What is Alistair Whillans's strike rate?

Alistair Whillans has won 254 of 2,925 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alistair Whillans do best at?

Catterick by strike rate: 8 wins from 61 runners (13.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Alistair Whillans?

Ewan Whillans, with 427 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (9.1%).

What is Alistair Whillans's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 2,912 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alistair Whillans

2,925 runners in the lifetime window · 219 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Aug 2021

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

254–2,925

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=2,925

760 (26%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=2,912 · 0.89 incl. margin

−775.00

£1 level stake

n=2,925 at SP · −26.5%

£1.86m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 210 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 10% (128 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,925 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jul–Aug 25.6% when favourite Ewan Whillans: 9.1% from 427 Sent off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

It is weakest at Doncaster (0% over 35 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 4.7% (n=107, Fair A/E 1.10). A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run are the standout value angle: 10.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.27 and +0.88 to a £1 stake over 128 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.77 and −272.17 to a £1 stake over 479 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Ewan Whillans rode 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.1%, A/E 0.94). The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (16.3%, n=135). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Peter Marsh Chase at Haydock (Jan 2015, £28,475). The stable star of the record was Alexandrakollontai (IRE) — 13 wins from 104 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.8%−3.9

n=479 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −272.17

New recruits · first run for the yard

6%−2.7

n=100 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −35.50

Debutants · first career start

4.7%−4.0

n=107 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −40.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9%+0.3

n=67 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −7.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.2%+1.5

n=128 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +0.88

When favourite

25.6%

n=164 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −34.60

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.8%−0.9

n=1,311 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −398.15

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%−1.0

n=13 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.9% vs 8.7% · n=249

With Ross Chapman 20.5% vs 8.7% · n=39

Off a 0-7-day break 16.3% vs 8.7% · n=135

With Brian Harding 16.4% vs 8.7% · n=73

At Doncaster 0% vs 8.7% · n=35

With Tom Eaves 0% vs 8.7% · n=35

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,553 126 8.1% −414.63

Hurdle 907 82 9% −303.41

Chase 294 37 12.6% +1.04

NH Flat 171 9 5.3% −58.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 851 76 8.9% −190.23

Soft 605 54 8.9% −186.51

Good to Soft 495 46 9.3% −82.79

Good to Firm 374 38 10.2% −103.54

Standard (AW) 363 23 6.3% −126.65

Heavy 236 17 7.2% −84.28

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 438 42 9.6% −82.73

Musselburgh 314 28 8.9% −123.58

Newcastle (AW) 268 17 6.3% −87.90

Carlisle 237 19 8% −68.42

Hamilton 236 16 6.8% −106.25

Perth 215 20 9.3% −32.00

Kelso 215 19 8.8% −84.75

Newcastle 166 14 8.4% −26.25

Hexham 160 19 11.9% −31.62

Wolverhampton 67 4 6% −35.75

Catterick 61 8 13.1% +22.63

Sedgefield 58 6 10.3% −7.00

Haydock 58 6 10.3% +18.00

Cartmel 55 7 12.7% +7.50

Redcar 54 6 11.1% −4.88

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 921 90 9.8% −217.79

Class 5 879 75 8.5% −205.58

Class 6 733 56 7.6% −234.09

Class 3 278 26 9.4% −63.79

Class 2 85 5 5.9% −45.50

Class 1 15 1 6.7% +2.00

Class 7 10 1 10% −6.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 202 52 25.7% 1.03 −28.65

2nd–3rd fav 487 76 15.6% 1.01 −73.35

4th–6th fav 1,022 94 9.2% 1.16 −35.00

7th+ in betting 1,214 32 2.6% 0.80 −638.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 606 47 7.8% −156.15

1m – 1m1f 499 38 7.6% −110.79

2m1f – 2m4f 441 34 7.7% −241.30

6f – 7f 406 34 8.4% −80.02

2m5f – 3m 395 48 12.2% −11.21

1m2f – 1m4f 392 35 8.9% −127.25

Over 3m 100 13 13% +5.64

Under 6f 86 5 5.8% −53.92

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 105 8 7.6% −19.67

2009 108 14 13% +39.71

2010 148 19 12.8% −20.37

2011 224 22 9.8% −56.42

2012 189 18 9.5% −57.77

2013 202 18 8.9% −36.75

2014 240 18 7.5% −90.75

2015 266 25 9.4% −46.33

2016 255 32 12.5% −6.12

2017 246 16 6.5% −133.65

2018 222 12 5.4% −101.37

2019 286 24 8.4% −34.00

2020 262 16 6.1% −124.26

2021 172 12 7% −87.25

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,388 226 9.5% −524.41

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,006 85 8.4% −306.00

11-13 runners 908 70 7.7% −263.91

5-7 runners 499 64 12.8% −68.19

14-16 runners 408 27 6.6% −105.15

17+ runners 72 1 1.4% −55.00

2-4 runners 32 7 21.9% +23.25

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Alexandrakollontai (IRE)from J S Moore 104 13 25 23 Sep 19

Claude Carter (GB) 91 7 23 28 Dec 17

Funky Munky (GB)from Alan Swinbank 70 8 21 17 Oct 15

Vittachi (GB)from James Bethell 61 5 19 15 Sep 15

Ralphy Boy (IRE)from Kevin Ryan 59 7 20 11 Aug 17

Henpecked (GB) 57 5 25 21 Feb 18

Galilee Chapel (IRE)from David Elsworth 55 6 20 11 Jan 18

Gun Case (GB)from Ed Walker 51 4 15 10 Mar 20

Donnachies Girl (IRE) 50 7 25 12 Nov 20

Royal Shaheen (FR)from A Wohler 49 5 11 23 Oct 20

Gleann Na Ndochais (IRE) 49 5 16 21 Aug 17

Opt Out (GB)from Mark Johnston · then David O'Meara 48 5 10 4 Jul 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 219 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 16 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ed Walker (3) and Alan J Brown (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Ewan Whillans (12) and David O'Meara (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

887696101191198

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderEwan Whillans

15% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 0.94

RiderRWSR£1

Ewan Whillans 427 39 9.1% −151.92

P J McDonald 199 28 14.1% +39.63

Craig Nichol 177 15 8.5% −31.62

Rowan Scott 168 5 3% −127.00

Garry Whillans 126 6 4.8% −67.25

Callum Whillans 103 6 5.8% −51.25

Callum Bewley 101 9 8.9% −28.30

Paul Mulrennan 82 9 11% −32.79

Brian Harding 73 12 16.4% +11.54

Barry McHugh 62 4 6.5% −29.50

Graham Lee 61 3 4.9% −36.00

Cam Hardie 55 3 5.5% −35.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

280

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.02m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 32 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Samstown (GB) — Peter Marsh Chase (Grade 2 Limited Handicap) Haydock · Jan 2015 · Grade 2

£28,475

Samstown (GB) — Weatherbys Private Banking Novices' Handicap Chase Ayr · Apr 2014 · Class 2

£19,494

What A Steel (IRE) — totepool.com Cumbria Crystal Trophy Handicap Hurdle Cartmel · Jul 2012 · Class 3

£18,194

Notable horses

Alexandrakollontai (IRE) Lady Bluesky (GB) Funky Munky (GB) Sotovik (IRE) Claude Carter (GB) Ralphy Boy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Amadeus Wolf (GB) 12.5% · 13–104

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,589 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.1% from 157.

Elmaamul (USA) 7.7% · 7–91

Progeny have won 7.4% of 500 runs since 2008 (35 horses).

Manduro (GER) 12.3% · 9–73

Progeny have won 10.4% of 4,214 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 1,095.

Talaash (IRE) 11.4% · 8–70

Progeny have won 11.7% of 77 runs since 2008 (1 horse).

Cloudings (IRE) 18.8% · 13–69

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,882 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 10.1% · 7–69

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,784 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,323 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,323 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 18 August 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Aug 21 Carlisle Zealous (IRE)J: Luke Scott Brisco Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 9f · Good · 12 ran 1st 18/1

17 Aug 21 Carlisle Sienna Dream (GB)J: Rowan Scott MansionBet Bestival Beaten By A Head Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 10th 28/1

17 Aug 21 Carlisle Amazing Alba (GB)J: Jack Garritty MansionBet Summer Of Lovely Offers HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 10th 16/1

17 Aug 21 Hamilton The Brora Pobbles (GB)J: Bradley Harris cleanstay At Hampton By Hilton 'hands And Heels' Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 11/1

17 Aug 21 Hamilton Cheese And Wine (GB)J: P J McDonald Stay At Hampton By Hilton Hamilton Park HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good · 11 ran 4th 66/1

17 Aug 21 Hamilton Desert Quest (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Stay At Hampton By Hilton Hamilton Park HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good · 11 ran 1st 4/1F

17 Aug 21 Hamilton Battle Of Wills (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Book Our On-site Hotel Scottish Trophy HandicapClass 3 · 9f · Good · 11 ran 11th 100/1

17 Aug 21 Hamilton Jordan Electrics (GB)J: Cam Hardie 'william The Lion' HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 13/2

16 Aug 21 Catterick Guiding Star (GB)J: Connor Murtagh Lee & Louise Thurston Belated 40ths HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 9th 125/1

14 Aug 21 Perth Toutatis (USA)J: Craig Nichol Rhubarb And Ginger Edinburgh Gin Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 6th 66/1

09 Aug 21 Ayr Sienna Dream (GB)J: Billy Garritty QTS Training HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 11/1

09 Aug 21 Ayr The Brora Pobbles (GB)J: Sam James QTS Group HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 33/1

05 Aug 21 Redcar Guiding Star (GB)J: Kevin Stott Every Race Live On Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 19 ran 19th 33/1

02 Aug 21 Carlisle Zealous (IRE)J: Ella McCain VL Aesthetics Honours Pam Eland Handicap (Professional And Amateur Female Jockeys)Class 5 · 11f · Good · 9 ran 6th 22/1

02 Aug 21 Carlisle Lady Artela (IRE)J: Ella McCain PC Abs Ahmed Memorial Race Handicap (Professional And Amateur Female Jockeys) (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 8th 100/1

02 Aug 21 Carlisle Kilconquhar (GB)J: Miss Becky Smith VL Aesthetics Honours Shona Cunningham Handicap (Pro-Am Female Jockeys)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 11th 8/1

02 Aug 21 Carlisle Amazing Alba (GB)J: Saffie Osborne VL Aesthetics Honours Lesley Maxwell Handicap (Professional And Amateur Female Jockeys)Class 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 7/1

31 Jul 21 Hamilton Ghayyar (IRE)J: David Nolan MacGregor Flooring HandicapClass 6 · 9f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 14/1

31 Jul 21 Hamilton Jordan Electrics (GB)J: Joanna Mason Boe Violet Gin Silk Series Handicap (Pro-Am Female Jockeys)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 1/2F

28 Jul 21 Perth Scots Poet (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alistair Whillans's strike rate?: Alistair Whillans has won 254 of 2,925 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alistair Whillans do best at?: Catterick by strike rate: 8 wins from 61 runners (13.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alistair Whillans?: Ewan Whillans, with 427 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (9.1%).
What is Alistair Whillans's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 2,912 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.