What is Chris Davies's strike rate?

Chris Davies has won 8 of 172 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

What is Chris Davies's Fair A/E?

0.85, from 172 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Chris Davies

172 rides in the lifetime window · 96 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2014 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

8–172

Wins / Runs

4.7%

Strike rate

n=172

36 (21%)

Placed

0.85

Fair A/E

n=172 · 0.73 incl. margin

−108.33

£1 level stake

n=172 at SP · −63.0%

£95,165

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 172 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −105.33 to a £1 stake over 169 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (9.1%, n=33). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 0% over 31 rides, 4.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.29 across 64 rides (1.6% strike, −62.33 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the totescoop6 Elite Hurdle at Wincanton (Nov 2010, £34,206).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.2%−1.5

n=94 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −69.83

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

37.5%+32.8

n=8 · A/E 2.18 · £1 +9.17

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.4%−2.3

n=41 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −26.00

When favourite

40%

n=5 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −0.33

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

4.7%+0.0

n=169 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −105.33

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.9%−0.8

n=51 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −34.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

20%+15.3

n=5 · A/E 3.25 · £1 +1.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Philip Hobbs 11.4% vs 4.7% · n=35

With Milton Bradley 0% vs 4.7% · n=41

With horses switching code 0% vs 4.7% · n=36

Over 2m5f – 3m 0% vs 4.7% · n=31

Off a 8-14-day break 9.1% vs 4.7% · n=33

In Class 4 1.6% vs 4.7% · n=64

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 127 5 3.9% −91.83

Chase 30 1 3.3% −24.00

NH Flat 15 2 13.3% +7.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 72 3 4.2% −47.50

Soft 34 2 5.9% −13.00

Good to Soft 27 1 3.7% −18.00

Good to Firm 21 1 4.8% −13.50

Heavy 17 1 5.9% −15.33

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 22 2 9.1% −1.00

Wincanton 14 1 7.1% −7.50

Stratford 13 0 0% −13.00

Exeter 12 0 0% −12.00

Taunton 11 1 9.1% −9.33

Plumpton 11 0 0% −11.00

Hereford 10 1 10% −2.50

Newton Abbot 9 0 0% −9.00

Ludlow 8 0 0% −8.00

Worcester 6 0 0% −6.00

Chepstow 6 0 0% −6.00

Newbury 6 0 0% −6.00

Uttoxeter 5 0 0% −5.00

Cheltenham 4 0 0% −4.00

Warwick 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 72 2 2.8% −63.00

Class 4 64 1 1.6% −62.33

Class 6 11 2 18.2% +11.50

Class 3 10 1 10% +5.00

Class 1 9 1 11.1% −2.50

Class 2 6 1 16.7% +3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 5 2 40% 1.21 −0.33

2nd–3rd fav 15 2 13.3% 0.78 +0.50

4th–6th fav 40 3 7.5% 1.11 −11.50

7th+ in betting 112 1 0.9% 0.39 −97.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.5% completed · 157 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 30 66.7% 1 1 7 1 0

Hurdle 127 85% 3 2 13 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Grey One (IRE) 12 0 1 10 Jun 13

Nearby (GB) 12 3 5 18 Feb 12

The Clyda Rover (IRE) 9 1 4 22 Mar 14

Floral Spinner (GB) 8 1 7 10 Apr 14

West Bay Hoolie (GB) 5 0 0 16 Apr 13

Edlomond (IRE) 4 1 3 6 Sep 14

Pateese (FR) 4 0 1 3 Apr 14

Ten More (IRE) 4 0 0 12 May 13

Effectsmenone (GB) 4 0 0 13 Dec 12

Unowhatimeanharry (GB) 3 1 2 22 Mar 14

Princeful (FR) 3 0 0 1 Jun 13

Follow The Master (GB) 2 0 1 5 Apr 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 96 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

950012002502080

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMilton Bradley

24% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00

TrainerRWSR£1

Milton Bradley 41 0 0% −41.00

Philip Hobbs 35 4 11.4% −2.83

Helen Nelmes 30 2 6.7% −9.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£101k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 3 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Nearby (GB) — totescoop6 Elite Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Wincanton · Nov 2010 · Grade 2

£34,206

Nearby (GB) — Toteplacepot Handicap Hurdle Aintree · Oct 2010 · Class 2

£8,872

Nearby (GB) — Vittoria Healthcare Handicap Hurdle Bangor-on-Dee · Oct 2010 · Class 3

£7,921

Notable horses

Nearby (GB) The Clyda Rover (IRE) Floral Spinner (GB) Edlomond (IRE) Unowhatimeanharry (GB) Horizontal Speed (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

King's Best (USA) 23.1% · 3–13

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Dansili (GB) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Alflora (IRE) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Moonax (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 5.8% of 365 runs since 2008 (62 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 1.6% from 122.

Beat All (USA) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.

Nomadic Way (USA) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 9.8% of 799 runs since 2008 (70 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 211 · newest first

The latest 50 of 211 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2005 to 6 September 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Sep 14 Stratford Edlomond (IRE)T: Bill Turner Andy Townsend Memorial Supported By Pertemps Network Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 6th 13/2

19 May 14 Towcester Edlomond (IRE)T: Bill Turner Ladbrokes Download The App Claiming HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 11/4

06 May 14 Fakenham Edlomond (IRE)T: Bill Turner Spring Selling HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 1st 2/1F

21 Apr 14 Fakenham Edlomond (IRE)T: Bill Turner Fakenham Ladies Raceday 1st June Selling HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 6/1

13 Apr 14 Wincanton Artful Dodger (GB)T: Helen Nelmes 32Red 10 Free Bonus Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 15.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 100/1

10 Apr 14 Towcester Floral Spinner (GB)T: Bill Turner EBF Stallions/TBA Mares' Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 7th 16/1

05 Apr 14 Chepstow Follow The Master (GB)T: Brian Forsey New Horse Racing Odds At unibet.co.uk Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 3rd 66/1

03 Apr 14 Aintree Pateese (FR)T: Philip Hobbs Dominican Republic Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24.5f · Good · 22 ran 11th 40/1

25 Mar 14 Chepstow Follow The Master (GB)T: Brian Forsey 32Red Welcomes Microgaming Players 'National Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 14 ran 8th 100/1

22 Mar 14 Stratford Unowhatimeanharry (GB)T: Helen Nelmes Bet With Course Bookmakers Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 7/1

22 Mar 14 Stratford The Clyda Rover (IRE)T: Helen Nelmes Bet With Tattersalls Bookmakers Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 27.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 25/1

19 Mar 14 Warwick Emiratesdotcom (GB)T: Milton Bradley Brandon Hire Group Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 15 ran PU 100/1

13 Mar 14 Cheltenham Pateese (FR)T: Philip Hobbs Pertemps Network Final (Listed Handicap Hurdle)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 23 ran 13th 50/1

10 Mar 14 Plumpton Cranky Corner (GB)T: Helen Nelmes Aspen Insurance Supports The Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 66/1

27 Feb 14 Taunton Sir Dylan (GB)T: Ronald Harris Rural Living Show 12th April Selling HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Heavy · 6 ran PU 10/1

15 Feb 14 Wincanton Calusa Star (GB)T: Philip Hobbs Bathwick Tyres Salisbury Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 11th 50/1

08 Feb 14 Newbury Pateese (FR)T: Philip Hobbs Read Nicholls And Mccain Exclusively On Betfair Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 24.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 12/1

28 Jan 14 Taunton Cranky Corner (GB)T: Helen Nelmes Atlas Packaging Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 40/1

18 Jan 14 Taunton Horizontal Speed (IRE)T: Philip Hobbs EBF Stallions 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier)Class 4 · 19f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 4/6F

28 Dec 13 Newbury Pateese (FR)T: Philip Hobbs Betfred Racing Follow Us On Facebook Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 20.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Chris Davies's strike rate?: Chris Davies has won 8 of 172 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Chris Davies's Fair A/E?: 0.85, from 172 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.