Peter Hiatt
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 150 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 11% (64 runs).
It is weakest at Leicester (1.6% over 64 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=67, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −40.25 to a £1 stake over 205 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Chris Catlin rode 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.5%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well on Firm going (17.5%, n=40). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.8% over 144 runners, 6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Very Well Red (GB) — 15 wins from 111 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Dec–Mar.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,744 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,744 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 27 November 2019.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Peter Hiatt's strike rate?
- Peter Hiatt has won 163 of 1,843 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Peter Hiatt do best at?
- Warwick by strike rate: 4 wins from 32 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Peter Hiatt?
- Chris Catlin, with 315 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (10.5%).
- What is Peter Hiatt's Fair A/E?
- 1.08, from 1,831 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.