What is John Balding's strike rate?

John Balding has won 80 of 938 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Balding do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 35 runners (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Balding?

Lewis Edmunds, with 114 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (9.6%).

What is John Balding's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 931 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Balding

938 runners in the lifetime window · 86 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2020 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

80–938

Wins / Runs

8.5%

Strike rate

n=938

237 (25%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=931 · 0.80 incl. margin

−343.68

£1 level stake

n=938 at SP · −36.6%

£436k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 938 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Dec–Feb 23% when favourite Lewis Edmunds: 9.6% from 114 Claiming riders: 9.3% Sent off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (17.1%, n=35), clear of the yard's 8.5% baseline. It is weakest at Newcastle (AW) (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 1.5% (n=68, Fair A/E 0.18). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −45.25 to a £1 stake over 152 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Lewis Edmunds rode 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.6%, A/E 1.28) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (19.4%, n=67). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 46 runners, 8.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Sleepy Blue Ocean (GB) — 13 wins from 83 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.6%−3.9

n=152 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −45.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.5%−7.0

n=68 · A/E 0.18 · £1 −39.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.5

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.3%−0.2

n=12 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −7.67

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.7%+0.2

n=46 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +0.75

When favourite

23%

n=61 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −13.39

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.3%+0.8

n=248 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −78.38

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.5

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 19.4% vs 8.5% · n=67

With Daniel Tudhope 18.5% vs 8.5% · n=54

On last-time-out winners 16.9% vs 8.5% · n=89

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 8.5% · n=46

At Lingfield (AW) 17.1% vs 8.5% · n=35

At Newcastle (AW) 0% vs 8.5% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 589 61 10.4% −145.17

Good to Firm 141 10 7.1% −32.13

Good 109 5 4.6% −90.63

Good to Soft 51 2 3.9% −36.00

Soft 35 2 5.7% −26.75

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 321 34 10.6% −83.38

Wolverhampton (AW) 160 15 9.4% −35.05

Doncaster 70 2 2.9% −41.00

Nottingham 53 5 9.4% −5.75

Lingfield (AW) 35 6 17.1% −7.74

Beverley 35 1 2.9% −31.00

Newcastle (AW) 34 0 0% −34.00

Thirsk 26 0 0% −26.00

Redcar 25 0 0% −25.00

Haydock 24 1 4.2% −15.00

Newcastle 22 1 4.5% −17.00

Kempton (AW) 20 3 15% +7.00

Chelmsford (AW) 19 3 15.8% +8.00

Catterick 15 1 6.7% −10.50

Hamilton 11 1 9.1% −8.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 374 32 8.6% −150.43

Class 5 341 29 8.5% −142.13

Class 4 148 14 9.5% −13.00

Class 3 52 3 5.8% −21.00

Class 2 13 1 7.7% −10.12

Class 7 8 1 12.5% −5.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 80 22 27.5% 1.08 −0.51

2nd–3rd fav 177 29 16.4% 1.07 −25.17

4th–6th fav 280 18 6.4% 0.79 −108.00

7th+ in betting 401 11 2.7% 0.72 −210.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sleepy Blue Ocean (GB)from Jeremy Noseda 83 13 27 28 Jul 16

Showboating (IRE)from Alan McCabe 58 7 14 24 Sep 19

Point North (IRE)from Jeremy Noseda 54 8 15 10 Mar 18

Fortinbrass (IRE)from David O'Meara 52 4 16 8 May 19

Imaginary World (IRE)from Alan McCabe 43 4 17 16 Oct 15

You're Cool (GB)from James Given · then Derek Shaw 40 7 14 30 Jan 20

This Ones For Eddy (GB)from S Parr 39 2 14 28 Mar 13

Razin' Hell (GB)from Alan McCabe 31 3 10 3 Jan 19

Lucky Mark (IRE)from Garry Moss 29 2 13 1 Jul 16

Garstang (GB)from Peter Grayson · then Bruce Hellier 29 3 10 7 Jul 11

Cheery Cat (USA)from D W Barker · then Bruce Hellier 26 4 9 27 Apr 11

You'relikemefrank (GB)then Richard Ford 26 5 11 12 Feb 11

The 60 most-raced of 86 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 51 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan McCabe (8) and S Parr (7); 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Bruce Hellier (3) and Richard Guest (3); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

111488798673812

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLewis Edmunds

12% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 1.28

RiderRWSR£1

Lewis Edmunds 114 11 9.6% −38.00

Robert Winston 73 10 13.7% +4.00

Paul Mulrennan 58 4 6.9% −24.62

Daniel Tudhope 54 10 18.5% +16.37

Luke Morris 51 7 13.7% +15.08

Shane Gray 50 4 8% −27.00

Graham Gibbons 32 5 15.6% −13.12

Andrew Elliott 31 2 6.5% −10.25

Ben Curtis 31 2 6.5% −12.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

123

Archived wins

£639k

Prize money

2006

Best season · 19 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Turn On The Style (GB) — Hogmanay Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Dec 2008 · Class 2

£11,657

Turn On The Style (GB) — Pontin's Family Holidays Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2007 · Class 2

£11,218

Haajes (GB) — Totesport 0800 221 221 Handicap Ffos Las · Sep 2009 · Class 3

£9,714

Notable horses

Sleepy Blue Ocean (GB) Point North (IRE) Soba Jones (GB) Showboating (IRE) You're Cool (GB) Haroldini (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 12.4% · 11–89

Progeny have won 11.8% of 16,019 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Oasis Dream (GB) 15.5% · 13–84

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,987 runs since 2008 (1,508 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 481. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Shamardal (USA) 12.1% · 7–58

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,411 runs since 2008 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,287. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 14.8% · 8–54

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Baltic King (GB) 7.7% · 4–52

Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,458 runs since 2008 (93 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.8% from 147. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 254.

Kyllachy (GB) 5.1% · 2–39

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,479 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,479 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 30 January 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Jan 20 Chelmsford City (AW) Emily's Sea (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds tote Is Back HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 33/1

30 Jan 20 Chelmsford City (AW) Murqaab (GB)J: Izzy Clifton tote Is Back HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 20/1

30 Jan 20 Chelmsford City (AW) You're Cool (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds tote Is Back With Better Value HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 11/1

19 Jan 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Murqaab (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds betyourway At Betway HandicapClass 7 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 8/1

19 Jan 20 Wolverhampton (AW) You're Cool (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Betway HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 28/1

13 Jan 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Emily's Sea (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Betway HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 150/1

06 Jan 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Murqaab (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Betway Heed Your Hunch HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 10/1

29 Dec 19 Southwell (AW) Murqaab (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Betway Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 14/1

05 Nov 19 Southwell (AW) Murqaab (GB)J: Izzy Clifton Betway HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 12/1

26 Oct 19 Chelmsford City (AW) You're Cool (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Bet totetrifecta At totesport.com HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 33/1

16 Oct 19 Southwell (AW) Murqaab (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Sky Sports Racing On Sky 415 HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 33/1

04 Oct 19 Southwell (AW) Murqaab (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Southwell Golf Club HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 33/1

30 Sep 19 Wolverhampton (AW) You're Cool (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Commercial Flooring Company Ltd HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 16/1

24 Sep 19 Beverley Showboating (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Season Finale HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 11/1

21 Sep 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Murqaab (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds JC Cyber Security Services Ltd HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 40/1

07 Sep 19 Kempton (AW) Showboating (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Visit sunracing.co.uk For Top Bookmaker Offers HandicapClass 4 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 10th 50/1

22 Aug 19 Leicester Murqaab (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Charles Street HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 11th 33/1

14 Aug 19 Beverley Showboating (IRE)J: Dougie Costello Wykeland/Flemingate HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 28/1

09 Aug 19 Chelmsford City (AW) You're Cool (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Irish Lotto At Totesport.com HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 20/1

01 Aug 19 Nottingham Showboating (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Mansionbet Beaten By A Head HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Balding's strike rate?: John Balding has won 80 of 938 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Balding do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 35 runners (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Balding?: Lewis Edmunds, with 114 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (9.6%).
What is John Balding's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 931 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.