Hugo Journiac
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 100 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (152 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.8% (n=152, Fair A/E 1.28). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 6.8% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.19 and +0.30 to a £1 stake over 948 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Y Barberot supplies 12% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.8%, A/E 1.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (13.6%, n=66). 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Grand Prix de la Riviera Cote d'Azur - Jacques Bouchara at Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) (Feb 2021, £26,786). Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,957 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,957 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 April 2015 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Hugo Journiac's strike rate?
- Hugo Journiac has won 161 of 1,957 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Hugo Journiac do best at?
- Clairefontaine (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 33 rides (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Hugo Journiac ride most for?
- Y Barberot, with 244 rides since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (9.8%).
- Is Hugo Journiac in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 11 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Hugo Journiac's Fair A/E?
- 1.10, from 1,937 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.