What is Ciaran Mckee's strike rate?

Ciaran Mckee has won 33 of 545 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ciaran Mckee do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 5 wins from 71 rides (7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ciaran Mckee ride most for?

John O'Shea, with 365 rides since 2008 — 67% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (7.4%).

What is Ciaran Mckee's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 541 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ciaran Mckee

545 rides in the lifetime window · 185 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Dec 2021

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

33–545

Wins / Runs

6.1%

Strike rate

n=545

105 (19%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=541 · 0.70 incl. margin

−186.50

£1 level stake

n=545 at SP · −34.2%

£164k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 40 times a season, across both codes, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (34 rides). Rode mostly for John O'Shea — 67% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 545 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr John O'Shea: 7.4% from 365 LTO winners: 17.6% Claiming: 6.6%

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.6% (n=34, Fair A/E 1.06), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.5% (n=66, Fair A/E 0.38). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −38.25 to a £1 stake over 185 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. John O'Shea supplied 67% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.4%, A/E 0.93). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (19.2%, n=52). The record read poorly in Class 3 — 0% over 36 rides, 6.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.37 across 75 rides (2.7% strike, −61.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.9%−1.2

n=185 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −38.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.6%+11.5

n=34 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −3.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.6%−2.5

n=84 · A/E 0.77 · £1 +7.00

When favourite

18.2%

n=22 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −11.33

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.6%+0.5

n=457 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −194.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.5%−4.6

n=66 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −56.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.1

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 19.2% vs 6.1% · n=52

On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 6.1% · n=34

In Class 3 0% vs 6.1% · n=36

On Soft going 2.7% vs 6.1% · n=75

On Good going 8.9% vs 6.1% · n=112

On Good to Firm going 8.8% vs 6.1% · n=80

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 341 21 6.2% −62.00

Hurdle 149 9 6% −95.25

NH Flat 30 2 6.7% −19.25

Chase 25 1 4% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 174 10 5.7% +9.50

Good 112 10 8.9% −23.75

Good to Firm 80 7 8.8% −25.25

Soft 75 2 2.7% −61.50

Good to Soft 71 4 5.6% −52.50

Heavy 26 0 0% −26.00

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 83 4 4.8% +15.25

Chepstow 71 5 7% −23.00

Kempton (AW) 46 3 6.5% −26.75

Bath 24 3 12.5% −7.00

Lingfield (AW) 23 2 8.7% +9.00

Ffos Las 23 0 0% −23.00

Worcester 21 2 9.5% +1.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 20 1 5% +14.00

Ludlow 19 0 0% −19.00

Bangor-on-Dee 16 3 18.8% +10.75

Uttoxeter 15 1 6.7% −10.67

Windsor 14 1 7.1% −5.00

Newbury 13 0 0% −13.00

Leicester 13 0 0% −13.00

Stratford 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 218 17 7.8% −7.25

Class 5 197 12 6.1% −107.50

Class 4 79 3 3.8% −54.75

Class 3 36 0 0% −36.00

Class 7 7 1 14.3% +27.00

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 24 4 16.7% 0.53 −13.33

2nd–3rd fav 71 12 16.9% 1.09 −15.67

4th–6th fav 177 12 6.8% 0.91 −54.50

7th+ in betting 273 5 1.8% 0.59 −103.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Swendab (IRE) 31 3 11 11 Nov 16

Major Valentine (GB) 22 2 3 29 Nov 21

Nicky Nutjob (GER) 22 3 8 3 Nov 14

Clement (IRE) 20 1 3 19 May 16

Ninepointsixthree (GB) 17 4 5 11 Jul 16

Peak Storm (GB) 15 1 3 13 Sep 16

Descaro (USA) 15 1 8 23 Oct 14

Louis Vee (IRE) 14 2 3 19 Jan 17

Tribal Dance (IRE) 11 1 2 24 Sep 16

Ring Eye (IRE) 10 0 1 12 Oct 16

Thomas Bell (IRE) 10 0 2 10 Oct 13

Captain Cardington (IRE) 9 0 0 22 Feb 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 185 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

30996461670013

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJohn O'Shea

67% of all rides
7.4% SR · A/E 0.93

TrainerRWSR£1

John O'Shea 365 27 7.4% −80.00

Peter Hiatt 31 2 6.5% +7.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

£164k

Prize money

2015

Best season · 15 wins

Swendab (IRE) — Gregor Heating Handicap Bath · Jul 2015 · Class 5

£3,881

Handsome Buddy (IRE) — A & A Racing Oncourse Bookmakers Handicap Chase Worcester · Apr 2013 · Class 4

£3,769

Diamonds A Dancing (GB) — County Marquees Handicap Chepstow · Jul 2016 · Class 5

£3,235

Notable horses

Ninepointsixthree (GB) Swendab (IRE) Nicky Nutjob (GER) Major Valentine (GB) Louis Vee (IRE) Diamonds A Dancing (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Trans Island (GB) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 9% of 4,741 runs since 2008 (295 horses).

Fasliyev (USA) 13% · 3–23

Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.

Major Cadeaux (GB) 9.1% · 2–22

Progeny have won 10.6% of 1,360 runs since 2008 (81 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 314. Weakest on Good going: 6.3% from 288.

Clodovil (IRE) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.

Sleeping Indian (GB) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,714 runs since 2008 (238 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.9% from 108.

Bertolini (USA) 21.1% · 4–19

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 545 · newest first

The latest 50 of 545 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 May 2009 to 22 December 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Dec 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Bolly Bullet (IRE)T: John O'Shea Betway HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 50/1

22 Dec 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Macs Dilemma (IRE)T: John O'Shea MansionBet Beaten By A Head HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 80/1

09 Dec 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Pips Tune (GB)T: John O'Shea GVR Solutions - Bespoke Construction Recruitment HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 40/1

09 Dec 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Monsieur Fantaisie (IRE)T: John O'Shea Racing Is Everyone's Sport Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 4/1F

29 Nov 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Major Valentine (GB)T: John O'Shea MansionBet Proud Partners Of AWC Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 50/1

13 Nov 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Dundory (IRE)T: John O'Shea Betway Casino Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 50/1

04 Nov 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Macocha (IRE)T: John O'Shea adacash.io Crypto Currency Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 40/1

04 Nov 21 Chelmsford City (AW) Monsieur Fantaisie (IRE)T: John O'Shea adacash.io Crypto Currency Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 18/1

20 Oct 21 Kempton (AW) Major Valentine (GB)T: John O'Shea Unibet Casino Deposit 10 Get 40 Bonus HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 4th 16/1

18 Oct 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Scarlet Ruby (GB)T: John O'Shea Free Replays On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 150/1

16 Oct 21 Wolverhampton (AW) Pips Tune (GB)T: John O'Shea Cazoo Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 40/1

13 Oct 21 Kempton (AW) Macocha (IRE)T: John O'Shea Unibet Casino Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 4th 125/1

06 Oct 21 Kempton (AW) Monsieur Fantaisie (IRE)T: John O'Shea Logicalis Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 3rd 66/1

05 Oct 21 Kempton (AW) Dundory (IRE)T: John O'Shea Unibet Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 9th 18/1

19 Aug 21 Chepstow Swissal (IRE)T: John O'Shea Dunraven Windows Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 4th 11/2

03 Aug 21 Lingfield (AW) Alfies Watch (GB)T: John O'Shea Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 11th 100/1

21 Jul 21 Bath Swissal (IRE)T: John O'Shea Download The Free At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Firm · 12 ran 7th 9/2

15 Jul 21 Chepstow Alfies Watch (GB)T: John O'Shea Afon Technology Silk Series Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 10th 25/1

11 Jul 21 Salisbury Monsieur Fantaisie (IRE)T: John O'Shea D & N Construction HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 11/2

29 Jun 21 Chepstow Show Me The Bubbly (GB)T: John O'Shea Floyds Turfcare HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 16th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ciaran Mckee's strike rate?: Ciaran Mckee has won 33 of 545 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ciaran Mckee do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 5 wins from 71 rides (7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ciaran Mckee ride most for?: John O'Shea, with 365 rides since 2008 — 67% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (7.4%).
What is Ciaran Mckee's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 541 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.