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Jockey profile

Ebrahim Nader

36 rides in the last 5 seasons · 26 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 49 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)
from 1 Jan 2022
3–36
Wins / Runs
8.3%
Strike rate
n=36
10 (28%)
Placed
0.73
Fair A/E
n=36 · 0.63 incl. margin
−19.21
£1 level stake
n=36 at SP · −53.4%
£40,243
Prize money (window)

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.7%−0.6
n=26 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −10.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−8.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−8.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −0.71
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−8.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 18 1 5.6% −12.00
Good to Firm 9 1 11.1% +0.50
Good 7 1 14.3% −5.71
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Kempton (AW) 5 1 20% +1.00
Ffos Las 5 1 20% −3.71
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Salisbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Lingfield 2 0 0% −2.00
Newbury 2 0 0% −2.00
Bath 1 0 0% −1.00
Windsor 1 1 100% +8.50
Yarmouth 1 0 0% −1.00
Chester 1 0 0% −1.00
Newmarket (July) 1 0 0% −1.00
Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 12 2 16.7% −1.21
Class 4 11 1 9.1% −5.00
Class 6 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 0.85 −1.71
2nd–3rd fav 13 1 7.7% 0.47 −7.00
4th–6th fav 10 1 10% 1.60 −0.50
7th+ in betting 10 0 0% 0.00 −10.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Distinct Spirit (GB) 5 1 3 26 Aug 26
Astro King (IRE) 3 0 0 5 Sep 26
Percy's Lad (GB) 3 1 1 5 Sep 26
Londoner (IRE) 2 0 2 7 Sep 26
Jeewan (A) 2 0 0 1 Sep 26
Sea Palace (GB) 1 0 0 10 Sep 26
Tarn Hows (GB) 1 0 0 4 Sep 26
Grindleton (GB) 1 0 0 28 Aug 26
Amalou (GB) 1 0 0 22 Aug 26
Virtue Diligence (GB) 1 0 0 22 Aug 26
Helm Rock (GB) 1 0 1 19 Aug 26
Arishka's Dream (GB) 1 0 0 18 Aug 26
All 26 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
······9110···
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Daniel & Claire Kubler 26 3 11.5% −9.21
Heather Main 2 0 0% −2.00
Barry John Murphy 2 0 0% −2.00
Barry Brennan 2 0 0% −2.00
Andrew Balding 1 0 0% −1.00
Dr Richard Newland 1 0 0% −1.00
Ollie Sangster 1 0 0% −1.00
Amanda Perrett 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
3
Archived wins
£40,243
Prize money
2026
Best season · 3 wins
Percy's Lad (GB) — Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div I) Kempton (AW) · Aug 2026 · Class 4
£6,281
Moonswept (GB) — Fitzdares Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) Windsor · Aug 2026 · Class 5
£4,320
Distinct Spirit (GB) — DragonBet/Martin Davies Handicap Stakes Ffos Las · Jul 2026 · Class 5
£4,187
Notable horses
Distinct Spirit (GB) Percy's Lad (GB) Moonswept (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,840 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Kingman (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,491 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 961. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
Sir Percy (GB) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,150 runs since 2008 (473 horses).
Coulsty (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,536 runs since 2008 (167 horses).
New Bay (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,971 runs since 2008 (424 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Saxon Warrior (JPN) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,905 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.9% from 941. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.7% from 141.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 36 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Ebrahim Nader's 36 archived rides, from 6 July 2026 to 10 September 2026, newest first — 3 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Sea Palace (GB)T: Ollie Sangster Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 50/1
07 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Londoner (IRE)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 8/1
05 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Astro King (IRE)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 6th 28/1
05 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Percy's Lad (GB)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler William Hill London Mile Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 13th 28/1
04 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Tarn Hows (GB)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler Unibet/ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 11th 50/1
01 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Jeewan (A) (A)T: Barry Brennan Rapido Racing LTD Conditions Arab Stakes8f · Standard · 4 ran 2nd 11/2
28 Aug 26 Ffos Las Grindleton (GB)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler K P Tyres Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 3/1J
26 Aug 26 Newbury Distinct Spirit (GB)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler Gracelands Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 6th 14/1
22 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Virtue Diligence (GB)T: Amanda Perrett Advance Online Digital Media Group Handicap StakesClass 5 · 13f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 28/1
22 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Amalou (GB)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler North Downs Hospital Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 15/2
20 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Astro King (IRE)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler National Stud Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 4th 14/1
19 Aug 26 Kempton (AW) Helm Rock (GB)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div III)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 3rd 15/2
18 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Arishka's Dream (GB)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler Maggies Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 7/1
18 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Percy's Lad (GB)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler Visit wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk To Book Now Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 9/4
17 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Nascondino (IRE)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler Singapore Pools Trophy Race Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 20/1
17 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Nascondino (IRE)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler Singapore Pools Trophy Race Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 20/1
16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Jeewan (A)T: Barry Brennan IFAHR Cup Handicap Stakes (0-95) - Arab Race11f · Standard · 4 ran 2nd 5/1
16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Mercantile (GB)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler LNAA Critical Care Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 22/1
13 Aug 26 Salisbury On The Inlet (IRE)T: Dr Richard Newland Venture Security Handicap StakesClass 4 · 10f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 20/1
12 Aug 26 Kempton (AW) Percy's Lad (GB)T: Daniel & Claire Kubler Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 1st 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ebrahim Nader's strike rate?
Ebrahim Nader has won 3 of 36 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Ebrahim Nader's Fair A/E?
0.73, from 36 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).