What is Bruce Lynn's strike rate?

Bruce Lynn has won 71 of 817 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Bruce Lynn do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 25 wins from 169 rides (14.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Bruce Lynn ride most for?

N W Alexander, with 578 rides since 2022 — 71% of the total. That pairing has won 66 (11.4%).

Is Bruce Lynn in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 12 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Bruce Lynn's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 816 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Bruce Lynn

817 rides in the last 5 seasons · 205 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 4 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

71–817

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=817

224 (27%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=816 · 0.79 incl. margin

−150.98

£1 level stake

n=817 at SP · −18.5%

£930k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 160 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92). When claiming the record reads 12% (418 rides). Rides mostly for N W Alexander — 71% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 817 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 41.2% when favourite N W Alexander: 11.4% from 578 Claiming: 11.5% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ayr (14.8%, n=169), clear of the rider's 8.7% baseline. First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 2.7% (n=183, Fair A/E 0.42). N W Alexander supplies 71% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.4% vs 8.7%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well beyond 3m (18.4%, n=38). The standout partner of the record: Dubai Days (IRE) — 9 wins from 30 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.7%−6.0

n=183 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −138.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9.9%+1.2

n=71 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −45.33

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.8%−1.9

n=221 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +24.25

When favourite

41.2%

n=51 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +14.53

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.5%+2.8

n=418 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −88.17

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.5%−1.2

n=80 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −13.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.7

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Beyond 3m 18.4% vs 8.7% · n=38

With Simon West 0% vs 8.7% · n=49

With C&D winners 15.8% vs 8.7% · n=114

At Ayr 14.8% vs 8.7% · n=169

On first rides for the horse 2.7% vs 8.7% · n=183

With Gary Rutherford 0% vs 8.7% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 543 44 8.1% −87.85

Chase 211 24 11.4% −25.83

NH Flat 63 3 4.8% −37.30

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 263 29 11% +106.33

Good to Soft 260 23 8.8% −84.21

Good 197 13 6.6% −124.93

Heavy 88 6 6.8% −39.17

Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 169 25 14.8% +22.08

Kelso 157 19 12.1% −48.26

Perth 95 7 7.4% +74.50

Hexham 83 6 7.2% −20.88

Newcastle 71 2 2.8% −62.00

Musselburgh 65 2 3.1% −48.00

Carlisle 63 8 12.7% +24.25

Sedgefield 21 0 0% −21.00

Catterick 14 0 0% −14.00

Wetherby 13 0 0% −13.00

Haydock 12 2 16.7% +9.33

Market Rasen 11 0 0% −11.00

Cartmel 9 0 0% −9.00

Doncaster 9 0 0% −9.00

Southwell 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 342 31 9.1% −15.77

Class 5 331 26 7.9% −94.63

Class 3 82 10 12.2% −5.33

Class 2 52 4 7.7% −25.25

Class 1 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 62 22 35.5% 1.30 +8.53

2nd–3rd fav 162 19 11.7% 0.68 −74.51

4th–6th fav 332 23 6.9% 0.93 −80.00

7th+ in betting 261 7 2.7% 0.93 −5.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

78.1% completed · 754 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 211 72% 5 11 43 0 0

Hurdle 543 80.5% 7 2 92 2 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dubai Days (IRE) 25 6 10 15 Oct 26

Eloi Du Puy (FR) 23 5 13 21 Mar 26

Travail D'orfevre (FR) 22 3 14 2 Jan 26

Gipsy Lee Rose (FR) 21 5 11 7 Mar 25

Ballyfort (IRE) 18 3 9 24 Oct 26

Elvis Mail (FR) 18 5 8 13 Feb 26

Everyday Champagne (IRE) 18 1 6 1 Nov 25

Warriors Story (GB) 15 1 5 4 Jul 24

Lewa House (GB) 13 1 5 25 Mar 26

Not In Kansas (GB) 13 2 3 8 Jun 25

Ginger Mail (FR) 12 1 1 31 Oct 26

Atlantic Dancer (IRE) 12 4 7 15 Apr 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 205 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 12

Only 12 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

661316880001296

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardN W Alexander

71% of all rides
11.4% SR · A/E 1.05

TrainerRWSR£1

N W Alexander 578 66 11.4% +42.14

Simon West 49 0 0% −49.00

Gary Rutherford 30 0 0% −30.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

Archived wins

£1.11m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 20 wins

Elvis Mail (FR) — Edinburgh Gin Chase (Limited Handicap) (GBB Race) Kelso · Oct 2023 · Class 2

£26,164

Elvis Mail (FR) — Edinburgh Gin Chase (Limited Handicap) (GBB Race) Kelso · Oct 2024 · Class 2

£26,164

Elvis Mail (FR) — Make Your Best Bet At BetVictor Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2023 · Class 2

£18,211

Notable horses

Dubai Days (IRE) Eloi Du Puy (FR) Gipsy Lee Rose (FR) Elvis Mail (FR) Travail D'orfevre (FR) Atlantic Dancer (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Jeu St Eloi (FR) 17.5% · 7–40

Progeny have won 13.9% of 804 runs since 2020 (156 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 20.3% from 123.

Great Pretender (IRE) 16.7% · 6–36

Progeny have won 13.1% of 3,550 runs since 2010 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.

Fame And Glory (GB) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,211 runs since 2016 (504 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 3.2% · 1–31

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,836 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Martaline (GB) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,347 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Dubai Destination (USA) 24% · 6–25

Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,046 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,046 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 June 2016 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Ayr Better Be Definite (GB)T: N. W. Alexander Hogmanay Ball At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 10/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Platin Moon (FR)T: N. W. Alexander Bet With On Course Bookmakers Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 3rd 11/2

31 Oct 26 Ayr Ginger Mail (FR)T: N. W. Alexander '3b Crane Hire Trick Or Trot' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 5/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Cavalier Du Luy (IRE)T: N. W. Alexander Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 7/2

31 Oct 26 Ayr The G Wizard (IRE)T: N. W. Alexander United Council Of Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 6/4F

31 Oct 26 Ayr Jirko (FR)T: N. W. Alexander Bsb Structural Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran UR 6/1

27 Oct 26 Newcastle Zeezee (IRE)T: Eloise Quayle High Gosforth Park Golf Club Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran PU 40/1

24 Oct 26 Kelso Ballyfort (IRE)T: N. W. Alexander Myles Mcnulty You'Re Never Sixty Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 9/2

24 Oct 26 Kelso Suspected (IRE)T: N. W. Alexander Clifford, Martin & Sarah Firth Memorial Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran UR 9/2

24 Oct 26 Kelso Oor Wish (IRE)T: N. W. Alexander Stay For The After Party 'national Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 11/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Half Track (IRE)T: N. W. Alexander Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 28/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Old Comrades (IRE)T: N. W. Alexander Class Of '63: 63 Years On Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 13 ran 6th 80/1

20 Oct 26 Hexham Burning It Up (IRE)T: N. W. Alexander Northumbria Leisure Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 6th 20/1

20 Oct 26 Hexham Lester Mail (FR)T: N. W. Alexander Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 17/2

15 Oct 26 Perth Dubai Days (IRE)T: N. W. Alexander Follow @racingtv On Instagram Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 33/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Le Coup D'envoi (FR)T: N. W. Alexander Join Racing TV Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 5/1

29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Hijo De La Luna (GER)T: Simon West Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 4th 11/1

24 Sep 26 Perth The G Wizard (IRE)T: N. W. Alexander Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 9/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Anamanda (FR)T: N. W. Alexander Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 10th 16/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Burning It Up (IRE)T: N. W. Alexander Thank You To Kinneston Owners Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran UR 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 15 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Bruce Lynn's strike rate?: Bruce Lynn has won 71 of 817 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bruce Lynn do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 25 wins from 169 rides (14.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Bruce Lynn ride most for?: N W Alexander, with 578 rides since 2022 — 71% of the total. That pairing has won 66 (11.4%).
Is Bruce Lynn in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 12 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Bruce Lynn's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 816 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.