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Trainer profile

Jackie Stephen

214 runners in the last 5 seasons · 30 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago 97% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2022
10–214
Wins / Runs
4.7%
Strike rate
n=214
41 (19%)
Placed
0.67
Fair A/E
n=214 · 0.56 incl. margin
−150.39
£1 level stake
n=214 at SP · −70.3%
£126k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.67). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (69 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 214 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 7.2%
The read

The record is strongest at Ayr (9.5%, n=42), clear of the yard's 4.7% baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.33 across 79 runners (2.5% strike, −69.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Amilliontimes (IRE) — 5 wins from 40 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.5%−1.2
n=57 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −46.80
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.7
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.7
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.7
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
12.5%
n=8 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −5.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.2%+2.5
n=69 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −32.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Ayr 9.5% vs 4.7% · n=42
With a new jockey booking 2% vs 4.7% · n=99
With claiming riders up 7.2% vs 4.7% · n=69
In Chase races 7.1% vs 4.7% · n=56
Off a 15-30-day break 2.5% vs 4.7% · n=79
On Soft going 3% vs 4.7% · n=67 · A/E 0.44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 145 6 4.1% −104.89
Chase 56 4 7.1% −32.50
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00
Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 90 4 4.4% −62.47
Soft 67 2 3% −55.00
Good 36 2 5.6% −26.17
Heavy 16 2 12.5% −1.75
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kelso 43 2 4.7% −34.47
Ayr 42 4 9.5% −21.42
Hexham 27 1 3.7% −21.50
Carlisle 25 1 4% −13.00
Musselburgh 19 0 0% −19.00
Newcastle 19 0 0% −19.00
Perth 15 1 6.7% −2.00
Sedgefield 8 1 12.5% −4.00
Wetherby 5 0 0% −5.00
Cartmel 4 0 0% −4.00
Catterick 3 0 0% −3.00
Hamilton 2 0 0% −2.00
Ripon 1 0 0% −1.00
Newcastle (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 103 5 4.9% −64.17
Class 4 93 5 5.4% −68.22
Class 3 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 2 22.2% 0.80 −2.42
2nd–3rd fav 29 5 17.2% 1.15 −4.97
4th–6th fav 76 2 2.6% 0.38 −55.00
7th+ in betting 100 1 1% 0.34 −88.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.1% completed · 201 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 56 57.1% 1 4 19 0 0
Hurdle 145 83.4% 1 0 22 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Guernesey (FR)from Joe Tizzard 19 0 4 4 Apr 26
Sputnik (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then Lizzie Quinlan 19 2 8 30 Jun 24
Joie More (IRE) 15 0 2 13 Apr 26
Eire Street (IRE)from Thomas Gallagher 13 2 3 13 Apr 26
Joanna I'm Fine (IRE) 13 1 4 5 Apr 25
Clan Chieftain (GB)from Ralph Beckett 12 0 2 21 Oct 25
Too Cool Forshrule (IRE)from Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 10 2 4 13 Apr 26
Flying Sandpiper (IRE) 10 0 0 22 Dec 25
Lock Down Luke (GB) 10 2 5 11 Nov 23
Billable Grant (IRE)from C A McBratney 9 1 2 3 Jul 25
Canunclecani (IRE) 8 0 3 16 Feb 26
Beat The Boum (GB) 8 0 0 25 Mar 25
All 30 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 30 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive; 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0110870000940
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Quinlan 29 2 6.9% −20.47
Jamie Hamilton 26 0 0% −26.00
Danny McMenamin 26 2 7.7% −11.75
Joshua Thompson 19 0 0% −19.00
Dylan Johnston 19 1 5.3% −11.00
Bruce Lynn 16 2 12.5% −4.50
Peter Kavanagh 13 0 0% −13.00
Craig Nichol 13 0 0% −13.00
Ryan Mania 8 0 0% −8.00
Conor O'Farrell 7 0 0% −7.00
Brian Hughes 5 1 20% −1.00
Miss Lucy Brown 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
31
Archived wins
£313k
Prize money
2016
Best season · 6 wins
Welcome Ben (IRE) — Join Racing TV Now Handicap Chase Ayr · May 2019 · Class 3
£10,657
Bright Prospect (IRE) — Celebrating Jimmy Logan's 100th Birthday Handicap Chase Kelso · Jan 2018 · Class 3
£7,928
Too Cool Forshrule (IRE) — Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Ayr · Nov 2025 · Class 4
£7,922
Notable horses
Amilliontimes (IRE) Welcome Ben (IRE) Sputnik (IRE) Lock Down Luke (GB) Mo Rouge (IRE) Lovely Schtuff (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Martaline (GB) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,340 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Recital (FR) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 8.5% of 188 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Watar (IRE) 15.8% · 3–19
Progeny have won 7.9% of 556 runs since 2008 (59 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.2% from 179. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.8% from 167.
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,161 runs since 2008 (920 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Famous Name (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,510 runs since 2008 (102 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 540 · newest first

The latest 50 of 540 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 April 2012 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Perth Jet Noir (IRE)J: Patrick Wadge Join Racing TV Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 100/1
02 May 26 Hexham Jet Noir (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Bobby Roberts Memorial Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 6th 33/1
13 Apr 26 Hexham Eire Street (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Happy Retirement Maurice & Anne Barnes Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran PU 12/1
13 Apr 26 Hexham Joie More (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Mick Walsh Open Ditch Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 14 ran PU 9/1
13 Apr 26 Hexham Too Cool Forshrule (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Anthony Woods Electrical Lightning Bolt Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15.5f · Good · 11 ran UR 11/1
04 Apr 26 Carlisle Guernesey (FR)J: Joshua Thompson Bell & Plate 24th June Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 16/1
04 Apr 26 Carlisle Jet Noir (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Cumberland Show Saturday 6th June Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 33/1
27 Mar 26 Wetherby Eire Street (IRE)J: Joshua Thompson Malton Marquees Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 15 ran 8th 28/1
22 Mar 26 Carlisle Too Cool Forshrule (IRE)J: Dylan Johnston Mark Nield Wealth Management Go North One Man Series Final Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 9/1
22 Mar 26 Carlisle Karma De Cotte (FR)J: Jamie Hamilton Racing Post+ Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 16/1
14 Mar 26 Newcastle Jet Noir (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Guinness At The Canny Lad Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 12/1
03 Mar 26 Newcastle Joie More (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 14/1
21 Feb 26 Newcastle Eire Street (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Costello's Cleaning Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran PU 28/1
21 Feb 26 Newcastle Karma De Cotte (FR)J: Jamie Hamilton Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 7/1
19 Feb 26 Sedgefield Too Cool Forshrule (IRE)J: Brian Hughes Paxtons No1 CaseIH Dealer Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 3/1
19 Feb 26 Sedgefield Guernesey (FR)J: Joshua Thompson Sign Lead Your Horse To Water Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 27f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 10/1
16 Feb 26 Carlisle Canunclecani (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Watch Racing TV Now Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 11/2
04 Feb 26 Sedgefield Too Cool Forshrule (IRE)J: Joshua Thompson Fairlight Studios Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran UR 5/2F
03 Feb 26 Carlisle Joie More (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 22/1
03 Feb 26 Carlisle Karma De Cotte (FR)J: Jamie Hamilton Racing TV Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jackie Stephen's strike rate?
Jackie Stephen has won 10 of 214 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jackie Stephen do best at?
Ayr by strike rate: 4 wins from 42 runners (9.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Jackie Stephen in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jackie Stephen's Fair A/E?
0.67, from 214 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).