What is N. W. Alexander's strike rate?

N. W. Alexander has won 117 of 1,018 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does N. W. Alexander do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 45 wins from 271 runners (16.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for N. W. Alexander?

Bruce Lynn, with 569 runners since 2022 — 56% of the total. That pairing has won 65 (11.4%).

Is N. W. Alexander in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is N. W. Alexander's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 1,017 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

N. W. Alexander

1,018 runners in the last 5 seasons · 106 individual horses

As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.8% of 239 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 24 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

117–1,018

Wins / Runs

11.5%

Strike rate

n=1,018

307 (30%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=1,017 · 0.87 incl. margin

−108.00

£1 level stake

n=1,018 at SP · −10.6%

£1.53m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 200 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.00). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 17% (42 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,018 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–May 38.6% when favourite Bruce Lynn: 11.4% from 569 Claiming riders: 13.9% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ayr (16.6%, n=271), clear of the yard's 11.5% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 16.7% (n=42, Fair A/E 1.31), but debutants struggle at 2.3% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.34). Bruce Lynn rides 56% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.4%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (18.4%, n=49). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the BetVictor Rehearsal Handicap Chase at Newcastle (Dec 2018, £39,865). The stable star of the record: Clan Legend (GB) — 11 wins from 44 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9%−2.5

n=245 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +55.83

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.7%−2.8

n=23 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +4.00

Debutants · first career start

2.3%−9.2

n=44 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −29.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16.7%+5.2

n=42 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +2.92

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.7%−7.8

n=27 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −22.67

When favourite

38.6%

n=83 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +13.35

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.9%+2.4

n=409 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −24.07

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.3%+1.8

n=15 · A/E 2.08 · £1 +1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 2.3% vs 11.5% · n=44

With horses switching code 4.5% vs 11.5% · n=112

With C&D winners 17.4% vs 11.5% · n=172

With Mr Kit Alexander 19.5% vs 11.5% · n=41

At Ayr 16.6% vs 11.5% · n=271

Beyond 3m 18.4% vs 11.5% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 665 74 11.1% −48.57

Chase 296 40 13.5% −28.13

NH Flat 56 3 5.4% −30.30

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 403 55 13.6% +90.53

Good to Soft 325 32 9.8% −84.01

Good 173 19 11% −78.95

Heavy 112 11 9.8% −30.57

Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 271 45 16.6% +7.28

Kelso 221 24 10.9% −88.31

Perth 120 9 7.5% +63.00

Musselburgh 93 6 6.5% −50.75

Newcastle 79 6 7.6% −49.25

Carlisle 76 10 13.2% +29.98

Hexham 60 6 10% −20.28

Haydock 38 6 15.8% +20.83

Doncaster 16 3 18.8% +8.50

Wetherby 12 0 0% −12.00

Catterick 8 1 12.5% −4.00

Cheltenham 6 0 0% −6.00

Sedgefield 6 0 0% −6.00

Aintree 4 0 0% −4.00

Uttoxeter 3 1 33.3% +8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 435 52 12% −13.68

Class 5 306 34 11.1% −29.78

Class 3 170 21 12.4% −37.79

Class 2 84 8 9.5% −19.75

Class 1 23 2 8.7% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 99 35 35.4% 1.22 +11.10

2nd–3rd fav 260 40 15.4% 0.84 −67.10

4th–6th fav 391 35 9% 1.11 −36.00

7th+ in betting 268 7 2.6% 0.74 −16.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.8% completed · 961 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 296 75.7% 15 13 44 0 0

Hurdle 665 84.5% 11 7 78 3 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ned Tanner (IRE) 30 5 8 15 Oct 26

Dubai Days (IRE)from Eugene M O'Sullivan 28 6 11 15 Oct 26

Ginger Mail (FR) 27 4 8 17 Apr 26

Beat The Retreat (IRE) 26 4 9 24 Sep 26

Artic Row (GB) 24 4 7 15 May 25

Eloi Du Puy (FR) 23 5 13 21 Mar 26

Travail D'orfevre (FR) 23 3 15 2 Jan 26

Gipsy Lee Rose (FR)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 23 5 11 7 Mar 25

Elvis Mail (FR) 21 5 8 13 Feb 26

Half Track (IRE)from Miss Elizabeth Anne Lalor 20 0 4 22 Oct 26

Maillot Blanc (GB)from Sophie Leech 19 2 5 24 Sep 26

Anamanda (FR)from N Clement 19 0 6 23 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 106 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Keith Dalgleish (2); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 59 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

911181413170001379

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderBruce Lynn

56% of all rides
11.4% SR · A/E 1.06

RiderRWSR£1

Bruce Lynn 569 65 11.4% +48.64

Danny McMenamin 96 12 12.5% −35.82

Sean Quinlan 85 14 16.5% −33.55

Conor O'Farrell 77 9 11.7% −21.92

Dominic Hislop 47 5 10.6% −26.52

Mr Kit Alexander 41 8 19.5% +28.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

347

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.33m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 30 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lake View Lad (IRE) — BetVictor Rehearsal Handicap Chase (Listed) Newcastle · Dec 2018 · Listed

£39,865

Wakool (FR) — Betfred Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Haydock · Feb 2023 · Grade 2

£34,170

Lake View Lad (IRE) — William Hill Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Aintree · Dec 2020 · Grade 2

£28,135

Notable horses

Clan Legend (GB) Dubai Days (IRE) Elvis Mail (FR) Lake View Lad (IRE) Jet Master (IRE) Calivigny (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 9.5% · 6–63

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,853 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Fame And Glory (GB) 10.2% · 5–49

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,204 runs since 2008 (504 horses).

Jeu St Eloi (FR) 19.6% · 9–46

Progeny have won 13.9% of 792 runs since 2008 (152 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.8% from 121.

Yeats (IRE) 13.6% · 6–44

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,814 runs since 2008 (705 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 817.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 7.7% · 3–39

Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,823 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Sulamani (IRE) 7.9% · 3–38

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,243 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,214 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,214 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 January 2005 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Half Track (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 28/1

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Bel Amigo (FR)J: Dominic Hislop 50 Years Of The Window Shop Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 5th 5/2

22 Oct 26 Carlisle Old Comrades (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Class Of '63: 63 Years On Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 13 ran 6th 80/1

20 Oct 26 Hexham Burning It Up (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Northumbria Leisure Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 6th 20/1

20 Oct 26 Hexham Lester Mail (FR)J: Bruce Lynn Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 17/2

15 Oct 26 Perth Ned Tanner (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Racingtv, Home Of Live Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 22/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Shooting (FR)J: Dominic Hislop Every Irish Race Live On RacingTV Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran PU 200/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Dubai Days (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Follow @racingtv On Instagram Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 33/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Le Coup D'envoi (FR)J: Bruce Lynn Join Racing TV Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 5/1

24 Sep 26 Perth Beat The Retreat (IRE)J: Dominic Hislop A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 22/1

24 Sep 26 Perth Maillot Blanc (GB)J: Dominic Hislop Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 8th 22/1

24 Sep 26 Perth The G Wizard (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 9/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Anamanda (FR)J: Bruce Lynn Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 10th 16/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Burning It Up (IRE)J: Bruce Lynn Thank You To Kinneston Owners Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran UR 18/1

23 Sep 26 Perth Bel Amigo (FR)J: Bruce Lynn Lord Mansfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 6th 22/1

07 Jun 26 Perth Maillot Blanc (GB)J: Bruce Lynn IM Group Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 13 ran PU 16/1

24 May 26 Kelso Gorvennec (FR)J: Bruce Lynn J.A. Wilson Contractors Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good · 12 ran PU 66/1

14 May 26 Perth Ned Tanner (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan DM Hall Surveyors Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 17/2

14 May 26 Perth L'appel Du Large (FR)J: Bruce Lynn Edinburgh Gin Classic Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 150/1

14 May 26 Perth Nae Bother At A' (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Edinburgh Gin Classic Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is N. W. Alexander's strike rate?: N. W. Alexander has won 117 of 1,018 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does N. W. Alexander do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 45 wins from 271 runners (16.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for N. W. Alexander?: Bruce Lynn, with 569 runners since 2022 — 56% of the total. That pairing has won 65 (11.4%).
Is N. W. Alexander in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is N. W. Alexander's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 1,017 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.