No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming: 1.7%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 1.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−1.6
n=42 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −42.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−1.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−1.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
1.7%+0.1
n=59 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −46.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.3%+4.7
n=16 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −3.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
When claiming1.7% vs 1.6% · n=59 · A/E 0.36
In Flat races1.6% vs 1.6% · n=62 · A/E 0.31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good1800%−18.00
Standard (AW)1400%−14.00
Good to Soft1200%−12.00
Good to Firm800%−8.00
Heavy5120%+8.00
Soft500%−5.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Ripon800%−8.00
Wolverhampton (AW)500%−5.00
Beverley500%−5.00
Southwell (AW)500%−5.00
Pontefract400%−4.00
Thirsk400%−4.00
York4125%+9.00
Haydock400%−4.00
Doncaster400%−4.00
Newcastle300%−3.00
Redcar300%−3.00
Catterick200%−2.00
Ayr200%−2.00
Chelmsford (AW)200%−2.00
Kempton (AW)200%−2.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 62200%−22.00
Class 52100%−21.00
Class 41500%−15.00
Class 32150%+11.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite200%0.00−2.00
2nd–3rd fav300%0.00−3.00
4th–6th fav1300%0.00−13.00
7th+ in betting4412.3%0.83−31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f2314.3%−10.00
1m2f – 1m4f1900%−19.00
6f – 7f1500%−15.00
Under 6f400%−4.00
1m5f – 2m100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4112.4%−28.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners3000%−30.00
8-10 runners1400%−14.00
14-16 runners1317.7%+0.00
17+ runners300%−3.00
5-7 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 42 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0··0001000000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
2
Archived wins
£26,627
Prize money
2008
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Blue Spinnaker (IRE) — John Smith's Fence Gate Inn Handicap York · Jul 2008 · Class 3
£10,362
Summer Charm (GB) — wbx.com World Bet Exchange Handicap Sandown · May 2006 · Class 5
Progeny have won 7.3% of 260 runs since 2008 (17 horses).
Dr Fong (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,593 runs since 2008 (350 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 158.
Traditionally (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.1% of 1,178 runs since 2008 (93 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.4% from 114. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 196. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 12% from 175. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.3% from 184.
Mind Games (GB)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,234 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.5% from 104.
Pleasant Tap (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.6% of 172 runs since 2008 (18 horses).
Singspiel (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 12% of 4,376 runs since 2008 (378 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.5% from 118.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 125 · newest first
The latest 50 of 125 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 October 2005 to 3 December 2008.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Bradley Roper's strike rate?
Bradley Roper has won 1 of 62 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 1.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Bradley Roper's Fair A/E?
0.31, from 62 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Bradley Roper·SR 1.6%·A/E 0.31
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