Prix De La Route Des 2 Soeurs (chmpt Paris Turf Des App. & J. Jock.)17.5f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 9/4
28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Souris Bleue (FR)T: Mlle D Wunderlich Prix FrascatiClass 3 · 18f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 18/1
06 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Scilla (FR)T: M Seror Prix Hipparque18f · Heavy · 9 ran — 18/1
06 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Panama Lux (FR)T: M Seror Prix De Nantes17.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 8/1
04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Pham (FR)T: Alexis Acker Prix Mid DancerClass 4 · 18f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 16/1
03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Nectar Des Dieux (FR)T: M Seror Prix Du Carrefour De L'obelisqueClass 4 · 17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 22/1
03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Sail Rock (FR)T: M Seror Prix De L'association Des Amis Du Musee Du Cheval MilitaireClass 4 · 18f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 6/1
03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Makao'k (FR)T: Yannick Fouin Prix D'amiens18f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 12/1
03 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Meursault Charme (FR)T: Yannick Fouin Prix Pierre Debroise17.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 11/2
01 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Bulreo Desjy (FR)T: M Seror Prix Royal Junior17.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran 6th 12/1
30 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Kimarillo (FR)T: F Bellemere Prix De Salers19.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 7/1
30 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Makani Du Fenoir (FR)T: F Bellemere Prix Bay Archer18f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 18/1
26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Mossy Walsh (IRE)T: M Seror Prix GrandlieuClass 1 · 19.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 6th 28/1
17 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Imperium (FR)T: Alexis Acker Prix Le Paillon19.5f · Heavy · 15 ran — 25/1
17 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Newton Chiron (FR)T: F Bellemere Prix CadoudalClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 33/1
15 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Lady Zaza (FR)T: M Seror Prix Du Mont Cindre17f · Heavy · 7 ran — 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Bastien Marchand's strike rate?
Bastien Marchand has won 11 of 171 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bastien Marchand do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 77 rides (6.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Bastien Marchand in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Bastien Marchand's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 170 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 11 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).