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Trainer profile

Aidan Anthony Howard

343 runners in the last 5 seasons · 53 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 8 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
20–343
Wins / Runs
5.8%
Strike rate
n=343
78 (23%)
Placed
0.82
n=343 · 0.64 incl. margin
−149.16
£1 level stake
n=343 at SP · −43.5%
£285k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
17%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.82).

Deterministic profile computed from 343 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Simon Torrens: 5.5% from 91
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.9% (n=105, Fair A/E 0.31). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −75.87 to a £1 stake over 112 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Simon Torrens rides 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.5%, A/E 0.89). The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (12.8%, n=78) and on Good to Soft going (9.6%, n=52). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 39 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Total Event Rental Novice Chase at Punchestown (Jan 2019, £26,255). The stable star of the record: Enter The Red (IRE) — 7 wins from 73 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.9%−3.9
n=105 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −83.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.8
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.8
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.5%−1.3
n=22 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −16.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.8
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
16%
n=25 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −11.49
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.4%−0.4
n=112 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −75.87
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 12.8% vs 5.8% · n=78
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 5.8% · n=39
Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 5.8% · n=33
On Good to Soft going 9.6% vs 5.8% · n=52
Over 6f – 7f 2% vs 5.8% · n=49
On Heavy going 9.1% vs 5.8% · n=66
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 158 8 5.1% −82.17
Hurdle 158 11 7% −44.49
Chase 25 1 4% −20.50
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 127 5 3.9% −99.12
Good 83 4 4.8% −53.87
Heavy 66 6 9.1% −12.17
Good to Soft 52 5 9.6% +31.00
Standard (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 41 2 4.9% −31.67
Punchestown 32 1 3.1% −26.50
Navan 32 2 6.3% −9.00
Ballinrobe 25 4 16% −5.12
Gowran Park 24 0 0% −24.00
Kilbeggan 22 2 9.1% −5.25
Roscommon 21 4 19% +56.00
Naas 18 2 11.1% +4.00
Dundalk (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Fairyhouse 13 1 7.7% −3.50
Cork 13 0 0% −13.00
Limerick 12 2 16.7% −1.12
Tipperary 12 0 0% −12.00
Galway 11 0 0% −11.00
Leopardstown 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 28 5 17.9% 0.79 −9.49
2nd–3rd fav 51 6 11.8% 0.86 −19.67
4th–6th fav 78 5 6.4% 0.84 −28.00
7th+ in betting 186 4 2.2% 0.80 −92.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bhean Saibhre (IRE) 27 2 8 27 Sep 26
Adhuil (IRE) 25 0 5 17 Nov 24
Edge Of My Seat (IRE) 16 0 4 13 Jul 24
Stopitnowjulia (IRE) 15 0 1 24 Aug 25
Magical Vision (IRE) 14 4 6 4 Apr 26
Gudrun Genberg (IRE)from Noel Meade 14 0 1 27 Oct 25
Can't Stop Smiling (IRE) 11 2 4 5 Sep 25
Gorgeous Suspect (FR) 10 1 2 23 Jul 25
Stay Local (IRE) 10 1 5 4 Oct 23
Follow The Crowd (IRE) 10 1 5 20 Jun 23
All 53 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 53 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from James Andrew Fahey (5) and Joseph Patrick O'Brien (3); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for James Andrew Fahey (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
40837031512540
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSimon Torrens
27% of all rides
5.5% SR · A/E 0.89
RiderRWSR£1
Simon Torrens 91 5 5.5% −14.50
Chris Hayes 34 3 8.8% −5.67
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
98
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.10m
Prize money
2020
Best season · 10 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Winter Escape (IRE) — Total Event Rental Novice Chase (Grade 3) Punchestown · Jan 2019 · Grade 3
£26,255
Winter Escape (IRE) — Paddy Power Celebrating 30 Years Irish EBF Novice Chase (Grade 3) Cork · Nov 2018 · Grade 3
£23,600
Enter The Indian (IRE) — King Crisps Novice Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Fairyhouse · Mar 2008
£14,648

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Walk In The Park (IRE) 13.8% · 4–29
Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,929 runs since 2008 (688 horses).
Decorated Knight (GB) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 9.8% of 970 runs since 2008 (84 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.3% from 286. Weakest on Soft going: 5.7% from 141.
Gutaifan (IRE) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,747 runs since 2008 (301 horses).
Dragon Pulse (IRE) 17.4% · 4–23
Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,260 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 570. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,628 runs since 2008 (842 horses).
Soldier's Call (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,098 runs since 2008 (215 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.1% from 198. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.1% from 243.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,507 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,507 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 October 2005 to 12 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Fianna (IRE)J: James Ryan Class Grass Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 1st 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Aidan Anthony Howard's strike rate?
Aidan Anthony Howard has won 20 of 343 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Aidan Anthony Howard do best at?
Navan by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 runners (6.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Aidan Anthony Howard?
Simon Torrens, with 91 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.5%).
Is Aidan Anthony Howard in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Aidan Anthony Howard's Fair A/E?
0.82, from 343 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).