What is Sandy Thomson's strike rate?

Sandy Thomson has won 96 of 789 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sandy Thomson do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 18 wins from 105 runners (17.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Sandy Thomson?

Ryan Mania, with 428 runners since 2022 — 54% of the total. That pairing has won 62 (14.5%).

What is Sandy Thomson's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 788 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Sandy Thomson

789 runners in the last 5 seasons · 104 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 106 days ago 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

96–789

Wins / Runs

12.2%

Strike rate

n=789

239 (30%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=788 · 0.86 incl. margin

−184.39

£1 level stake

n=789 at SP · −23.4%

£1.39m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

20.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 16% (32 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 789 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Feb 34.9% when favourite Ryan Mania: 14.5% from 428 Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

It is weakest at Perth (4.3% over 47 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 15.6% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.68), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.3% (n=93, Fair A/E 0.44). Ryan Mania rides 54% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.5% vs 12.2%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 2.6% over 38 runners, 9.6pts below the baseline. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle at Ayr (Apr 2026, £56,319). The stable star of the record: Seeyouatmidnight (GB) — 9 wins from 21 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11%−1.2

n=236 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −27.44

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.7%−2.5

n=31 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −7.12

Debutants · first career start

11.1%−1.1

n=36 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −22.80

First-time headgear · true-first definition

15.6%+3.4

n=32 · A/E 1.68 · £1 +3.33

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.1%−0.1

n=33 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −15.00

When favourite

34.9%

n=83 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +5.63

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.3%−7.9

n=93 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −79.12

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15%+2.8

n=20 · A/E 1.85 · £1 +5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 23.9% vs 12.2% · n=88

On last-time-out winners 21.6% vs 12.2% · n=97

With claiming riders up 4.3% vs 12.2% · n=93

Off a 8-14-day break 2.6% vs 12.2% · n=38

With Brian Hughes 21.2% vs 12.2% · n=33

At Perth 4.3% vs 12.2% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 420 49 11.7% −110.59

Chase 306 39 12.7% −43.88

NH Flat 58 8 13.8% −24.92

Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 292 36 12.3% −61.07

Soft 253 29 11.5% −60.06

Good 174 20 11.5% −42.62

Heavy 61 9 14.8% −20.89

Good to Firm 6 2 33.3% +3.25

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kelso 170 28 16.5% −22.16

Ayr 118 11 9.3% −63.54

Musselburgh 105 18 17.1% −21.76

Carlisle 73 8 11% +0.00

Newcastle 70 8 11.4% −11.88

Hexham 65 6 9.2% −12.00

Perth 47 2 4.3% −35.75

Wetherby 23 3 13% +25.00

Catterick 15 4 26.7% +2.20

Cartmel 14 0 0% −14.00

Haydock 14 2 14.3% −4.00

Sedgefield 14 2 14.3% −1.00

Aintree 14 1 7.1% −1.00

Doncaster 10 0 0% −10.00

Uttoxeter 8 3 37.5% +14.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 309 30 9.7% −136.01

Class 5 206 32 15.5% −0.59

Class 3 141 18 12.8% −7.72

Class 2 98 13 13.3% −30.07

Class 1 33 3 9.1% −8.00

Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 93 33 35.5% 1.26 +12.88

2nd–3rd fav 247 38 15.4% 0.93 −59.77

4th–6th fav 276 19 6.9% 0.82 −74.50

7th+ in betting 173 6 3.5% 0.94 −63.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.4% completed · 726 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 306 74.8% 12 6 57 1 1

Hurdle 420 86.2% 9 2 46 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Theirshegoes (IRE)then Mrs A M Thomson 27 2 6 21 Jun 26

Benson (GB)from Dr Richard Newland 24 3 6 8 Nov 25

Rob Roy Macgregor (IRE) 19 1 5 2 May 26

Carcaci Castle (IRE)from Colin Bowe 19 3 5 29 Jan 26

Kilbrainy (IRE)from W J Burke 19 2 4 7 Apr 25

Faithfulflyer (IRE)from Matthew J Smith 19 4 9 2 Nov 24

Stylish Recruit (IRE)then Sandy Thomson 18 3 4 21 Jun 26

Leading Force (IRE)then James Owen 18 1 8 21 Mar 25

Marty Mcfly (IRE)from R Mike Smith · then Sandy Thomson 17 6 6 17 Apr 26

Empire Steel (IRE) 17 3 4 8 Mar 26

Cedar Hill (IRE)from Iain Jardine 17 3 7 14 Jun 24

I Am Max (IRE) 16 3 8 17 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 104 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 27 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from R Mike Smith (4) and Iain Jardine (2); 33 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs A M Thomson (6) and James Owen (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

17141081017002051616

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRyan Mania

54% of all rides
14.5% SR · A/E 1.08

RiderRWSR£1

Ryan Mania 428 62 14.5% −59.35

Danny McMenamin 55 8 14.5% −10.17

Lewis Dobb 44 2 4.5% −36.50

Brian Hughes 33 7 21.2% +23.75

Patrick Wadge 33 6 18.2% +13.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

243

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.12m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 30 wins

Dedicated Hero (IRE) — Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2026 · Grade 2

£56,319

Benson (GB) — bet365 Morebattle Hurdle (Handicap) (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2023 · Class 2

£51,440

Seeyouatmidnight (GB) — Unibet Veterans' Handicap Chase Sandown · Jan 2021 · Class 2

£43,330

Notable horses

Seeyouatmidnight (GB) Blue Kascade (IRE) Cedar Hill (IRE) Empire Steel (IRE) Marty Mcfly (IRE) Brotherly Company (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Court Cave (IRE) 7.4% · 4–54

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,928 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.

Getaway (GER) 26.7% · 12–45

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Beat Hollow (GB) 11.6% · 5–43

Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,030 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 5.9% · 2–34

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).

Sageburg (IRE) 24.2% · 8–33

Progeny have won 10% of 3,471 runs since 2008 (414 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.4% from 293. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.4% from 352.

Mahler (GB) 7.1% · 2–28

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,831 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,831 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 November 2008 to 6 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Jul 26 Ayr Flying Moonlight (IRE)J: James Sullivan Try Racing TV For Free Now HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 15/2

25 Jun 26 Hamilton Florida Dreams (IRE)J: Mikey Sheehy Indigo Unified Comms Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 9f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 28/1

21 Jun 26 Hexham Stylish Recruit (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 9/2

21 Jun 26 Hexham Theirshegoes (IRE)J: Gregor Walkingshaw L & R Pest Control Services Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 16/1

19 Jun 26 Ayr Flying Moonlight (IRE)J: Jamie Gormley Outcider HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 12/1

10 Jun 26 Hamilton Florida Dreams (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Robert Graham Millar Memorial Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 3rd 16/1

06 Jun 26 Hexham Stylish Recruit (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Tricia Hughes Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 4/1

24 May 26 Kelso Theirshegoes (IRE)J: Joshua Thompson J.A. Wilson Contractors Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 7th 9/1

24 May 26 Kelso Stylish Recruit (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge J.A. Wilson Contractors Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 5th 15/2

21 May 26 Haydock Florida Dreams (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Pitch Perfect EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 11.5f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 22/1

09 May 26 Hexham Florida Dreams (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Paxtons Number 1 For Case IH Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 11/2

06 May 26 Kelso Rememberthename (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 5/2

02 May 26 Hexham Stylish Recruit (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Winchcombe Working Mens FC Tour 2026 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 11/2

02 May 26 Hexham Rob Roy Macgregor (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge drainrat.co.uk Rat Entry Diagnosis Specialist Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 13 ran 5th 5/1

22 Apr 26 Perth Aeros Luck (IRE)J: William Maggs Bedmax Capercaillie Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 11/2

20 Apr 26 Kelso Eagle Warrior (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Racing TV Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 5th 10/3

20 Apr 26 Kelso Rememberthename (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Scottish Racing Academy Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 18f · Good · 9 ran 1st 7/4F

20 Apr 26 Kelso Wolfburg (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Reg And Betty Tweedie Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st EvensF

18 Apr 26 Ayr Dedicated Hero (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 12/1

17 Apr 26 Ayr I Am Max (IRE)J: Conor O'Farrell Get Home Safe With Thistle Cabs Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24.5f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sandy Thomson's strike rate?: Sandy Thomson has won 96 of 789 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sandy Thomson do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 18 wins from 105 runners (17.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sandy Thomson?: Ryan Mania, with 428 runners since 2022 — 54% of the total. That pairing has won 62 (14.5%).
What is Sandy Thomson's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 788 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.