What is Jay Pemberton's strike rate?

Jay Pemberton has won 15 of 234 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jay Pemberton do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 8 wins from 61 rides (13.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jay Pemberton ride most for?

Nick Gifford, with 101 rides since 2008 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (11.9%).

What is Jay Pemberton's Fair A/E?

0.80, from 234 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jay Pemberton

234 rides in the lifetime window · 117 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Nov 2010 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

15–234

Wins / Runs

6.4%

Strike rate

n=234

54 (23%)

Placed

0.80

Fair A/E

n=234 · 0.68 incl. margin

−69.38

£1 level stake

n=234 at SP · −29.6%

£106k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 80 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.80). Rode mostly for Nick Gifford — 43% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 234 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Nick Gifford: 11.9% from 101 Claiming: 6.6%

The read

The record is strongest at Fontwell (13.1%, n=61), clear of the rider's 6.4% baseline. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.6% (n=64, Fair A/E 0.30). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 6.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −64.38 to a £1 stake over 229 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Nick Gifford supplied 43% of the rides and beats the rider's average (11.9% vs 6.4%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in NH Flat races (19.4%, n=31) and on Soft going (11.1%, n=45). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 0% over 50 rides, 6.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.39 across 130 rides (3.1% strike, −51.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.4%+0.0

n=109 · A/E 1.03 · £1 +1.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.6%+7.2

n=22 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −8.75

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.8%−2.6

n=52 · A/E 0.54 · £1 +4.00

When favourite

20%

n=10 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −4.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.6%+0.2

n=229 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −64.38

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.6%−4.8

n=64 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −38.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.4

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In NH Flat races 19.4% vs 6.4% · n=31

At Fontwell 13.1% vs 6.4% · n=61

With Nick Gifford 11.9% vs 6.4% · n=101

Over 2m5f – 3m 0% vs 6.4% · n=50

On Soft going 11.1% vs 6.4% · n=45

In Hurdle races 3.1% vs 6.4% · n=130

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 130 4 3.1% −51.50

Chase 73 5 6.8% −18.50

NH Flat 31 6 19.4% +0.62

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 82 4 4.9% −39.25

Good to Soft 50 3 6% −33.50

Soft 45 5 11.1% −5.13

Good to Firm 35 3 8.6% +30.50

Heavy 19 0 0% −19.00

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 61 8 13.1% −12.88

Plumpton 34 2 5.9% −25.50

Folkestone 19 1 5.3% −12.00

Huntingdon 15 1 6.7% −8.00

Towcester 11 0 0% −11.00

Kempton 10 0 0% −10.00

Wincanton 9 0 0% −9.00

Newton Abbot 9 0 0% −9.00

Stratford 8 0 0% −8.00

Ascot 8 0 0% −8.00

Sandown 7 0 0% −7.00

Newbury 6 1 16.7% +20.00

Fakenham 5 1 20% +12.00

Lingfield 4 0 0% −4.00

Uttoxeter 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 107 5 4.7% −75.00

Class 5 60 2 3.3% −2.00

Class 3 31 1 3.2% −14.00

Class 6 25 6 24% +6.62

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 2 5 1 20% +21.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 13 3 23.1% 0.93 −3.75

2nd–3rd fav 50 6 12% 0.81 −21.63

4th–6th fav 71 2 2.8% 0.39 −53.00

7th+ in betting 100 4 4% 1.39 +9.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

75.9% completed · 203 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 73 71.2% 3 7 11 0 0

Hurdle 130 78.5% 3 2 23 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Himba (GB) 9 1 2 6 Nov 09

Victree (IRE) 9 1 5 8 Jun 09

Royal Wedding (GB) 7 0 1 19 Mar 10

Ohana (GB) 7 1 3 25 Oct 08

Digger Gets Lucky (IRE) 6 0 1 10 Dec 09

English Jim (IRE) 5 0 1 30 Mar 10

Alderluck (IRE) 5 2 3 6 Feb 10

Tullamore Dew (IRE) 5 1 2 23 Jan 10

Lease Back (FR) 5 0 0 27 Jul 09

By George (IRE) 5 1 4 27 Mar 09

Keckerrockernixes (IRE) 4 0 0 10 Jun 10

Latin America (IRE) 4 2 3 22 Apr 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 117 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

019705100033095

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNick Gifford

43% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 1.07

TrainerRWSR£1

Nick Gifford 101 12 11.9% −16.88

Richard Rowe 30 1 3.3% −4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£133k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 9 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Burren Legend (IRE) — Blue Square Handicap Chase Newbury · Mar 2010 · Class 2

£10,645

Sonning Star (IRE) — totepool Fakenham Silver Cup (Handicap Hurdle) Fakenham · Mar 2010 · Class 3

£8,782

Dusky Lord (GB) — Palm Beach Mayfair London Handicap Hurdle Sandown · Nov 2006 · Class 3

£6,506

Notable horses

Ohana (GB) Alderluck (IRE) Latin America (IRE) Royal Wedding (GB) Victree (IRE) Himba (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dushyantor (USA) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,917 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 139.

Old Vic (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Vettori (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,775 runs since 2008 (163 horses).

Mark of Esteem (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,657 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 128.

Alderbrook (GB) 28.6% · 2–7

Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,293 runs since 2008 (299 horses).

King's Best (USA) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 331 · newest first

The latest 50 of 331 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 14 November 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Nov 10 Fontwell Zhukov (IRE)T: Kevin Tork John Rogerson Memorial Beginners' ChaseClass 4 · 17.5f · Heavy · 4 ran 2nd 8/1

05 Nov 10 Fontwell Charlotte's Ball (IRE)T: Raymond York Be Free With Ladbrokes Mobile Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 66/1

28 Oct 10 Fontwell Champagne Mary (GB)T: Raymond York digibet.com 'Junior' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 13.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 66/1

28 Oct 10 Fontwell Giggles O'shea (IRE)T: Richard Rowe Esporta Health Club Rustington 01903 859777 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 17/2

10 Jun 10 Fontwell Keckerrockernixes (IRE)T: Richard Rowe Poker At Bet365 Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 7 ran 4th 100/1

28 May 10 Stratford Savanna's Gold (GB)T: Richard Rowe Bordeaux-undiscovered.co.uk Novices' HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran PU 250/1

09 May 10 Plumpton Keckerrockernixes (IRE)T: Richard Rowe Tom, Ella And Sophie Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 10 ran UR 66/1

01 May 10 Uttoxeter Burren Legend (IRE)T: Richard Rowe totepool Handicap Chase (For The Tom Wragg Trophy) (Listed)Class 1 · 24f · Soft · 12 ran UR 5/1

23 Apr 10 Newton Abbot Navajo Nation (IRE)T: Bill Turner Nigel Lee Selling HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 16/1

22 Apr 10 Fontwell Keckerrockernixes (IRE)T: Richard Rowe Hardings Catering Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 25/1

22 Apr 10 Fontwell Latin America (IRE)T: Nick Gifford Hardings Catering Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 2/1F

19 Apr 10 Plumpton Super Fourteen (GB)T: Raymond York Plumptonracecourse.co.uk Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran PU 40/1

18 Apr 10 Stratford Marino Prince (FR)T: Barry Leavy Bet Totepool To Support Your Sport Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good · 16 ran 9th 20/1

18 Apr 10 Stratford Manele Bay (GB)T: Richard Rowe Totepool Our Profits Stay In Racing Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 18.5f · Good · 13 ran 7th 7/1

14 Apr 10 Cheltenham Burren Legend (IRE)T: Richard Rowe Rundle & Co Handicap Chase (For The Golden Miller Trophy)Class 2 · 25.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

05 Apr 10 Plumpton Current Climate (IRE)T: Richard Rowe Bet Totepool On 0800 221 221 Intermediate Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 17.5f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 17/2

05 Apr 10 Plumpton Mister Pink (GB)T: Richard Rowe Harry And Betty Savill Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 7/1

04 Apr 10 Plumpton Sonning Star (IRE)T: Nick Gifford totesport.com Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 6/1

30 Mar 10 Fontwell English Jim (IRE)T: Anna Newton-Smith Horton's Steam Fair Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 7/1

29 Mar 10 Towcester Alteranthela (IRE)T: Richard Rowe Sis 1st For Football Data Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24f · Soft · 13 ran PU 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jay Pemberton's strike rate?: Jay Pemberton has won 15 of 234 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jay Pemberton do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 8 wins from 61 rides (13.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jay Pemberton ride most for?: Nick Gifford, with 101 rides since 2008 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (11.9%).
What is Jay Pemberton's Fair A/E?: 0.80, from 234 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.