Miss Hilary McLoughlin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 60 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.13).
The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (11.9%, n=67), clear of the yard's 6.5% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.6% (n=62, Fair A/E 0.44). The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (11.8%, n=68) and off a 8-14-day break (12.5%, n=40). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 38 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Count Of Carabass (IRE) — 6 wins from 76 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 615 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 615 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 May 2009 to 8 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 28 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Miss Hilary McLoughlin's strike rate?
- Miss Hilary McLoughlin has won 18 of 279 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Miss Hilary McLoughlin do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 67 runners (11.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is Miss Hilary McLoughlin in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Miss Hilary McLoughlin's Fair A/E?
- 1.13, from 279 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.