What is Joseph G Murphy's strike rate?

Joseph G Murphy has won 64 of 684 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Joseph G Murphy do best at?

Galway by strike rate: 9 wins from 41 runners (22%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Joseph G Murphy?

G. F. Carroll, with 420 runners since 2022 — 61% of the total. That pairing has won 54 (12.9%).

Is Joseph G Murphy in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Joseph G Murphy's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 682 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Joseph G Murphy

684 runners in the last 5 seasons · 79 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 91% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

64–684

Wins / Runs

9.4%

Strike rate

n=684

189 (28%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=682 · 0.89 incl. margin

−138.60

£1 level stake

n=684 at SP · −20.3%

£2.35m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10).

Deterministic profile computed from 684 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 34.2% when favourite G. F. Carroll: 12.9% from 420 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Galway (22%, n=41), clear of the yard's 9.4% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −43.25 to a £1 stake over 121 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. G. F. Carroll rides 61% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.9% vs 9.4%, A/E 1.36) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coronation Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2025, £411,573). The stable star of the record: Lord Massusus (IRE) — 8 wins from 43 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.8%−3.6

n=121 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −43.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−9.4

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−9.4

n=60 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −60.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.6%−0.8

n=35 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −18.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.3%+3.9

n=15 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −4.50

When favourite

34.2%

n=38 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +1.75

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

1.4%−8.0

n=74 · A/E 0.20 · £1 −70.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.7%−3.7

n=88 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −27.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Galway 22% vs 9.4% · n=41

With debutants 0% vs 9.4% · n=60

With claiming riders up 1.4% vs 9.4% · n=74

With Tom Kiely-Marshall 0% vs 9.4% · n=37

With a new jockey booking 3.3% vs 9.4% · n=241

With horses switching code 0% vs 9.4% · n=33

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 620 59 9.5% −100.51

Hurdle 52 4 7.7% −33.09

Chase 7 1 14.3% +0.00

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 269 25 9.3% −48.38

Good 202 17 8.4% −49.76

Heavy 103 12 11.7% −49.37

Good to Soft 77 9 11.7% +7.91

Standard (AW) 24 0 0% −24.00

Good to Firm 9 1 11.1% +25.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 125 5 4% −65.75

Gowran Park 82 8 9.8% −45.54

Leopardstown 60 4 6.7% −13.50

Naas 50 8 16% +56.41

Cork 50 4 8% +7.33

Killarney 46 6 13% −24.50

Galway 41 9 22% +31.71

Roscommon 25 1 4% −21.00

Listowel 25 6 24% +4.41

Dundalk (AW) 24 0 0% −24.00

Limerick 19 1 5.3% −13.00

Tipperary 19 4 21.1% +13.50

Fairyhouse 19 2 10.5% −4.50

Navan 17 1 5.9% −8.00

Punchestown 17 0 0% −17.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 88 5 5.7% −27.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 51 15 29.4% 1.15 −2.59

2nd–3rd fav 135 30 22.2% 1.48 +15.49

4th–6th fav 206 13 6.3% 0.83 −64.50

7th+ in betting 292 6 2.1% 0.64 −87.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lord Massusus (IRE) 43 8 15 13 Sep 26

Mon Coeur (IRE) 25 2 9 1 Jan 26

Gustavus Weston (IRE) 24 0 1 23 Oct 24

Immutable (IRE) 22 5 12 27 Sep 26

Grey Leader (IRE)then R P Burns 22 5 7 2 Nov 25

Gabriel Ranger (IRE) 22 2 7 26 Sep 25

Status Green (IRE) 20 1 5 11 May 25

White Clover (IRE) 18 2 7 22 Oct 25

Lady Lilac (IRE) 17 1 8 4 Oct 26

Dolce Far Niente (IRE) 16 1 5 16 Jul 25

Dark Oak (IRE) 15 1 7 29 Jun 25

Water Mint (IRE) 15 0 1 17 Oct 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 79 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Joseph Murphy (2); 57 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian McGuinness (2) and Iain Jardine (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

00610814117101200

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderG. F. Carroll

61% of all rides
12.9% SR · A/E 1.36

RiderRWSR£1

G. F. Carroll 420 54 12.9% +23.41

Tom Kiely-Marshall 37 0 0% −37.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

207

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.62m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 19 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Cercene (IRE) — Coronation Stakes (Fillies' Group 1) (Rnd) Ascot · Jun 2025 · Group 1

£411,573

Immutable (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Petingo Handicap Leopardstown (IRE) · Sep 2026

£90,000

Celtic Crown (IRE) — William Hill Emerald Mile Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · May 2022

£88,500

Notable horses

Lord Massusus (IRE) Fit For Function (GB) Swamp Fox (IRE) Ask Jack (USA) Galtee Mist (IRE) Insignia Of Rank (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Markaz (IRE) 18.6% · 8–43

Progeny have won 9.6% of 997 runs since 2008 (66 horses).

El Kabeir (USA) 16.2% · 6–37

Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,231 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 173. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 10.1% from 426. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.7% from 348.

Zoffany (IRE) 5.6% · 2–36

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,761 runs since 2008 (799 horses).

Fame And Glory (GB) 6.3% · 2–32

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).

Fast Company (IRE) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,590 runs since 2008 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 557. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.

Equiano (FR) 0% · 0–27

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,538 runs since 2008 (549 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,673 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,673 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 March 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Amplitude (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Racing Again November 7th Handicap12f · Soft · 14 ran 7th 10/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Unreal Friend (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 40/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Senuna (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden6f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 12/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Ted's Turn (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 18 ran 2nd 6/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Marjorie Daw (IRE)J: Adam Browne-Souza Killarney Grand Apprentice Handicap11f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 10/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Alphecca (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 11f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 14/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Magma Law (GB)J: G. F. Carroll Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 9th 14/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Pivotal Attack (GB)J: G. F. Carroll Hailey Equine Irish EBF Brigid's Pastures Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 7/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Lady Lilac (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll 1xBet.ie Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap9f · Yielding · 10 ran 5th 8/1

01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Cromane (GB)J: G. F. Carroll Racing TV Nursery Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 7/4F

27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Immutable (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch17f · Heavy · 30 ran 20th 25/1

21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Alphecca (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll John McGuire Handicap12f · Yielding · 15 ran 2nd 22/1

21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Amplitude (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Liam & Joan Healy Memorial Handicap9f · Yielding · 13 ran 5th 11/2

19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Ted's Turn (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 4th 4/1

19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Unreal Friend (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 15/2

17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Cromane (GB)J: G. F. Carroll Care At Home Nursery Handicap8f · Yielding · 13 ran 1st 11/2

17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Magma Law (GB)J: G. F. Carroll Irish Stallion Farms EBF Claiming Maiden8f · Yielding · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Cross Of Stars (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 14 ran 6th 28/1

13 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Lord Massusus (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Irish Stallion Farms EBF Northfields Handicap10f · Good · 22 ran 2nd 40/1

12 Sep 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Tahcawin (IRE)J: W J Lee World Pool Bet With Tote Autumn Fillies Handicap8f · Good · 18 ran 17th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joseph G Murphy's strike rate?: Joseph G Murphy has won 64 of 684 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joseph G Murphy do best at?: Galway by strike rate: 9 wins from 41 runners (22%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Joseph G Murphy?: G. F. Carroll, with 420 runners since 2022 — 61% of the total. That pairing has won 54 (12.9%).
Is Joseph G Murphy in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Joseph G Murphy's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 682 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.