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Jockey profile

Evan Dwan

119 rides in the lifetime window · 66 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 131 days ago 90% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–119
Wins / Runs
6.7%
Strike rate
n=119
21 (18%)
Placed
1.43
Fair A/E
n=118 · 1.12 incl. margin
−25.92
£1 level stake
n=119 at SP · −21.8%
£78,240
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.43).

Deterministic profile computed from 119 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.5%−2.2
n=66 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −43.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
16.7%+10.0
n=6 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −1.67
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
7.7%+1.0
n=26 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +0.50
When favourite
100%
n=3 · A/E 4.35 · £1 +9.08
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.1%−0.6
n=114 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −25.25
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.9%−1.8
n=81 · A/E 1.54 · £1 −29.17
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.3% vs 6.7% · n=44
Off a 15-30-day break 3.2% vs 6.7% · n=31
On first rides for the horse 4.5% vs 6.7% · n=66
When claiming 6.1% vs 6.7% · n=114 · A/E 1.33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 69 5 7.2% −8.17
NH Flat 22 2 9.1% +8.00
Chase 16 1 6.3% −13.75
Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 42 2 4.8% +0.00
Good to Soft 29 2 6.9% −14.50
Good 27 1 3.7% −24.75
Heavy 18 3 16.7% +16.33
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Thurles 15 3 20% +45.50
Cork 10 0 0% −10.00
Clonmel 10 0 0% −10.00
Kilbeggan 9 0 0% −9.00
Tipperary 8 0 0% −8.00
Punchestown 8 1 12.5% +0.00
Ballinrobe 8 0 0% −8.00
Killarney 7 0 0% −7.00
Tramore 6 1 16.7% −3.75
Limerick 5 1 20% +4.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 4 1 25% +5.00
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 3 100% 4.35 +9.08
2nd–3rd fav 11 0 0% 0.00 −11.00
4th–6th fav 27 4 14.8% 1.93 +20.00
7th+ in betting 78 1 1.3% 0.85 −44.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.9% completed · 85 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 16 62.5% 0 2 4 0 0
Hurdle 69 91.3% 2 1 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Navy Waves (IRE) 15 1 2 17 Jun 24
Mount Gable (IRE) 6 0 0 12 Aug 23
Thecornerhouse (IRE) 5 2 3 20 Aug 23
Myrons (IRE) 5 1 2 15 Jul 19
Safran Et Bleu (IRE) 4 1 2 21 Aug 24
Oh'herewego (IRE) 4 0 0 18 Nov 23
Misstheamaria (IRE) 4 0 0 6 Jul 23
How Decc (IRE) 3 0 1 26 Jul 24
Justakeg (IRE) 3 0 0 8 Aug 23
Dorset Lady (IRE) 3 0 0 11 Jun 21
Somerset Hill (IRE) 2 0 0 24 Aug 24
Captain Flint (IRE) 2 0 0 14 May 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 66 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1417209606000130
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Mrs Julie Cashin 29 3 10.3% +14.83
P M J Doyle 20 3 15% +0.25
V T O'Brien 12 0 0% −12.00
S Curling 7 1 14.3% +1.00
Joseph G Murphy 6 1 16.7% +15.00
Ms M M Gannon 4 0 0% −4.00
John M Burke 4 0 0% −4.00
M A Gunn 3 0 0% −3.00
Timothy Doyle 3 0 0% −3.00
E Seymour 3 0 0% −3.00
Una Corcoran 3 0 0% −3.00
Philip Fenton 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
8
Archived wins
£78,240
Prize money
2023
Best season · 2 wins
Bonnie Kellie (IRE) — John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle Punchestown · Jan 2022
£6,785
Thecornerhouse (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Down Royal · Mar 2023
£6,490
Myrons (IRE) — Choose Your Horse With BetVictor's Betfinder Maiden Hunters Chase Tramore · May 2019
£6,468
Notable horses
Thecornerhouse (IRE) Navy Waves (IRE) Myrons (IRE) Safran Et Bleu (IRE) John Cannon (GB) Bonnie Kellie (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sea Moon (GB) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 11.5% of 608 runs since 2020 (66 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.7% from 242. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 170. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8.4% from 166.
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,297 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Stowaway (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Dubai Destination (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11% of 6,951 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Shirocco (GER) 40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,207 runs since 2010 (927 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Youmzain (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,745 runs since 2014 (211 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.6% from 266.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 119 · newest first

The latest 50 of 119 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 March 2016 to 5 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Jul 26 Saratoga (USA) Take Your Seats (IRE)T: Thomas Garner Leo O'Brien Handicap Hurdle (Turf)19f · Firm · 7 ran 4th 115/10
15 Feb 25 Gowran Park Nothing Hectic (IRE)T: Miss Hilary McLoughlin Ronan Lawlor Memorial Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 10/1
31 Dec 24 Punchestown Fortuna Lora (IRE)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Soft · 18 ran 8th 50/1
16 Dec 24 Naas Romany Brown (IRE)T: P M J Doyle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 7/2
01 Dec 24 Fairyhouse Shine Bright (IRE)T: Mrs Julie Cashin Bar One Racing 'Bet Builder On Self Service Betting Terminals' (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 7th 66/1
24 Aug 24 Killarney Somerset Hill (IRE)T: P M J Doyle ML Lynch Civil Engineering (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 7th 9/1
21 Aug 24 Sligo Safran Et Bleu (IRE)T: P M J Doyle Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle25.5f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 3/1
16 Aug 24 Tramore Safran Et Bleu (IRE)T: P M J Doyle Comeragh Veterinary Kilmachthomas Handicap Hurdle (80-109)21f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 8/1
10 Aug 24 Kilbeggan Somerset Hill (IRE)T: P M J Doyle BetXS Staffless Betting Shops Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 14 ran 7th 80/1
26 Jul 24 Kilbeggan How Decc (IRE)T: E Seymour Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)19f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 10/1
25 Jul 24 Wexford Safran Et Bleu (IRE)T: P M J Doyle Fleadh Cheoil Wexford Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 2)24f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 1st 8/1
15 Jul 24 Downpatrick Kilrush Lady (IRE)T: P M J Doyle ITBA Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 33/1
12 Jul 24 Kilbeggan Safran Et Bleu (IRE)T: P M J Doyle Kilbeggan Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (80-102)25f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 6th 6/1
17 Jun 24 Kilbeggan Navy Waves (IRE)T: Mrs Julie Cashin Belvedere House & Gardens Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)24.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 13/2
05 Mar 24 Thurles Navy Waves (IRE)T: Mrs Julie Cashin Killinan Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 9/1
13 Feb 24 Thurles Navy Waves (IRE)T: Mrs Julie Cashin Killinan Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 9th 16/1
18 Nov 23 Navan Oh'herewego (IRE)T: V T O'Brien Lisadell Equine Hospital Handicap Hurdle (80-116)20f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran 15th 66/1
05 Nov 23 Cork Western Rock (IRE)T: Mrs Julie Cashin Paddy Power Dear Lord I've Left The Immersion On Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 18 ran 15th 125/1
02 Nov 23 Thurles Navy Waves (IRE)T: Mrs Julie Cashin Two-Mile Borris Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft · 15 ran 11th 18/1
23 Sep 23 Listowel Navy Waves (IRE)T: Mrs Julie Cashin Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 1)20f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 11th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Evan Dwan's strike rate?
Evan Dwan has won 8 of 119 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Evan Dwan's Fair A/E?
1.43, from 118 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).